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Fiendish Thingy
Fiendish Thingy's Journal
Fiendish Thingy's Journal
December 30, 2024
(Bolding is mine)
Much, much more detailed, evidence-based opinion and analysis (with supporting links) at the link, including a very interesting discussion about what might be in Jack Smiths report, its potential impact, and the chance Trump may seek to enjoin its release.
Reminder: scapegoating takes minimal effort, effective resistance takes critical thinking and hard work.
You have a choice.
I triple-dog-dare you to read the whole thing.
Yours sincerely, from the reality-based community,
FT
Emptywheel: the Opportunity Costs of Conspiracy Theories About Merrick Garland
(Somebody needed to post it, might as well be me)
https://www.emptywheel.net/2024/12/30/the-opportunity-costs-of-conspiracy-theories-about-merrick-garland/
You have a choice.
You can spend the next few weeks laying the groundwork for making a big stink about the fact that the aspiring FBI Director tried to help Trump steal classified documents.
Or you can spend it clinging to false claims about Merrick Garland so you can blame him for the fact that Trump won reelection rather than blaming the guy directly responsible for preventing a trial (and the guy wholl remain responsible for Trumps license going forward), John Roberts, to say nothing of the failed Democratic consultants and voters themselves.
(Snip)
I could give a flying fuck about Merrick Garland. What I care about is that at a time when we need to start establishing means of accountability for a second Trump term, much of the Democratic world has chosen instead to wallow in false claims about the Trump investigation in order to make Garland a scapegoat, rather than the guy directly responsible, John Roberts. Its classical conspiracy thinking. Something really bad happened (Trump got elected), its not entirely clear why (because almost no one bothers to learn the details Ive laid out here, to say nothing of considering the political work that didnt happen to make Trump own this), and so people simply invent explanations. Every time those explanations get debunked, people double down on the theory its Garlands fault rather than reconsidering their chosen explanation.
And those explanations have the effect of distracting attention from Roberts. Rather than talking about how six partisan Justices rewrote the Constitution to give the leader of the GOP a pass on egregious crimes, Democrats are choosing to blame a guy who encouraged prosecutors to follow the money in March 2021.
Its a choice. And its a choice that guarantees maximal impotence. Its a choice that eschews actual facts (and therefore the means to actually learn what happened). Its a choice that embraces irrational conspiracy thinking (which makes people weak and ripe for manipulation by authoritarians). Its a choice that distracts from Roberts role.
And there is a better, more urgent, option.
You can spend the next few weeks laying the groundwork for making a big stink about the fact that the aspiring FBI Director tried to help Trump steal classified documents.
Or you can spend it clinging to false claims about Merrick Garland so you can blame him for the fact that Trump won reelection rather than blaming the guy directly responsible for preventing a trial (and the guy wholl remain responsible for Trumps license going forward), John Roberts, to say nothing of the failed Democratic consultants and voters themselves.
(Snip)
I could give a flying fuck about Merrick Garland. What I care about is that at a time when we need to start establishing means of accountability for a second Trump term, much of the Democratic world has chosen instead to wallow in false claims about the Trump investigation in order to make Garland a scapegoat, rather than the guy directly responsible, John Roberts. Its classical conspiracy thinking. Something really bad happened (Trump got elected), its not entirely clear why (because almost no one bothers to learn the details Ive laid out here, to say nothing of considering the political work that didnt happen to make Trump own this), and so people simply invent explanations. Every time those explanations get debunked, people double down on the theory its Garlands fault rather than reconsidering their chosen explanation.
And those explanations have the effect of distracting attention from Roberts. Rather than talking about how six partisan Justices rewrote the Constitution to give the leader of the GOP a pass on egregious crimes, Democrats are choosing to blame a guy who encouraged prosecutors to follow the money in March 2021.
Its a choice. And its a choice that guarantees maximal impotence. Its a choice that eschews actual facts (and therefore the means to actually learn what happened). Its a choice that embraces irrational conspiracy thinking (which makes people weak and ripe for manipulation by authoritarians). Its a choice that distracts from Roberts role.
And there is a better, more urgent, option.
(Bolding is mine)
Much, much more detailed, evidence-based opinion and analysis (with supporting links) at the link, including a very interesting discussion about what might be in Jack Smiths report, its potential impact, and the chance Trump may seek to enjoin its release.
Reminder: scapegoating takes minimal effort, effective resistance takes critical thinking and hard work.
You have a choice.
I triple-dog-dare you to read the whole thing.
Yours sincerely, from the reality-based community,
FT

December 19, 2024
#FirstLaddyTrump
That's the best descriptor I've seen of the current pecking order of the incoming administration.
The media seems to be picking up on the "Who's In Charge?" narrative...
Let's give credit where credit (and blame) is due for the imminent shutdown:
To the incoming Musk/Vance administration, with an assist from First Laddy Donald Trump.
December 11, 2024
?w=790&quality=80&ssl=1
(Copy/pasted from Digbys blog)
Fascinating statistic re: House majority margin from Dave Wasserman

(Copy/pasted from Digbys blog)
December 2, 2024
?w=1158&quality=89&ssl=1
?w=1178&quality=89&ssl=1
?w=1179&quality=89&ssl=1
?w=1179&quality=89&ssl=1
Note the number of republicans, including former Trump officials, on the list. (Bill Barr!)
If Patel is confirmed and pursues prosecuting those on this list as aggressively as he has promised, I predict one of two things (or both) will happen:
1) he will quickly be impeached
2) somebody will shoot him in the face.
Kash Patel's enemies list:




Note the number of republicans, including former Trump officials, on the list. (Bill Barr!)
If Patel is confirmed and pursues prosecuting those on this list as aggressively as he has promised, I predict one of two things (or both) will happen:
1) he will quickly be impeached
2) somebody will shoot him in the face.
November 22, 2024
Even if Trump replaces the top brass in the military, there will be a not-insignificant number of officers and troops who will refuse to carry out unlawful orders.
Awhile back, somebody did a study that showed that when a certain percentage of the population (IIRC, it was about 3.5%) took to the streets, authoritarian regimes fell from power.
If my math is correct, 3.5% of the current US population is about 11.5 million people.
Our numbers matter.
Our Numbers Matter
https://twitter.com/maddenifico/status/1859692103003206142?Even if Trump replaces the top brass in the military, there will be a not-insignificant number of officers and troops who will refuse to carry out unlawful orders.
Awhile back, somebody did a study that showed that when a certain percentage of the population (IIRC, it was about 3.5%) took to the streets, authoritarian regimes fell from power.
If my math is correct, 3.5% of the current US population is about 11.5 million people.
Our numbers matter.
November 19, 2024
(Italics and bolding mine)
Much more at link.
The struggle to maintain a shared, evidence-based reality affects all people from all walks of life, not just the MAGA-afflicted. Manipulating our perceptions of reality via misinformation, disinformation and outright Conspiracy Theories is what keeps us fighting each other, rather than organizing to fight the powers who benefit from our disparate realities and our refusal to accept uncomfortable truths.
Tyee: Are We Cancelling the Enlightenment? Musings on the challenges of maintaining a single shared reality.
If were bored of reason and a single shared reality, well need something to take their place.
https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2024/11/19/Are-We-Cancelling-Enlightenment/
(The Tyee is a progressive Canadian news site)
T The Enlightenment had a good run. Over 400 years ago, an audacious idea emerged among scientists and philosophers that a single shared reality existed that could be measured and predicted using fundamental laws of nature. All the trappings of modern life, every technological convenience and scientific breakthrough flowed from the radical realization that truth exists not in the proclamations of the powerful, but in underlying nature itself.
The re-election of Donald Trump is a harbinger that the Enlightenment may now be on its last legs. Bored and weary of having to accommodate facts we dont agree with, many are retreating into bespoke realities served up by social media algorithms. Our ubiquitous devices and online platforms themselves a product of Enlightenment thought are ironically becoming its undoing.
Embracing a shared evidence-based reality is hard work. It requires dialogue and compromise among people who disagree and respecting the rights of those we might not respect. Many people seem sick of it. Popular cyber-platforms paired with artificial intelligence provide a convenient off-ramp from a confusing and frightening world that increasingly requires our attention and agency.
Historian and author Yuval Noah Harari notes that most information is not truth. Our social media feeds are a firehose of addictive and largely useless images and videos, curated by online algorithms designed not to inform but to keep us engaged.
These information streams are also increasingly polluted with AI-assisted disinformation in an effective effort to weaponize ignorance and undermine the very concept of truth. Why? Because disinformation works. In the words of Holocaust historian Timothy Snyder, post-truth is pre-fascism.... To abandon facts is to abandon freedom..
The re-election of Donald Trump is a harbinger that the Enlightenment may now be on its last legs. Bored and weary of having to accommodate facts we dont agree with, many are retreating into bespoke realities served up by social media algorithms. Our ubiquitous devices and online platforms themselves a product of Enlightenment thought are ironically becoming its undoing.
Embracing a shared evidence-based reality is hard work. It requires dialogue and compromise among people who disagree and respecting the rights of those we might not respect. Many people seem sick of it. Popular cyber-platforms paired with artificial intelligence provide a convenient off-ramp from a confusing and frightening world that increasingly requires our attention and agency.
Historian and author Yuval Noah Harari notes that most information is not truth. Our social media feeds are a firehose of addictive and largely useless images and videos, curated by online algorithms designed not to inform but to keep us engaged.
These information streams are also increasingly polluted with AI-assisted disinformation in an effective effort to weaponize ignorance and undermine the very concept of truth. Why? Because disinformation works. In the words of Holocaust historian Timothy Snyder, post-truth is pre-fascism.... To abandon facts is to abandon freedom..
(Italics and bolding mine)
Much more at link.
The struggle to maintain a shared, evidence-based reality affects all people from all walks of life, not just the MAGA-afflicted. Manipulating our perceptions of reality via misinformation, disinformation and outright Conspiracy Theories is what keeps us fighting each other, rather than organizing to fight the powers who benefit from our disparate realities and our refusal to accept uncomfortable truths.
November 17, 2024
We can heed Ressas advice, embrace our fears, and prepare for the coming onslaught against Democracy, or we can temporarily avoid our fears and cling to false hope by descending into CT rabbit holes
Ali Velshi: Nobel Laureate says Americans should learn from the example of the Philippines
?si=Dl0QbW7b4pxtR_PrWe can heed Ressas advice, embrace our fears, and prepare for the coming onslaught against Democracy, or we can temporarily avoid our fears and cling to false hope by descending into CT rabbit holes
November 17, 2024
(Spoiler alert: the answer is NO)
Marc Elias answers the question "Was there fraud in this election?"
(Spoiler alert: the answer is NO)
November 14, 2024
(The Tyee is a Canadian progressive news site)
(Bolding is mine)
Much more at link. Looks like his new book is going on my Xmas list
Timothy Snyder's new book: On Freedom "our problem is us"
https://thetyee.ca/Culture/2024/11/14/Timothy-Snyder-Our-Problem-Is-Us/(The Tyee is a Canadian progressive news site)
But many children chafe at the limits put on them and imagine themselves happier if only they didnt have to obey their parents and teachers. Some never grow out of that attitude. Negative freedom is, according to Snyder, freedom from some external barrier freedom from government on our backs, from tedious regulation and red tape, from expensive groceries and unwanted immigrants and refugees.
But negative freedom has consequences. When we think weve freed ourselves from our imagined burdens, we soon miss them. We feel the absence of government services; if our groceries are cheaper because theyre no longer inspected, they may also infect us with listeria. Or the groceries may be more expensive than ever because the immigrants and refugees who grew them, packed them, shipped them and put them on our supermarket shelves are now gone forever.
Snyder cites Freedom House, an organization that ranks over 200 countries by their peoples access to political rights, civil liberties and internet freedom. It ranks the United States as free with a score of 83, like Romania and South Korea.
Canadas score is 97, just behind Swedens 99 and Finlands 100.
(Snip)
He goes on: Freedom from is a conceptual trap. It is also a political trap, in that it involves self-deception, contains no program for its own realization, and offers opportunities to tyrants. Both a philosophy and a politics of freedom have to begin with freedom to.
But negative freedom has consequences. When we think weve freed ourselves from our imagined burdens, we soon miss them. We feel the absence of government services; if our groceries are cheaper because theyre no longer inspected, they may also infect us with listeria. Or the groceries may be more expensive than ever because the immigrants and refugees who grew them, packed them, shipped them and put them on our supermarket shelves are now gone forever.
Snyder cites Freedom House, an organization that ranks over 200 countries by their peoples access to political rights, civil liberties and internet freedom. It ranks the United States as free with a score of 83, like Romania and South Korea.
Canadas score is 97, just behind Swedens 99 and Finlands 100.
(Snip)
He goes on: Freedom from is a conceptual trap. It is also a political trap, in that it involves self-deception, contains no program for its own realization, and offers opportunities to tyrants. Both a philosophy and a politics of freedom have to begin with freedom to.
(Bolding is mine)
Much more at link. Looks like his new book is going on my Xmas list
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