New York Primary: Why is Exit Poll Data Adjusted to Match Final Voting Results?

[newthinking]

From:
http://www.counterpunch.org/2016/04/21/new-york-primary-why-is-exit-poll-data-adjusted-to-match-final-voting-results/

Here’s the deal, though. The sample size grew in the last two renditions of the exit pollingby just 24 respondents, first from 1367 to 1383 when I took several screen shots for my liveblog just after 11pm eastern and then to 1391 as of Wednesday morning. Over the same period, Clinton’s lead grew by 10% from 18% with Latinos to 28%. Her lead also grew by 10% among those 45 and over and shrunk by 12% with those under 45. In exit poll version (2), Sanders lead with white people (59% of the vote) by 9%, in exit poll (3) by just 2%, and now with exit poll (4) it is tied.

This would be possible and reasonable with a very large growth in sample size, but, as you might imagine, is mathematically impossible without serious data fiddling in this instance. Sanders lead with the same sampling grown by just 1.8% dropped by 12% overall, by nine percentage points with men, by 12% with young voters, and by 9% with white voters. Meanwhile, Clinton’s lead with Latinx voters grew from 18% to 28% and with black voters by 2%.

Apparently, the last 24 respondents to exit polls yesterday were all Latina or black female Clinton voters over 44, and they were all allowed also to count more than double while replacing more than one male Sanders voters under 45.

[TheProgressive]

1. To answer your post question: 'To hide election fraud'...

[thereismore]

3. They lie cheat and steal. nt

[Peace Patriot]

2. Why? Because the exit polls showed a Kerry win in 2004.

Jonathan Simon caught them at it (did a screen shot) before it was changed to Bush winning.

Let me repeat: The exit polls showed a Kerry win. The numbers fed from all those shiny new 'TRADE SECRET' voting machines, through an AP laptop, to your TV screens, and described as the official count, showed a Bush win.

Edison-Mitofsky, the exit pollster, then ADJUSTED their exit poll numbers to FIT the extremely unreliable result of the privatized vote counting system.

Simon and others raised a ruckus. We had quite an explosion of it here at DU--the famous 2004 Election Forum. Edison-Mitovsky refused to disclose their raw data. And that was that. Four more years of war, corruption, theft, loss of citizen rights, growing poverty, tax cuts for the rich and banksterism leading to the great crash.

Edison-Mitofsky continued the practice of ADJUSTING the exit polls TO the official results, effectively eliminating the exit polls as a tool to detect election fraud, and eventually they stopped doing exit polls on the actual vote.

Exit polls are the gold-standard for detecting election fraud in countries that do elections right and get good marks from election monitoring groups. We, who NEED honest exit polls badly, due to the privatization of our vote counting system, have been deprived of that vital tool. Now all exit polls on the vote that are done by others are ADJUSTED.

[AZ Progressive]

4. i.e. Democracy in America is often a sham