Democratic Primaries

highplainsdem

(49,005 posts) Mon Aug 26, 2019, 07:42 PM Aug 2019

Change Research NJ poll: Biden 26%, Warren 23%, Sanders 21%, Buttigieg 12%, Harris 8%,

Booker 5%, O'Rourke 2%

https://www.changeresearch.com/new-jersey-poll-august-16-20-2019

Joe Biden (26%), Elizabeth Warren (23%), and Bernie Sanders (21%) have the highest levels of support among likely Democratic voters in New Jersey.

Biden has a 42-point lead among black primary voters with 55%. Warren leads among white voters with 29%, followed by Biden 22%.

Sanders leads among 18-34 and 35-49 year-old voters and Biden leads among 50-64 year-old and 65 and older voters. The race is closest among 35-49 year-old voters: Sanders (24%) has a one-point lead over Warren (23%).

-snip-

Joe Biden leads the Democratic primary in New Jersey with 26%. He is followed by Elizabeth Warren (23%) and Bernie Sanders (21%). Pete Buttigieg (12%), Kamala Harris (8%), Cory Booker (5%), and Beto O’Rourke (2%) follow. All other candidates poll at 1% or less.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

11 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Change Research NJ poll: Biden 26%, Warren 23%, Sanders 21%, Buttigieg 12%, Harris 8%, (Original Post) highplainsdem Aug 2019 OP

Go, Joe! Skya Rhen Aug 2019 #1

A statistical tie for Warren and Biden! bluewater Aug 2019 #2

Better than the outlier Monmouth poll's monster 5.7% MOE and teeny tiny sample Princetonian Aug 2019 #3

Let's all celebrate C+ rated Change Research! bluewater Aug 2019 #7

Monmouth methodology has been thoroughly mocked by Nate Silver, CNN analysts and other pollsters. Princetonian Aug 2019 #10

Thanks, highplainsdem! Ha! Cha Aug 2019 #4

let's go Joe ! stonecutter357 Aug 2019 #5

K&R Scurrilous Aug 2019 #6

KICK! Cha Aug 2019 #8

Sounds like NJ. The whole tri-state region (NY, NJ, CT) will be similar. Princetonian Aug 2019 #9

Joe's gonna be a permanent fixture at the top. America's awake. oasis Aug 2019 #11

Skya Rhen

(2,701 posts)

1. Go, Joe!

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 07:46 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

bluewater

(5,376 posts)

2. A statistical tie for Warren and Biden!

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 07:47 PM

Aug 2019

"The margin of error as traditionally calculated is ± 2.9% for the full sample and ±3.9% for Democratic voters."

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Princetonian

(1,501 posts)

3. Better than the outlier Monmouth poll's monster 5.7% MOE and teeny tiny sample

Reply to bluewater (Reply #2)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 07:51 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

bluewater

(5,376 posts)

7. Let's all celebrate C+ rated Change Research!

Reply to Princetonian (Reply #3)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 08:18 PM

Aug 2019

Last time, when the poll had results people didn't like, they all attacked this reputable professional polling firm!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Princetonian

(1,501 posts)

10. Monmouth methodology has been thoroughly mocked by Nate Silver, CNN analysts and other pollsters.

Reply to bluewater (Reply #7)

Tue Aug 27, 2019, 03:58 AM

Aug 2019

Morning Consult poll has been held up as a contrast by Obama /HRC pollster. Check it out:
https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

That said, polls right now are meaningless but fun.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden