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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 10:57 AM

 

Bernie rose to 9% on DU preferences.

Bernie is up 2% in the past 3 to 4 days. This is significant as it stayed at 7% for months. I'm sensing a surge!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

31 replies, 740 views

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Arrow 31 replies Author Time Post
Reply Bernie rose to 9% on DU preferences. (Original post)
Joe941 Jan 2020 OP
ritapria Jan 2020 #1
dware Jan 2020 #2
George II Jan 2020 #3
Joe941 Jan 2020 #7
dware Jan 2020 #9
JonLP24 Jan 2020 #28
George II Jan 2020 #11
Joe941 Jan 2020 #14
George II Jan 2020 #16
DavidDvorkin Jan 2020 #4
whistler162 Jan 2020 #5
MineralMan Jan 2020 #6
Joe941 Jan 2020 #8
MineralMan Jan 2020 #10
karynnj Jan 2020 #19
MineralMan Jan 2020 #20
George II Jan 2020 #13
dware Jan 2020 #15
MerryBlooms Jan 2020 #30
George II Jan 2020 #31
George II Jan 2020 #12
PubliusEnigma Jan 2020 #17
karynnj Jan 2020 #18
bearsfootball516 Jan 2020 #21
TexasTowelie Jan 2020 #22
Joe941 Jan 2020 #23
TexasTowelie Jan 2020 #24
seaglass Jan 2020 #25
brooklynite Jan 2020 #26
NurseJackie Jan 2020 #27
BannonsLiver Jan 2020 #29

Response to Joe941 (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 10:59 AM

1. Great News

 

DU is feel'in the Berne.... Decorah Iowa is also feel'in the Berne .. 3 standing ovations ….A crowd of 800 last night in a town with a population of 8100 - during a snowstorm no less …...More importantly,most of those in attendance were oldsters ..Lots of Beautiful Gray hair in the throng ...I've never seen that before ...Very interesting ...
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Joe941 (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:03 AM

2. And you think that DU is a harbinger for the rest of the nation?

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Joe941 (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:04 AM

3. That's simply not true, but whatever............

 

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287395446

Still less than half that of Warren and only 60% of Biden.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to George II (Reply #3)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:14 AM

7. Did you miss the part about in the past few days?

 

Bernie is at 9% now - it's on all our screens now. Those charts dont reflect that yet. They were last updated late dec.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Joe941 (Reply #7)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:17 AM

9. Did you miss the part that BS is still in single digits?

 

Who knows, he might make it to double digits on DU by the time of the primaries or the Convection.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to dware (Reply #9)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 05:29 PM

28. DU had a lot of turnover for a variety of reasons

 

DU used to be 90%-95% Bernie Sanders in 2016.

9% is really good for this board considering all of the negative information that gets posted here.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Joe941 (Reply #7)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:19 AM

11. You said he was up 2% in the past 3-4 days. He was 8% on December 31, this is January 4....

 

....but I guess it "looks" good even if it's not true.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to George II (Reply #11)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:39 AM

14. My mistake. Maybe it was a week.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Joe941 (Reply #14)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:48 AM

16. More like several weeks, and not 2%. He started December at 7.84, rounded to 8%, ended at 8.34 ....

 

...(just up 0.50) to finally get up to "9%" he only had to go up a mere 0.16.

On the other hand, here's Biden's numbers:

However, if one candidate did receive any benefit from Harris's exit, that candidate was -- you guessed it -- Joe Biden.
Biden's numbers definitely took a bump at the start of December, climbing almost a full percentage point from 13.42% on December 2 to 14.24% on December 6. Biden closes out December on 14.63%.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Joe941 (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:11 AM

4. It's a surge!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Joe941 (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:12 AM

5. WHOOPEEE!!!!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Joe941 (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:14 AM

6. And Bernie Surges Once Again!

 

Soon, he may be in double digits!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to MineralMan (Reply #6)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:16 AM

8. On DU that would be huge!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Joe941 (Reply #8)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:19 AM

10. It would also be meaningless.

 

DU does not reflect actual voting numbers. It's not even close.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to MineralMan (Reply #10)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 12:18 PM

19. Wait .. are you telling me that at this point in 2004, Kucinich was not really ahead of Kerry! nt

 

I corrected the spelling after seeing your reply
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to karynnj (Reply #19)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 12:19 PM

20. LOL!

 

Kucinich ---
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Joe941 (Reply #8)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:24 AM

13. This means that 91% on DU don't want him. Ironic, isn't it?

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to George II (Reply #13)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:41 AM

15. Ouch!!!!

 

That's gonna leave a mark.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to George II (Reply #13)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 05:37 PM

30. And, 85% don't want Biden. I don't believe DU preferences at this time have much meaning.

 

I'm holding off on deciding until the last debate. I've always been a Vote Blue No Matter Who, gal. I've got some health issues going on, so I think that's why I'm not feeling fired up these days. Pretty sure once those issues are resolved, and I'm released for normal activity, I'll be chomping at the bit to hit the pavement and phones for our nominee.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to MerryBlooms (Reply #30)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 06:05 PM

31. Neither do I, we're certainly not representative of the country. But when someone claims....

 

.....that a candidate is "surging" by going up a half a point on DU, I'm going to point out the reality of that.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to MineralMan (Reply #6)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:23 AM

12. Bazinga!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Joe941 (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 12:16 PM

17. Biden's lead in real polling has increased. Prepare yourself.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Joe941 (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 12:16 PM

18. I have been surprised at how stable the numbers have been over the last few months

 

From memory, I have seen him at 8 all month. So, there is an uptick.

The link posted from a post below on this thread - contains this relevant passage:

" And there was another candidate on the move in December -- Bernie Sanders. Sanders started December on 7.84% and finishes half a percentage point up at 8.34%. This does not seem to be related to Kamala Harris dropping out -- he didn't receive a significant bump in the first week of December -- but Bernie has been slowly gaining ground for a while now."

Note that ENTIRE December interval would be shown as 8. It is an increase of 1/2 a point over December. With the current 9%, Bernie moved from 7.84% to some number in the interval (8.5 to 9.49). His January gain - so far - is at least .66 % (8.5 - 7.84). Given how the DU chart works, it is more likely that he just gained a new person who put him above 8.5. This means his total gain since December 1 is 1.16

It is also interesting that Biden gained 1.21 (14.63 - 13.42) in December. His percent still registers as 15 today, so the minimum Biden gain from December 1 until today is 1.08 (14.5 - 13.42) at a minimum.


Now, let's consider the political leanings of DU. Since it started, it has been more to the left and more progressive than the democratic base. That Sanders is at less than 20% of the decided DU 'voters' does not bode well for him. Warren has more than twice his share of DU and while he had a small gain and she has had a small decline, she still is the one in that lane with the most support on DU.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Joe941 (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 01:49 PM

21. DU is also significantly more progressive than the national democratic party.

 

DU is far from a good indicator of where the general public voting democrats are.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Joe941 (Original post)


Response to TexasTowelie (Reply #22)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 02:47 PM

23. So I guess that would go for Biden too then - probably just manipulated.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Joe941 (Reply #23)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 03:18 PM

24. Only if the Biden supporters felt a need to play foolish games

 

to manipulate a meaningless vote. Expect for them to be knocking on doors, making telephone calls, and to show up at the primary polls instead.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Joe941 (Original post)


Response to Joe941 (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 05:14 PM

26. Well, yes, but how is he doing in Facebook polls?

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Joe941 (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 05:17 PM

27. Haaaaaa!

 

I'm sensing a surge!


If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Joe941 (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 05:34 PM

29. Alternate headline

 

“Bernie Sanders moves up to 9 percent in completely meaningless non scientific poll”

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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