geek tragedy
geek tragedy's Journalanother poll showing Clinton up double digits (Quinnipiac) (4-12-16)
https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ny/ny04122016_Ngr72wd.pdfhttps://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2343
Donald Trump has 55 percent of New York likely Republican primary voters, followed by Ohio Gov. John Kasich with 20 percent and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas with 19 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.
Today's results show little movement from a March 31 survey showing Clinton over Sanders 54 - 42 percent and Trump with 56 percent, followed by Cruz at 20 percent and Kasich at 19 percent.
Momentum!
At Jews for Bernie event, anger boils over at Sanders campaign
More backlash from the NYDN interview and AIPAC brouhaha.
http://www.jta.org/2016/04/11/news-opinion/politics/at-jews-for-bernie-event-anger-boils-over-at-sanders-campaign
But at a Jews for Bernie brunch in Manhattan’s Tribeca neighborhood on Sunday, the frustration seemed to boil over when some silver-haired Jewish supporters of Sanders began deriding what they described as the campaign’s lackluster response to perceived missteps by the Democratic presidential candidate on Jewish issues – most recently, last week’s interview with the New York Daily News in which Sanders grossly overestimated the number of Palestinian civilians killed in the 2014 Gaza conflict.
That interview and other Sanders campaign blunders on issues of Jewish concern, several of them complained, are making it more difficult to make the case to fellow Jews to support the Vermont senator in his bid for the White House. When campaign staffers at Sunday’s event tried to steer the public conversation away from those concerns to focus on the logistics of canvassing, a few attendees became visibly irritated.
“I’m very frustrated with the campaign,” Lisa Harbatkin, 72, of Manhattan, told JTA. “Given where today’s left is on Israel, I felt Bernie was too fuzzy on the Palestinians, but good enough. But as the campaign progressed, I became more upset. I wish he wouldn’t hang out so much with Cornel West” – the contentious African-American studies professor who has expressed support for the Boycott, Divestment, Sanctions movement against Israel.
“Sanders has been tone deaf on Gaza. And the interview with the Daily News was appalling,” she said. “He doesn’t go to the AIPAC conference, but he’s going to the Vatican? I mean, come on!”
New York City is a complicated place, and despite its liberal reputation, in some aspects the politics here are very much not liberal.
OMG--Bernie Sanders's tax preparer being interviewed--dog ate the tax returns
Jane Sanders is being grilled, says she can't find the previous 8 years of tax returns. Must be at home somewhere.
Will provide link when can find one, just seeing this via Twitter.
Seems legit. LOL.
NBC Poll: Trump, Clinton Hold Sizable Leads in New York
Source: NBC
In the Democratic race, Clinton is ahead of Bernie Sanders among likely Democratic primary voters by 14 points, 55 percent to 41 percent.
Clinton leads Sanders among African Americans (68 percent to 28 percent), those ages 45 and older (66 percent to 30 percent) and women (58 percent to 38 percent).
Sanders, meanwhile, holds the advantage among those younger than 45 (62 percent to 37 percent) and those who describe themselves as "very liberal" (59 percent to 40 percent). The two are running roughly even among men and Latinos.
Geographically, Clinton is ahead of Sanders in New York City (58 percent to 39 percent) and in the suburbs (61 percent to 36 percent), but Sanders holds a one-point lead in Upstate New York (49 percent to 48 percent).
Read more: http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/nbc-poll-trump-clinton-hold-sizable-leads-new-york-n554311
It's looking like a 12-18 point race at this point. One week to go.
If the Sanders campaign is right and the only relevant delegate number is 2383, then does Clinton
have the right to declare victory when her pledged delegates + superdelegates exceeds 2383?
Asking for a friend.
Closed primaries in NY: they exist to protect smaller parties from being bullied and taken over
by the big parties.
Right now all of the focus is on how awful this is for Independents. But it's precisely the smaller parties that those independents belong to that are being protected.
There are 48,000 or so members of the Working Families Party in New York.
It would be rather easy for the Democratic machine here to have, oh, 49,000 people switch their registration to WFP as part of a hostile take over, and install party leaders who would be lapdogs for the Democratic party.
Same dynamic goes for Green Party, Conservative Party, etc--to protect them from interference and gamesmanship from the big established parties.
New York has several smaller parties that have endured for a long time precisely because it protects them and makes sure that only their members participate in the governance of those parties.
Sanders campaign no longer planning on winning pledged delegate majority
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-sanders-idUSKCN0X80Y1Defying opinion polls and expert predictions, Democratic hopeful Bernie Sanders aims to seize the party's White House nomination from Hillary Clinton's grasp with a last-ditch come-from-behind triumph in California.
By far the most populous U.S. state, California is the largest prize of the state-by-state nominating contests, and the vote on June 7 is one of the last before Democrats convene in July to select a nominee for the Nov. 8 presidential election.
An aggressive schedule of large rallies is planned along with heavy purchases of TV, radio and online advertising in three languages and a "far, far more expensive" campaign effort than in any other state, Sanders campaign sources disclosed.
"I think they’re still riding rainbow unicorns if they think there’s a path," said Steve Schale, a Florida-based strategist, of Sanders' bid for the White House.
California has been a reliable source of campaign funds for Clinton, and opinion polls show her ahead there by as many as 14 percentage points. The statistical analysis media site FiveThirtyEight gives her a 91 percent chance of winning the state primary.
The Sanders campaign push aims to net as much as a 10-point win in California, helping him deny the front-running Clinton the 2,383 convention delegates she needs to clinch the nomination and give him the momentum to force a contested convention where he can try to win over the "superdelegates," those not decided by a state nominating contest and free to support anyone, the campaign sources said.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-sanders-idUSKCN0X80Y1
The 2,3838 number is key. It means they aren't planning to hold Clinton under a majority of pledged delegates.
Instead, they're hoping to prevent Clinton by winning it by such a massive margin that she doesn't need a single superdelegate to receive the nomination.
And they're going to blow huge amounts of money in one of the safest blue states in the country.
For something that by its own terms is doomed to fail.
Clinton doesn't need 2,383 pledged delegates, she only needs 2026 and she's the nominee, because she has around 500 super delegates supporting her.
This is madness, or a scam being perpetrated by campaign insiders getting rich off of all the campaign spending.
oof. Andrea Peyser in the NY Post today. (Hillary group)
If the Sanders folks thought Clinton supporters and Clinton played rough, there's a rude awakening for ya.
I am not going to link to it because it's rightwing horseshit and nakedly bigoted.
At least the Bernie Twitterverse will have something to really focus their ire on today.
Question submitted by geek tragedy
Think BLM hasn't made a difference?
Candidates for president are no longer pandering as tough on crime. They're pandering on addressing racial inequality in our criminal justice system.
The politicians didn't change. The ground moved underneath their feet.
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