It is eerily similar to some early '16 polls, IIRC. Clinton would be way ahead but in the 40s. Trump way behind, big undecideds. We now know how many of them broke. Hope as the race goes on we start seeing our frontrunner/ nominee break 50. Also interesting, trump's vote share scarcely changes (within moe) no matter the polled opponent. Undecideds just go up. Name recognition? Pretty fascinating poll, really.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

EveHammond13

(2,855 posts)

6. every 2016 story needs the caveat of Russian hacking/interference

Reply to MontanaFarmer (Reply #4)

Thu Jul 25, 2019, 08:47 PM

Jul 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

MontanaFarmer

(630 posts)

7. Point taken, but

Reply to EveHammond13 (Reply #6)

Thu Jul 25, 2019, 09:19 PM

Jul 2019

even back in the summer before interference from Russia broke them toward trump, Clinton never had those voters sewn up. Makes me nervous that they're calling themselves "undecided" again. Hillary got 48 and lost. Just gave me a shudder, is all.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)

14. And Comey

Reply to EveHammond13 (Reply #6)

Fri Jul 26, 2019, 08:59 AM

Jul 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

NYMinute

(3,256 posts)

9. Also, Trump was an unknown persona in 2016

Reply to MontanaFarmer (Reply #4)

Thu Jul 25, 2019, 09:23 PM

Jul 2019

His "great businessman" image and "drain the swamp" soundbite were attractive.

Now voters have realized what he really is and that he is the swamp.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

RDANGELO

(3,433 posts)

11. It's the same way with the suburban vote.

Reply to MontanaFarmer (Reply #4)

Fri Jul 26, 2019, 12:19 AM

Jul 2019

The most he gets is 38%. It would be hard for him to win the election, if he can't get 40% of the suburban vote.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

12. I think it's different solely because Trump is the incumbent now...

Reply to MontanaFarmer (Reply #4)

Fri Jul 26, 2019, 12:33 AM

Jul 2019

There isn't an unknown aspect to him anymore.

FWIW, Biden's polling average is currently at 49.6% - on election day in 2016, Hillary's was 46.8, so, nearly a three-point difference.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

MontanaFarmer

(630 posts)

13. Good info, thanks, i should have looked!

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #12)

Fri Jul 26, 2019, 08:38 AM

Jul 2019

What do you make of the vote share? Mostly a lack of knowledge of our other candidates? I guess I'm just feeling wary, trump seems to have had an undeservedly good week, aided by media covering the "optics" of Mueller instead of the confirmation that this guy is, in fact, a criminal.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden