BTRTN South Carolina Preview: Can a Funny Thing Happen on the Way to Bernie's Coronation?

[tgards79]

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2020/02/btrtn-south-carolina-preview-can-funny.html

"The Democratic campaign is over, right? Bernie Sanders is the nominee. He basically won the first three contests. After essentially tying with Pete Buttigieg in lily-white Iowa, winning New Hampshire and utterly clobbering the field in Nevada, showing strength in every demographic in that highly diverse state, what more does Bernie have to prove? Nate Silver has run the numbers, Bernie is going to come out of Super Tuesday with an insurmountable 300+ delegate lead and, as the Boss would say, man, that was all she wrote. Now it’s time for the Bernie youth brigade to figure out where the ballot boxes are in November and actually show up to vote, and for the rest of us to grit our teeth and unify behind Sanders, like it or not.

Wait, what?

There is something called the “South Carolina Primary.” Have we forgotten? Joe Biden’s firewall? Hello, anybody home?

Wake up, folks, because Joe Biden is going to win South Carolina. He’s actually going to win big. And by Saturday night, Nate will start re-spinning his numbers faster than I can say '2016.' "

[LakeArenal]

1. From this post to S.C. voters ballot.

[TTUBatfan2008]

2. He gives it a 30% chance...

I think it's probably more like a 80-90% chance that we see consolidation of the non-Bernie voters into a bandwagon for Joe Biden. Heck, I think Bloomberg might even stay in the race and simply run attack ads against Sanders on behalf of Biden. I will be far more surprised if Sanders is able to get the nomination.

[blm]

5. Too bad the field is still too crowded for Super Tuesday.

I think that is where Joe needs to shine, but, Pete and Amy will cut into his potential pool. Biden needs for them to bow out like Sanders needs Warren to go. Which means Biden needs Warren to stay in like Bernie needs Pete to stay in.

[tgards79]

7. Joe wants Warren and Klobuchar to stay in for Super T

He does not want Bernie to clean up delegates in Minnesota and Massachusetts

[UncleNoel]

3. LOL!

[honest.abe]

4. Nate is already respinning his numbers and Bernie is in a nosedive.

[tgards79]

6. Yes, and he was a little slow on that

Two more polls came out with Biden > 40%