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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Sun May 26, 2019, 04:24 AM

 

Guess how many candidates drop out before Iowa.

I think 14 of the 24 will drop out before a single vote is cast.

The ten that will remain in February are:
Biden
Bernie
Warren
Harris
Pete
Beto
Klobuchar
Booker
Inslee
Hickenlooper

Dropping out:
Gravel
Messam
Williamson
Moulton
Swalwell
Bennet
Bullock
Yang
Castro
Gillibrand
Ryan
Delaney
DeBlasio
Gabbard



If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

36 replies, 2197 views

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Reply Guess how many candidates drop out before Iowa. (Original post)
Funtatlaguy May 2019 OP
Sherman A1 May 2019 #1
Funtatlaguy May 2019 #2
JI7 May 2019 #3
Funtatlaguy May 2019 #4
W_HAMILTON May 2019 #5
BlueMTexpat May 2019 #6
Hortensis May 2019 #7
Mars and Minerva May 2019 #8
Hortensis May 2019 #9
Mars and Minerva May 2019 #10
Hortensis May 2019 #11
Taraman May 2019 #12
Funtatlaguy May 2019 #15
Indygram May 2019 #16
Funtatlaguy May 2019 #17
Indygram May 2019 #18
Amimnoch May 2019 #33
Mars and Minerva May 2019 #29
Renew Deal May 2019 #13
CDerekGo May 2019 #14
sop May 2019 #27
peggysue2 May 2019 #19
Funtatlaguy May 2019 #20
Politicub May 2019 #21
Funtatlaguy May 2019 #22
Politicub May 2019 #23
Funtatlaguy May 2019 #24
Politicub May 2019 #28
The Velveteen Ocelot May 2019 #25
rampartc May 2019 #26
TeamPooka May 2019 #30
Blue_true May 2019 #31
RLG May 2019 #36
brooklynite May 2019 #32
Jose Garcia May 2019 #34
IrishEyes May 2019 #35

Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Sun May 26, 2019, 05:06 AM

1. It's far too early to tell

 

24 hours in politics is an eternity.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Sherman A1 (Reply #1)

Sun May 26, 2019, 05:08 AM

2. Very true. I am just bored. Lol.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Sun May 26, 2019, 05:33 AM

3. the names on the first list are more likely to drop out than most of the no chance

 

types in the 2nd list.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to JI7 (Reply #3)

Sun May 26, 2019, 05:40 AM

4. Why do you think that.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Sun May 26, 2019, 05:42 AM

5. Not very many. Less than five.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Sun May 26, 2019, 07:00 AM

6. I believe that you are

 

too optimistic.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Sun May 26, 2019, 07:28 AM

7. Most likely reason would be lack of finances, of course.

 

Wayne Messam reportedly lost some staffers after his campaign couldn't pay them.

We've already lost one even if we didn't notice.

Richard Ojeda, who voted for Trump but got elected to the WV state senate as a Democrat, resigned to run for president in December and then was the first to drop out a couple months later. Ojeda, described as another wannabe left-wing populist leader, complained that big donors wouldn't take his calls, that he was shunned because he didn't stay in line and challenged the powers that be, etc.

"Richard who?" "The state senator who resigned his seat then tried to rescind his resignation a few days later? The one who voted for Trump?" "Oh."

Sad loss.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Sun May 26, 2019, 07:36 AM

8. How many are planning a switch to a Senate race? nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Mars and Minerva (Reply #8)

Sun May 26, 2019, 07:38 AM

9. That's a question I wondered about.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Hortensis (Reply #9)

Sun May 26, 2019, 07:44 AM

10. They can keep their war chests and their staffs and step right in. nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Mars and Minerva (Reply #10)

Sun May 26, 2019, 08:01 AM

11. Okay. Also their raised profiles.

 

From what I've read, none of these races would be easy, so all this increased exposure would hopefully be all to the good.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Mars and Minerva (Reply #8)

Sun May 26, 2019, 08:14 AM

12. I'm loving this idea

 

Ditch Mitch
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Mars and Minerva (Reply #8)

Sun May 26, 2019, 08:36 AM

15. Don't think this will happen.

 

But would love to see Beto or Castro in Texas.
Bullock in Montana.
Abrams change her mind in Georgia.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Reply #15)

Sun May 26, 2019, 08:48 AM

16. MJ Hegar, a female war hero is running in Texas and Beto will NOT run against her

 

She is very popular and if she and Beto are both on the ballot Texas will go to Democrats.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Indygram (Reply #16)

Sun May 26, 2019, 10:07 AM

17. Can she beat Cornyn?

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Reply #17)

Sun May 26, 2019, 11:02 AM

18. If both she and Beto are on the ticket

 

I firmly believe they both win. If Beto is not on the ticket then it is less likely. Beto is loved in Texas. Right now he is NOT being treated fairly by the media. They are not only misrepresenting him but in some cases outright lying about him and because he streams everything live all of those supporters in Texas KNOW he is being treated unfairly. I think there is a good chance that Texas turnout could be depressed if Beto is not on the ticket, especially if the mistreatment and bashing of him continues. O'Rourke is one of the best candidates of my lifetime and I am absolutely disgusted at the way he is being treated.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Indygram (Reply #18)

Tue May 28, 2019, 10:00 AM

33. THIS! My thoughts exactly.

 

Her in the Senate race, Beto on the Presidential Ticket, and Texas could very well flip it... Net gain of 1 in the Senate and Trump out of office. Damn, I wish more people thought strategically like you!

Each would fuel the others campaign, and force the tRumpublicons to spend a fortune of their non-primaried war chest just trying to hold on to Texas.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Reply #15)

Mon May 27, 2019, 07:35 PM

29. I wouldn't give up hope until the Senate primaries start. nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Sun May 26, 2019, 08:30 AM

13. Doubt it

 

But some might go after. Some are fanatics that are there just to be there. Gabbard isnít going anywhere. She is there for alternate reasons.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Sun May 26, 2019, 08:33 AM

14. Don't know about many (or all)

 

But it all comes down to the almighty $$$. When BIG MONEY donors stop sending checks, that's when you'll see some of these start dropping out. Have a feeling at some point Democratic National Committee may even 'politely' suggest a few to bow out. But, who knows. As someone has mentioned previously, 24 hours a an eternity in Politics.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to CDerekGo (Reply #14)

Sun May 26, 2019, 01:48 PM

27. After all the incoming the DNC took in 2016, I don't see them doing much

 

If the Democrats aren't careful, this whole thing could turn into a three-ring circus.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Sun May 26, 2019, 11:58 AM

19. I'm guessing at least half the herd will drop out before Iowa

 

After Super Tuesday I'd be surprised if there's more than 3 still standing.

We shall see.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to peggysue2 (Reply #19)

Sun May 26, 2019, 12:02 PM

20. My guess is 4 after Super Tuesday.

 

Bernie, Biden, Warren or Harris, Beto or Pete.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Sun May 26, 2019, 12:09 PM

21. I don't think Gillibrand will drop out.

 

Last edited Sun May 26, 2019, 12:44 PM - Edit history (1)

Notwithstanding all of the issues people on DU have with her, Gillibrand strikes me as a tough and relentless in pursuit of what she believes in. She comes across well when she's on TV.

I kind of want Williamson to stay in so I can see how she answers questions during the debate. Will she quote from a Course in Miracles? This I want to know.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Politicub (Reply #21)

Sun May 26, 2019, 12:39 PM

22. If Oprah would endorse Williamson, that would help her.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Reply #22)

Sun May 26, 2019, 12:43 PM

23. Wouldn't that be bizarre? And Dr. Oz, too.

 

Dr. Phil would endorse her and have her on his show every day if she writes a book and publishes it under his imprint.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Politicub (Reply #23)

Sun May 26, 2019, 12:53 PM

24. Especially if she had a dysfunctional home life to share.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Reply #24)

Sun May 26, 2019, 05:14 PM

28. yes!!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Sun May 26, 2019, 01:31 PM

25. Depends on how well the money holds up, which is hard to predict just yet.

 

I think your list is a pretty good guess, except that IMO there won't be that many by the time the primaries start. I'm guessing it will be down to Biden, Warren, Sanders, Harris and Buttigieg, and maybe Booker.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Sun May 26, 2019, 01:45 PM

26. not many ever drop out before iowa

 

and new hampshire is wgere the real crazies run. vermin supreme, the naked cowbot, and all the rest.

williamson, by the way, is more popular than i thought. oprah likes her, and stripped of the self help veneer her policy and mine seem not so different.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Mon May 27, 2019, 07:42 PM

30. This is a 3 person race between Biden, Warren, and Harris.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Tue May 28, 2019, 01:14 AM

31. Good guess. But I would add Beto and Hickenlooper to the drop out list.

 

Unless something powerful happens during the debate next month, I expect to see the first drop outs announcing soon after.

The interesting dynamic in my mind is how long Senator Sanders or Senator Warren keep their supporters from bolting to the other. The first debate may crystallize what happens in that area.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Blue_true (Reply #31)

Tue May 28, 2019, 08:18 PM

36. Hickenlooper maybe, O'Rourke no.

 

Everyone else on the second list is pretty much on point.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Tue May 28, 2019, 07:28 AM

32. Why would Gravel drop out?

 

He's not actually spending any money or doing any campaigning.


FWIW, your list will be far shorter; anyone who can keep afloat on small donor dollars will hold out to see what happens in Iowa (no pre-registration) and New Hampshire (all you do is pay a fee to get on the ballot).
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Tue May 28, 2019, 11:11 AM

34. Gravel probably won't drop out before Iowa

 

Why would he? He already knows that he can't win, and it doesn't cost any money to have teenagers tweet for him.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Tue May 28, 2019, 01:44 PM

35. I will guess that a few will drop out.

 

I was watching to see who would enter the race. Now, I'm watching to see who will drop out. It is going to be an interesting election.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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