Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumprimary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Skya Rhen
(2,701 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,678 posts)I really dont see how anyone can close that gap.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Biden/Harris would be a great ticket!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,678 posts)Killer combo!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MineralMan
(146,288 posts)than the total of the next three candidates combined. Anyone who does not recognize that as a major lead isn't paying attention.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Kahuna7
(2,531 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MineralMan
(146,288 posts)He knows the Democratic voting habits, and is focusing on the large bloc of voters who ignore ideas and solutions they see as too far to the left. At the same time, though, he is also presenting positions that echo the left's ideas on the direction to follow. He is proposing an expansion of Medicaid to act as a way to supply healthcare to those who fall outside the normal employer provided plans. He is calling for a $15 minimum wage, which is exactly what people like Sanders have been calling for.
He's also focusing on defeating Donald Trump and undoing the harm Trump has done. That's very important to a very large bloc of Democratic primary voters. Biden is a consummate Democrat, with a long history of leadership. His close association with Barack Obama doesn't hurt him, either. People remember Obama hanging the Presidential Medal of Freedom around his neck as a surprise. They remember the close friendship of Obama and Biden.
The primary race is not a debate team contest. It is a contest of politicians and leadership. A large number of Democratic voters are terminally weary of political drama. Joe Biden represents a less dramatic and less contentious political reality, and that is very, very appealing to many voters - perhaps a majority of voters.
As a reliable primary voter who always votes in every primary election, I have seen who is there to vote in my precinct. I've also worked at a polling place a few times during a primary election. Most primary voters are the sort of solid, Democratic people who vote out of a sense of responsibility to participate. Generally, they are older, in my experience, than the median age of the local population.
Who turns out to vote in the primaries will largely determine who is the winner. Right now, Biden has a solid lead in current polling of likely primary voters. Very solid.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(11,986 posts)But especially after watching a couple of recent Biden videos, I would not be surprised to see a shift after the debates. My prediction is that Biden's numbers will go down, while some others will rise.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Skya Rhen
(2,701 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
crazytown
(7,277 posts)The Morning Consult numbers haven't changed for six weeks
May 06-12 - Biden 39, Sanders 19
May 13-20 - Biden 39, Sanders 19
May 20-26 - Biden 38, Sanders 20
May 27-02 - Biden 38, Sanders 19
Jun 03-09 - Biden 37, Sanders 19
Jun 10-16 - Biden 38, Sanders 19
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Kahuna7
(2,531 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(11,986 posts)It will be interesting to see if something shifts after the debates.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
crazytown
(7,277 posts)Most other polls show Sanders going backwards.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
marylandblue
(12,344 posts)It makes more sense to use the average of all the polls than to question one particular poll that happens to disagree with everyone else.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,196 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Kahuna7
(2,531 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden