*NEW * HarrisX Poll (Aug 23-26) 1,341 Respondents: Biden 31%, Sanders 16%, Warren 10%, Harris 5%

[Skya Rhen]

Previous poll (Aug 20-23) 1,343 Respondents

Biden 28%...…………31% (+3)
Sanders 18%...…….16% (-2)
Warren 12%.....…...10% (-2)
Harris 7%...……...…...5% (-2)


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vRKBhXsb7jnqSaKL_TKS4IfD5EtIIsd9uYzm0w-6mrRX6A61Oa-aNyFIWN_vW6e9ZbaxKQjOF_LJAb_/pubhtml/sheet?headers=false&gid=0


What trend?

[Vegas Roller]

1. K&R

The Monmouth people will now go into hiding.

[pnwmom]

2. It's an online poll with a C+ rating from 538. That same poll gives Trump a 46% approval rating,

several points higher than the average of polls.

Still think it's reliable?

[DrToast]

11. The value of tracking polls

Even on polls that aren’t so great, they still reflect movement when the electorate actually moves. Whatever you think about the reliability of the Harris poll, it is consistent with most of the other polls that things haven’t changed very much lately.

[pnwmom]

12. Not really. Because it's only as good as its panel -- which seems to be skewed toward Trump.

A 46% approval for Trump is well above the average.

[bluewater]

19. Tracking polls of preselected panels are subject to systematic bias...

But... the polls are what the polls are!

Time will tell how accurate they are.

[JI7]

3. it's too early for polls. we haven't even had Warren and Biden

on the same debate stage yet.

i also think things like the GOTV efforts that candidates are working on matter more.

[BlueMTexpat]

7. I really look forward to

seeing them on the same stage!

And I agree with your comment about other things mattering more than polls.

[BannonsLiver]

4. Ill need a ruling from our resident objective, agenda free polling analysts

[Cha]

8. lol

[Maven]

9. LOL!!!

[bluewater]

10. the polls are what the polls are!

Online HarrisX tracking polls of the preselected Harris Panel of respondents ARE included in the RCP Polls Tracker.

But, since the HarrisX poll is a tracker that is released almost DAILY, we will have to wait and see if RealClearPolitics includes this particular on in their polling average.

Check out the 20+or so HarrisX polls released for August... so far.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/national/

[BannonsLiver]

13. You misunderstood.

I’m looking for objective, agenda-free analysis.

[bluewater]

14. Did I?

or did I just use that as an opportunity to highlight certain "characteristics" of the online HarrisX tracking poll of the Harris Panel, which is a survey of preselected respondents that is polled over and over?

heh, did you see where the August 9th results of the HarrisX Poll that is the last poll used in the RCP Polls tracker, had exactly the same results as the one in the OP?

Here, in case you missed that:

From the previous online HarrisX Poll listed in RCP Polls

Aug 9-10, 2019
C+
HarrisX
451
RV
Biden 31%
Sanders 16%
Warren 10%
Harris 7%

Amazing, hmm? lol Who would have thought that a survey of the same people polled over and over would return such similar results?

But... the polls are what the polls are.

People should not cherry-pick polls based on whether they like the results.

[Thekaspervote]

16. I will patiently wait

[msongs]

5. needs all caps lol. nt

[bluewater]

6. The online HarrisX Poll surveys the Harris Panel over and over.

Perhaps that's why it's results are so similar, poll after poll?

They survey the same pool of people again and again because it's a tracking poll of the Harris Panel, a pre-selected group of respondents.

Look at this, for example:

From the previous online HarrisX Poll listed in RCP Polls:

Aug 9-10, 2019
C+
HarrisX
451
RV
Biden 31%
Sanders 16%
Warren 10%
Harris 7%

Um, these previous results are AMAZINGLY similar, hmmm?

But, the polls are what the polls are. This latest HarrisX poll will go into RCP Polls Tracker like the previous ones have.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

Actually, we will have to see if RCP Polls uses this particular HarrisX tracking Poll, since these are released almost on a daily basis.

Take a look at all the one's released so far for August, there are about 20 of them, at least:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/national/

[Thekaspervote]

17. RCP- as of today, Mr. Biden's lead, averaged over all the polls 10.5%

[bluewater]

18. Let's ALL celebrate that Biden is at 27.2% AVERAGE support today!

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

The trend is what the trend is.

[Princetonian]

20. RCP poll averages: Joe 27.2%, Bernie 16.7%, Liz 16.2%, Harris 7.5%

[bluewater]

21. 27.2% average support for the FRONT RUNNER? Ok...

lets look at the trend too!

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

the trend is what the trend is!

[Princetonian]

22. Joe has steady averaging plus AA support where Warren has serious problems outside of whites folks

Joe leads with Latino voters too.

[bluewater]

23. True enough.

Warren needs to improve in her appeal to those voters. I hear she is working hard on that.

But, putting sparring aside for a moment, let's both agree that Biden or Warren would make a much better President than Trump.

And that we will all be voting blue no matter who the nominee eventually is.

I respect your dedication to your chosen candidate.



Have a nice evening.

[Thekaspervote]

24. Well bluwater, I for one am very pleased to hear you say that

[Scurrilous]

15. Boink.

[Hassin Bin Sober]

25. Clicky clicky clicky

[FloridaBlues]

26. Thinking Monmouth poll is outlier. At least there's more people polled in this one.