Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forum*NEW* Suffolk University (A- rated) Poll - Biden 25%, Sanders 19%, Buttigieg 18%, Warren 13%
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to Skya Rhen (Original post)
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Skya Rhen
(2,701 posts)Note that the other polls you refer to were conducted from Jan 20 - Jan 23.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to Skya Rhen (Reply #2)
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Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to George II (Reply #5)
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Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Bernie has an advantage in caucuses because he has the highest floor and the most hardcore voters, leaving a lot more Biden supporters to be pursuaded. Being a virtual tie this far from IA is not good for Biden winning IA. 538 or rcp will not bviously take that into account.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,696 posts)"In the survey taken Thursday through Sunday, Biden was backed by 25% of likely Democratic caucusgoers, ahead of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 19%; former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 18%; Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 13%; and Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar at 6%."
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Per 538. That's a dead heat.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,696 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)The average is .7
Also the projection gives Bernie a 33% chance and Biden a 35% chance. Or aka a dead heat.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Dead heat then
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,696 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Averages are more accurate, generally.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,696 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)But as noted, advantages in caucuses usually go to those with the highest floor. I think either could lose by several points.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Up by 1. Yougov is at least A rated, I think. (Nvm it is b- rated)
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,696 posts)We shall see...voting starts soon.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Cha
(297,723 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden