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Jim Lane

Jim Lane's Journal
Jim Lane's Journal
March 25, 2016

Knitters, can you advise me about caring for an item?

Years ago my mother was an avid knitter. In cleaning out the house after her death, I found a large afghan that she had made. Unfortunately, she didn't append a little tag with the care instructions that I always look for on clothes I buy.

Based on some quick online research, it appears that proper care depends in part on exactly what the material is. I think of it as "yarn" and my knowledge ends there.

It seems that I couldn't go wrong with washing it by hand in the bathtub with cold water. "Lay flat to dry" seems to be a common instruction but that's a lot easier to do with a sweater than with something this size. Can this safely be put in a drier? My laundromat's drying options are Delicate, Permanent Press, and High. If I can use a drier at all, I'd like to use the highest setting that won't damage the afghan.

Thanks for any help you can give!

March 22, 2016

Sanders is the underdog, but here's Nate Silver's site on small chance versus no chance

In an NCAA basketball tournament game on Sunday night, Texas A&M was trailing Northern Iowa by 12 points with only 35 seconds left to play, and came back to win it. Silver got his start analyzing sports rather than politics. On his site, Neil Paine, who's a senior sportswriter for FiveThirtyEight, wrote:

In cases like this, it’s difficult to estimate the exact probability of a comeback, just because the model is verging on the realm of hypothetical possibilities instead of observed realities. (It also can’t account for specific, meaningful factors such as the Panthers’ top inbounder, Matt Bohannon, leaving the game with an injury right before his team’s meltdown began.) But based on all of the things our model does take into account, we assigned Texas A&M a 1-in-3,333 chance of winning when its deficit was 12 with 35 seconds left.


(from "Texas A&M Pulled Off A 1-in-3,000 Comeback")

He also mentions some similarly unlikely sports comebacks (or collapses) that have occurred.

It's a good thing those Texas A&M players were too busy with the tournament to be reading Clinton supporters' posts on DU, or they would have just gone to the locker room instead of finishing the game.
March 1, 2016

How Clinton supporters can help elect Bernie

I begin with a couple of safe predictions:
* Clinton will do well on Super Tuesday, winning most of the states and a big majority of the pledged delegates that are at stake.
* Clinton supporters on DU will post numerous threads celebrating the victory, many of which will also opine that the race is now over (or maybe even DONE).

So I’m going to survey DU and contribute to Bernie on this schedule:
1) For every OP impugning Sanders’s character for not withdrawing (He’s not a real Democrat, he’s out to hurt the party, he’s on an ego trip, whatever), or attacking Sanders supporters on DU in light of Super Tuesday: $10
2) For every OP that doesn’t go quite that far but states or implies that Bernie should drop out: $5.
3) For every OP along the lines of “It’s OVER it’s DONE” but doesn’t get strident about it: zero (I personally think Clinton’s chance of winning the nomination is greater than 50% but still less than 100%, so I disagree with the posts that have proclaimed or will proclaim that she’s inevitable, but just disagreeing with my prognostication isn’t being obnoxious, and this plan is to emphasize “rewarding” the obnoxious).
4) Non-OPs: zero (I don’t want to have to wade through all those threads and besides my means are limited).

If my algorithm yields a contribution of less than $27, I'll round up to $27, so as not to lower Bernie's famous average -- but I strongly suspect that that won't be an issue.

I’ll probably do my census on Thursday, to give all the venom time to come out. I’ll check the Hillary Clinton Group and GD-P, but if anyone spots a qualifying OP elsewhere, please let me know.

So who’s in with me?

Profile Information

Name: Jim Lane
Gender: Male
Hometown: Jersey City
Member since: Fri Nov 12, 2004, 11:22 AM
Number of posts: 11,175

About Jim Lane

I spend most of my online time on Wikipedia, where we desperately need more people to help counter right-wing bias. Please PM me whenever you want help with a Wikipedia-related issue. (Remember that Wikipedia material must be neutral, but we can and should include facts that conservatives would prefer to suppress.)
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