Race Tightens in California, Clinton vs. Sanders 49% to 47% (NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist)

[Babel_17]

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/it-s-close-california-clinton-49-sanders-47-n584141

Hillary Clinton is clinging to a narrow two-point lead over Bernie Sanders in California ahead of the state's June 7 primary, according to results from a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll.

Clinton gets support from 49 percent of likely Democratic primary voters in the state, while Sanders gets 47 percent, which is within the survey's statistical margin of error.

And among a wider electorate of all potential Democratic voters in California, Sanders is actually ahead by one point, 48 percent to 47 percent.

P.S. Insert appropriate icon in replies, and feel free to repost.

[SandersDem]

1. Likely Voter Poll

Likely Voter is defined AS those voters who have voted in 4/4 (last 2 GEs and Primaries) or 2/4 (Last 2 GEs). What has borne out in other States is approximately 5% more votes cast for Bernie, however with the Voter Registration surge in CA (2 million new registered D's, aka NOT likely voters) AND 18 to 22 Year Olds (By Definition NOT Likely voters: see 4/4, 2/4) it could be an even larger lead.

There is NO doubt that Clinton's internals showed that "Hey, you better get back to CA NOW!" Right now, we are in HEAVY GOTV Mode in CA, (GOTV is election date minus 2 weeks) and that is where most people make their candidate decisions.

HC's chance is how many early ballots did she get in AND voter suppression in whatever form it may take, long polling lines, ballot issues, etc...I am not accusing her campaign of this, as I have found that inept public servants can drive suppression just as handily. How do I know? I live in GD Arizona.

[in_cog_ni_to]

2. That

is a bullshit poll. Where are the people that support her? This SILENT majority the corrupt corporate owned MSM keeps throwing out just doesn't exist.

If she wins, it's by voter purging, voter suppression and election fraud. I'm sooooo relieved there will be EXIT POLLS. And THANK THE GODDESSES California has banned evoting machines! She can't hack paper.

She's not winning California.

Go Bernie!

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

[Babel_17]

3. If you go to the link there are some gems you might like

And among a wider electorate of all potential Democratic voters in California, Sanders is actually ahead by one point, 48 percent to 47 percent.

But a Sanders victory in California — even by a small margin, and no matter how symbolic — could potentially give him justification to remain in the race heading into July's Democratic convention in July, despite trailing in the delegate math.

Meanwhile, Sanders leads among first-time participants (72 percent to 28 percent), independents (68 percent to 26 percent), those younger than 45 (66 percent to 30 percent), men (54 percent to 43 percent) and Latinos (49 percent to 46 percent).

"As throughout the primary season, age is the story in this California tossup," says Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. "Sanders inspires younger or first-time voters, and Clinton relies upon those who are older or have participated in the past."

The significance of those numbers better not be lost on our party. These voters won't stand for being taken for granted. With all of the momentum the establishment has put behind Secretary Clinton, her campaign still can't dominate the conversation in California. That is stunning, and it means something very important.