Democratic Primaries

liberalmediaaddict

(766 posts) Wed Feb 19, 2020, 12:24 PM Feb 2020

What poll do you trust the most? If any...

There's so many different polls trying to predict who's going to win the Democratic nomination. Which one do you trust the most?

Personally I don't trust any of them after what happened in 2016. At this point the only one I consistently check is Trump’s approval rating on Five Thirty Eight. To make sure it's still underwater.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

9 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

What poll do you trust the most? If any... (Original Post) liberalmediaaddict Feb 2020 OP

Poll aggregates are the most reliable. Happy Hoosier Feb 2020 #1

None of them Camp, here. LakeArenal Feb 2020 #2

I trust the only poll that matters - the one on primary day. LonePirate Feb 2020 #3

Election Day relayerbob Feb 2020 #4

Ditto! And this 'poll' really matters too! NT SWBTATTReg Feb 2020 #7

The poll at the top of the DU Primaries Forum.. of course! NurseJackie Feb 2020 #5

None Dem2 Feb 2020 #6

I think an aggregate of polls is necessary. But respondents likely skew older, which... Garrett78 Feb 2020 #8

None after 2016. redstatebluegirl Feb 2020 #9

Happy Hoosier

(7,296 posts)

1. Poll aggregates are the most reliable.

Reply to liberalmediaaddict (Original post)

Wed Feb 19, 2020, 12:26 PM

Feb 2020

I personally think the 538 aggregation model is the best.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

LakeArenal

(28,817 posts)

2. None of them Camp, here.

Reply to liberalmediaaddict (Original post)

Wed Feb 19, 2020, 12:29 PM

Feb 2020

No one I know with caller id answers for polls.

Also many that have chosen their candidate no longer respond or listen to polls.

How can any poll be accurate?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

LonePirate

(13,419 posts)

3. I trust the only poll that matters - the one on primary day.

Reply to liberalmediaaddict (Original post)

Wed Feb 19, 2020, 12:30 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

relayerbob

(6,544 posts)

4. Election Day

Reply to liberalmediaaddict (Original post)

Wed Feb 19, 2020, 12:30 PM

Feb 2020

And even that seems to be up in the air any more

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

SWBTATTReg

(22,114 posts)

7. Ditto! And this 'poll' really matters too! NT

Reply to relayerbob (Reply #4)

Wed Feb 19, 2020, 01:28 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

5. The poll at the top of the DU Primaries Forum.. of course!

Reply to liberalmediaaddict (Original post)

Wed Feb 19, 2020, 12:31 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Dem2

(8,168 posts)

6. None

Reply to liberalmediaaddict (Original post)

Wed Feb 19, 2020, 12:32 PM

Feb 2020

Tossing out the shitty ones and averaging the rest may have some meaning in the fall. Right now they're just providing an idea of which voters we need to focus on.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden