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stellanoir

(14,881 posts)
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 11:13 PM Mar 2016

curious stats in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts

MA Primary: Unadjusted Exit poll Indicates Bernie won

02
MAR
MA Primary: Another Stolen Election


Mar.2, 2016

Just like the MA 2014 Governor race, the primary was likely stolen.
The exit poll, AS ALWAYS, was adjusted to match the recorded vote

Clinton won the RECORDED (bogus) vote (1406 respondents) by 50.3-48.7%
In the exit poll of 1297 respondents, Sanders led at 8:01 pm by 52.3-45.7%

But how could Clinton gain 114 respondents and Sanders just 7 among the final 109?

This is 2004 all over again. Kerry led by 51-48% after the first 13047 respondents, but Bush by 50.8-48.3% at 13660 respondents. When the unadjusted exit poll became available years later, we found that Kerry won the 13660 respondents 51.7-47.0%.

The probability that Sanders won: 99% (given the 2.72% Margin of Error)
Win prob= 99.2% = normdist (.534,.5, Moe/1.96,true)

https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2016/03/02/ma-primary-unadjusted-exit-poll-indicates-bernie-won/

~TIA

15 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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curious stats in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts (Original Post) stellanoir Mar 2016 OP
Just theater now. Or wrestling. NowSam Mar 2016 #1
Great analogy! warrprayer Mar 2016 #5
Well, duh RobertEarl Mar 2016 #2
No surprise..corrupt as all hell. bkkyosemite Mar 2016 #3
My thoughts exactly MissDeeds Mar 2016 #4
Why is it, when Hillary wins by a slim margin, the exit polls have Bernie winning? TIME TO PANIC Mar 2016 #6
Jesus H... MrMickeysMom Mar 2016 #7
And people not in it for Bernie will call us crackpots, cranks, and conspiracy theorists.. Ed Suspicious Mar 2016 #8
KnR - This an Bullhorn Bill criminally creating mayhem at several polling places 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #9
They're pretending this is an actual election....just to make it look like they respect the in_cog_ni_to Mar 2016 #10
I was watching NYT and State results Geronimoe Mar 2016 #11
Corruption at its finest. PoliticalMalcontent Mar 2016 #12
K&R share glinda Mar 2016 #13
I already said they will pull out all the dirty tricks. Cleita Mar 2016 #14
Yup stellanoir Mar 2016 #15

TIME TO PANIC

(1,894 posts)
6. Why is it, when Hillary wins by a slim margin, the exit polls have Bernie winning?
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 11:55 PM
Mar 2016

Wasn't it the same in Iowa and Nevada?

MrMickeysMom

(20,453 posts)
7. Jesus H...
Thu Mar 3, 2016, 12:04 AM
Mar 2016

That's the only way they can win, it appears.

I swear that someone had a screen shot of the Sanders MA win, which was then taken off their website.

These things of course, will go un-examined... Unless we put it up on social media.

Ed Suspicious

(8,879 posts)
8. And people not in it for Bernie will call us crackpots, cranks, and conspiracy theorists..
Thu Mar 3, 2016, 01:36 AM
Mar 2016

This crap is beyond frustrating!

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
9. KnR - This an Bullhorn Bill criminally creating mayhem at several polling places
Thu Mar 3, 2016, 01:39 AM
Mar 2016

Clinton's Mass. "narrow win" stinks.

in_cog_ni_to

(41,600 posts)
10. They're pretending this is an actual election....just to make it look like they respect the
Thu Mar 3, 2016, 01:47 AM
Mar 2016

Constitution... Which they don't.

Welcome to the dog and pony show.

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

 

Geronimoe

(1,539 posts)
11. I was watching NYT and State results
Thu Mar 3, 2016, 02:01 AM
Mar 2016

Both indicated Bernie won at around 90% of precincts counted. And then he lost some how.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
14. I already said they will pull out all the dirty tricks.
Thu Mar 3, 2016, 02:19 AM
Mar 2016

The only way to beat them is to get out the vote. You overcome cheating by so outnumbering the opposition than they can't win. This is how Obama won the first time. Get everyone in your radar registered to vote and do what it takes to get them to the polls, car pools, everything.

stellanoir

(14,881 posts)
15. Yup
Fri Mar 4, 2016, 10:38 AM
Mar 2016

TIA said that Obama was shorted millions of votes in both elections. He says election reform matters more than anything else (paraphrased).

Concurred, its absence renders representative leadership untrue.



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