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CaliforniaPeggy's Journal
CaliforniaPeggy's Journal
December 28, 2023

Opinion: Are Latino voters really defecting in droves to Republicans? Not according to our data.


Maria Cardona and Matt Barreto

A widespread and misleading story about the Latino vote has taken hold in the media. It goes something like this: Latinos used to be monolithic base voters for Democrats, but now they are fracturing and increasingly fleeing to Republicans.

As longtime practitioners of Latino voter outreach, we’re skeptical of this herd narrative, and we have data to support our misgivings.


We have long argued that as a growing electorate with record numbers of first- and second-time voters, Latinos respond to both persuasion and mobilization campaigns — that is, efforts to win them over as swing voters and to turn them out as base voters. When Democrats invest early and heavily in communicating a message about hope, optimism and the American dream, Latinos support Democrats, and Democrats win.


What about today? How are the parties’ positions on inflation, abortion, gun violence and the fate of democracy playing among Latinos?

A recent poll of 3,000 Latino voters by UnidosUS suggests it’s Republicans who are struggling with this demographic:

Only 25% of Latinos say they believe that the Republican Party cares a great deal about their community, down from 35% in 2022.

Seventy-one percent of Latino voters think abortion should be legal, putting them at odds with Republicans on the issue.

Latinos trust Democrats over Republicans on healthcare nearly 4 to 1, not surprisingly given Trump’s determination to undo Obamacare.

Across 19 policy issues, including the economy, inflation, small business, healthcare, abortion, gun violence, education and immigration, Latino voters have more confidence in Democrats by double-digit margins.

The poll also found that immigration is still important to this electorate. Latino voters strongly favor a path to citizenship for Dreamers and other long-present immigrants; favor better, more orderly, humane policies on asylum and other forms of legal immigration; and oppose cruel mass deportations.

Trump and other Republicans, meanwhile, are promising to end birthright citizenship, create detention camps and deport 12 million immigrants with no path to citizenship. Their positions could serve to make immigration more salient to Latino voters. Demonstrating a contrast with the GOP’s xenophobic rhetoric and record on this issue would help Democrats pick up critical votes, according to an Immigration Hub poll of Latino voters in battleground states and congressional districts.

What, after all, has Trump or his party proposed to lower costs for Latino families, increase their access to affordable healthcare, reduce gun violence in our communities, protect our rights and democracy, and respect our contributions to our country?

December 26, 2023

A few photos (Ha!) from today's Christmas Party!

The very happy family dog!

My daughter and her middle son!

Our host and my husband on the right!

Impossible puzzle!

View of the beach!

Gorgeous table decoration:

Christmas tree ornament:

One more Christmas tree ornament!

The Christmas Table:

December 21, 2023

Aftermath of a rainy day . . .

December 18, 2023

A Christmas Rose . . .

December 16, 2023

New Moon Tonight . . .

Profile Information

Name: Peggy
Gender: Female
Hometown: Manhattan Beach, CA
Home country: USA
Current location: At home
Member since: Thu Feb 3, 2005, 01:41 PM
Number of posts: 148,842

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