BTRTN 2020 Vision: Wide, Wide Open...Four Way Tie in Iowa with Billionaires Ready Down the Road

[reggieandlee]

Born To Run The Numbers with their brand new (just posted this morning) summary of the status of the 2020 Presidential campaign race, with detailed analysis and all the latest polls both nationally and in the early primary states.

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2020/01/btrtn-2020-vision-wide-wide-openfour.html

Excerpts:"The Iowa caucuses are, for all intents and purposes, a four-way dead heat. With just three weeks to go, Elizabeth Warren slightly lags behind Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg, who are in a virtual tie for the lead. The Democratic field narrowed to 12, and with the latest departures – Cory Booker, Julian Castro and Marianne Williamson – gone went the diversity that had characterized the Democratic field of nominees (if never the leaderboard)...
"The debate on Tuesday night in Des Moines was widely viewed as a non-event, a rather cautious affair given the stakes, with none of the expected fireworks materializing, especially between Sanders and Warren (though there were some sharp words on stage after the debate ended)...
"In general, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders are on an upward swing... Biden’s jump back into winning contention in Iowa raises the possibility that if he performs well there and in New Hampshire, he could take a commanding lead heading into better terrain for him: Nevada, South Carolina and Super Tuesday. Sanders won the fourth quarter money stakes, and is built to last, having totally re-invigorated his campaign, against all odds, after his heart attack...
"But watch out for the billionaires…Tom Steyer is suddenly polling well in both Nevada and South Carolina, and Mike Bloomberg is obliterating the airwaves in Super Tuesday states with more than $200 million in ad spending to date, about three-quarters of what the rest of the field has spent (mostly by Steyer at about $140 million)...