Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

geek tragedy

geek tragedy's Journal
geek tragedy's Journal
April 13, 2016

Small moments can be big.

Bernie got lots of hype for attending the picket march by the local CWA in their strike against Verizon.

Verizon is one of the places that paid Hillary $225,000 for one of her talks.

The CWA has already endorsed Bernie, both locally and nationally.

She attended their picket line to show support anyways.

Was very well received--some chants of "Hill-a-ree" and a top national union guy thanking her for swinging by, saying "we'll be there for you."

April 13, 2016

Clinton leads Trump and Cruz. In Georgia.

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/LRPmemo.GeorgiaDemocraticParty.F.041116.pdf

Clinton 50-37 vs Drumpf, 47-40 vs the Zodiac Killer.

Maybe Bernie and his 35-37 state strategy are missing something.

April 13, 2016

Clinton gets endorsement from diverse coalition of immigrant groups

Democratic presidential frontrunner Hillary Clinton picked up a key endorsement from the largest immigrant rights coalition in the country after unveiling a proposal to create a new federal office dedicated solely to immigrant affairs.

Clinton accepted the endorsement from the New York State Immigrant Action Fund in Manhattan on Wednesday, where she pledged to create formal channels designed to help immigrants integrate into communities across the United States.

The endorsement is a major win for the Clinton campaign in gaining support from a broad collection of communities that have roots across every continent. The group’s diversity mirrors the demographics of New York City, marking a boost for Clinton ahead of next week’s primary that extends beyond the burgeoning political power of the Latino voting bloc.

“This is a diverse community. We’re not Texas, we’re not California,” Steve Choi, executive director of the New York Immigration Action Coalition, told MSNBC. “Whether you’re talking about the Ecuadorian immigrants in the East End or Burmese immigrants in Buffalo, through that connection we have a deep insight to the unique needs of New York as a whole.”


http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/diverse-coalition-immigrant-groups-endorse-hillary-clinton

April 13, 2016

Clinton earns backing of New York electrical workers union

http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-dem-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/04/ny-electrical-workers-endorse-hillary-clinton-221901

Hillary Clinton notched another union endorsement Wednesday in New York, earning the support of the Local 3 International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers.

The endorsement of the union, which represents 27,000 area members, comes on the same day the 42,000-member Transport Workers Union Local 100 announced that it would be supporting Bernie Sanders for next Tuesday's primary.




April 13, 2016

Sharpton teases de Blasio over "C.P. time" joke

http://www.capitalnewyork.com/article/city-hall/2016/04/8596532/sharpton-teases- de-blasio-over-cp-time-joke

On Wednesday morning, with de Blasio in attendance at the 25th anniversary of the National Action Network’s annual convention, Sharpton jokingly cautioned the mayor and Comptroller Scott Stringer to stay away from the issue.

"Y’all got to leave all these jokes alone," Sharpton said. "Just, don’t even talk about race for a while. There’ll be others. Have a drink of water, Scott."

(Stringer had spoken earlier, employing his familiar refrain that corporate boards are “too male,” “too pale” and “too stale.”)

Sharpton’s remarks drew laughs and applause from de Blasio and Stringer, along with the audience at the Sheraton in Midtown.


This seems to be the appropriate response.
April 12, 2016

Your one-stop-shop for tracking delegate math on the night of the NY Primary

NY state results includes not only statewide but also Congressional District numbers so we can estimate delegate splits.

Link:

http://nyenr.elections.state.ny.us/

Delegate totals by CD:

7 delegates: CDs 3,7, 14, 20, 7

Delegate thresholds (%):
1 delegate: 15.0
2 delegates: 21.4
3 delegates: 35.7
4 delegates: 50.0
5 delegates: 64.3
6 delegates: 78.6
7 delegates: 85.0

5 delegates: CDs 11, 19, 22, 23

Delegate thresholds (%):
1 delegate: 15.0
2 delegates: 30.0
3 delegates: 50.0
4 delegates: 70.0
5 delegates: 85.0

6 delegates: all the rest
Delegate thresholds:
1 delegate: 15.0
2 delegates: 25.0
3 delegates: 41.7
4 delegates: 58.4
5 delegates: 75.0
6 delegates: 85.0

Pledged PLEO: 30 (just multiply the % by 30 for each candidate, and round to the nearest whole number)
At-large: 54 ( (just multiply the % by 30 for each candidate, and round to the nearest whole number)

total 247

April 12, 2016

Link for live results for NY Primary and delegate math

It includes not only statewide but also Congressional District numbers so we can estimate delegate splits.

Link:

http://nyenr.elections.state.ny.us/

Delegate totals by CD:

7 delegates: CDs 3,7, 14, 20, 7

Delegate thresholds (%):
1 delegate: 15.0
2 delegates: 21.4
3 delegates: 35.7
4 delegates: 50.0
5 delegates: 64.3
6 delegates: 78.6
7 delegates: 85.0

5 delegates: CDs 11, 19, 22, 23

Delegate thresholds (%):
1 delegate: 15.0
2 delegates: 30.0
3 delegates: 50.0
4 delegates: 70.0
5 delegates: 85.0

6 delegates: all the rest
Delegate thresholds:
1 delegate: 15.0
2 delegates: 25.0
3 delegates: 41.7
4 delegates: 58.4
5 delegates: 75.0
6 delegates: 85.0

Pledged PLEO: 30 (just multiply the % by 30 for each candidate, and round to the nearest whole number)
At-large: 54 ( (just multiply the % by 54 for each candidate, and round to the nearest whole number)

total 247

Good analysis of where things might turn out:

http://www.benchmarkpolitics.com/2016/04/new-york-city-and-surrounding-areas.html?showComment=1460570402023&m=1


Making a race call: Clinton will win the 2016 New York Democratic Primary. Margin call at 30%. Clinton overperforming benchmarks EVERYWHERE.
April 12, 2016

Link for live NY primary returns, by Congressional District and delegate allocation math

http://nyenr.elections.state.ny.us/

Hope both Bernie and Hillary and ugh-just-get-this-over-with folks can find this useful.

It includes not only statewide but also Congressional District numbers so we can estimate delegate splits.

Link:

http://nyenr.elections.state.ny.us/

Delegate totals by CD:

7 delegates: CDs 3,7, 14, 20, 7

Delegate thresholds (%):
1 delegate: 15.0
2 delegates: 21.4
3 delegates: 35.7
4 delegates: 50.0
5 delegates: 64.3
6 delegates: 78.6
7 delegates: 85.0

5 delegates: CDs 11, 19, 22, 23

Delegate thresholds (%):
1 delegate: 15.0
2 delegates: 30.0
3 delegates: 50.0
4 delegates: 70.0
5 delegates: 85.0

6 delegates: all the rest
Delegate thresholds:
1 delegate: 15.0
2 delegates: 25.0
3 delegates: 41.7
4 delegates: 58.4
5 delegates: 75.0
6 delegates: 85.0

Pledged PLEO: 30 (just multiply the % by 30 for each candidate, and round to the nearest whole number)
At-large: 54 ( (just multiply the % by 30 for each candidate, and round to the nearest whole number)

total 247

Profile Information

Member since: Thu May 13, 2004, 12:50 PM
Number of posts: 68,868
Latest Discussions»geek tragedy's Journal