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Honeycombe8

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Hometown: LA
Member since: Sat Feb 10, 2007, 12:29 PM
Number of posts: 37,648

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Republican 'racism' spurs GOP official to become Democrat

In Oregon:

After 40 years as a Republican, Lori Stegmann has had a change of heart and political party.

Stegmann, elected a Multnomah County commissioner in 2016, has changed her affiliation to Democrat, she said in an interview Tuesday.

Stegmann, 58, said she can sum up the reason for the change with one word: Trump. She added that she "cannot condone the misogyny, the racism, and the unethical and immoral behavior of the current administration."

Stegmann represents District 4 on the Multnomah County Board of Commissioners. That district includes Gresham, Troutdale, Corbett and other small east county communities.

She said she is a political moderate, owing in part to her experience growing up in her district, as a businesswoman working in insurance and as a Republican who admired party greats like Sen. Mark Hatfield and Gov. Tom McCall.


https://www.oregonlive.com/portland/index.ssf/2018/07/republican_racism_spurs_gop_of.html


I am hoping this is a trend, and that moderate Republicans will not just abstain from voting, but will cross the line at least for the mid-terms, to flush Congress of some of the Trumper politicians.

My guess on the plan. What's wrong with this as the Trump strategy?

I'm thinking the plan is...

Mueller issues his report this fall.

Trump's team has a lawsuit filed against it immediately, and asks for fast tracking.

Judge fast tracks it, and upholds Mueller's authority to investigate, OR denies it, and the defender appeals.

Kavanaugh gets confirmed and seated in the S.Ct. (Kavanaugh believes that only Congress should investigate a President, if a President is investigated at all, and does not believe a President can be criminally indicted.)

The case is referred to the S.Ct., timed to get on the docket for when the court convenes in October.

Kavanaugh...new to the S.Ct., wanting to be very loyal to the man who just placed him there, and believing in authoritarianism as he does (and groomed for years for this very position)....will rule as expected. Whether the other 4 Republicans follow suit is unknown. (But these are the Republicans who gave us Citizens United, to help their party out.)

I think this is a strategy that Trump's team has in mind and is working with McConnell on it, at least for the Kavanaugh part.

What do you think? Doable by them? They're dreaming, if they think this will work?

The father of two Parkland school shooting survivors is shot and killed during a robbery

Source: CNN

A shooting in February scarred Elama Ali. Another this month took her father's life.

When an armed teen burst into Marjory Stoneman Douglas High, moving through the school and mowing down students and teachers, Elama took cover. Seventeen people were killed, but she -- and her brother -- survived the Valentine's Day massacre in Parkland, Florida.

***
This week, the violence that turned Elama and her friends into activists for gun reform visited again. And this time, it claimed her father.
Ayub Ali was shot and killed Tuesday in a robbery at his convenience store.

Ayub Ali was 61 when he died. He came to the United States from Bangladesh in the late 1990s, and moved to Parkland just last year -- the same year it was named Florida's safest city.

***
"The reason we moved to Parkland was because he liked the school," Elama told CNN on Friday. "I didn't want to move here. But he told us, 'We are only moving because the school is amazing.'"

Ali was the owner of Aunt Molly's Food Store, tucked in between several other shops in North Lauderdale -- about 10 miles from his house.
Tuesday afternoon, a man entered the store, held Ali at gunpoint, took money from the cash register and left. But shortly afterward, deputies say, the gunman returned and fatally shot him.



Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2018/07/20/health/father-parkland-survivors-shot-and-killed-trnd/index.html



OMG. Such tragedy in that family, for those kids.

"Sidestep" song& dance - Best Little Whorehouse in Texas

Seems appropriate these days. Charles Durning as the Governor.

Let's not forget: Trump has a database of MILLIONS OF VOTER REGISTRATION INFO

Names, addresses, phone numbers, emails, how they voted, party, some Social Security numbers if the states provided that when asked.

The Trump admin dropped the request after a number of states refused to provide the info. But that was after it rec'd the information provided by many states.

I have no doubt that that was a request by, or related to, Russia hacking into our system, to make sure Trump stays in office and is backed by a Republican Congress.

My state didn't provide it for free. But it sells that information to anyone who wants to buy it!

Trump made comments that no one understands...about "the server."

The FBI didn't take the server. Why is that, he asked. He said the FBI was told to leave the Dems' offices.

I think he's STILL rambling on about Clinton's emails????!!!!

CNN'S John King: This should be thought of as "the Surrender Summit."

Pretty good. It's certainly accurate.

The alt-right is sending out the dogs w/their talking points.

First up: Freepers are waiting with baited breath for Hannity to come to the rescue with his interview of Trump tonight.

Watch for the other dogs to blanket the media. They will be using the same talking points. It will be RW media, since they won't allow real questions. Fox, Breitbart, whatever else is out there that the alt-right uses for their "news."

This a strength of the Repubs. One of the things they do best. They need to rally their base behind them.

Trump & Putin mtg lasted SEVERAL HOURS???

Trump, who has a child's attention span, spent several hours meeting with Putin? What the heck were they talking about? It sounds like it was time consuming because they may have been working on some plans.

Nate is trying to CYA. I'll post the polls for you. I saved them to my pc on election night.

They show that altho Hill's numbers had suffered from Comey AND Stein support, she was still ahead almost across the board.

If she had been hurt badly, or momentum was clearly against her, many would have known she might not win. NATE SILVER PROJECTED THAT SHE'D WIN, based on the polls and other data.

Well, I can't figure out how to post it. It's in a spreadsheet. Here's a cut and paste, though. Note that of the 11 polls where there is a prior poll, she lost a bit in 5 of them, and she stayed the same or increased her numbers in 5 of them, and for another (Clinton +2) there was no prior poll. This was after the 10/29 Comey surprise, AND the push for Jill Stein AND she didn't do that well in their last debate. Still, shortly before the election, Clinton was leading in almost all polls. (Altho it was w/in MOE, the odds her LOSING because of a MOE in all those states where she lost is pretty small. That has never happened before, since polling began. This was so striking that I wondered on forums whether Russia had interfered, because it made NO SENSE. And now we know that Russia did hack into election systems.

Last polls before the election: are followed by the prior poll by same pollster:

Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread

11/8 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein IBD/TIPP Tracking Clinton 43, Trump 45, Johnson 8, Stein 2 Trump +2
****10/28 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein IBD/TIPP Tracking Clinton 44, Trump 41, Johnson 7, Stein 2 Clinton +3

11/8 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton IBD/TIPP Tracking Clinton 43, Trump 42 Clinton +1
****10/28 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton IBD/TIPP Tracking Clinton 45, Trump 42 Clinton +3

11/7 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein FOX News Clinton 48, Trump 44, Johnson 3, Stein 2 Clinton +4
****10/26 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein FOX News Clinton 44, Trump 41, Johnson 7, Stein 3 Clinton +3

11/7 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein ABC/Wash Post Tracking Clinton 47, Trump 43, Johnson 4, Stein 1 Clinton +4
****10/28 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein ABC/Wash Post Tracking Clinton 48, Trump 44, Johnson 4, Stein 1 Clinton +4

11/7 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Rasmussen Reports Clinton 45, Trump 43, Johnson 4, Stein 2 Clinton +2
****10/28 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Rasmussen Reports Clinton 45, Trump 45, Johnson 3, Stein 2 Tie

11/7 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton FOX News Clinton 48, Trump 44 Clinton +4
****10/26 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton FOX News Clinton 49, Trump 44 Clinton +5

11/7 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton ABC/Wash Post Tracking Clinton 49, Trump 46 Clinton +3
****10/28 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton ABC/Wash Post Tracking Clinton 50, Trump 45 Clinton +5

11/7 Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Gravis Trump 45, Clinton 46, Johnson 4, Stein 0 Clinton +1
****10/27 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Gravis Clinton 46, Trump 45, Johnson 3, Stein 1 Clinton +1

11/5 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Morning Call Clinton 44, Trump 40, Johnson 7, Stein 2 Clinton +4
****10/29 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Morning Call Clinton 45, Trump 39, Johnson 8, Stein 2 Clinton +6

11/5 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Gravis Clinton 47, Trump 45, Johnson 2, Stein 2 Clinton +2
****(no prior poll)

10/31 Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell Clinton 47, Trump 41, Johnson 6, Stein 2 Clinton +6
****10/28 Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell Clinton 48, Trump 42, Johnson 5, Stein 2 Clinton +6


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/#

Comey should not have done what he did. Who knows what he was thinking, or why he did it. But he did not cost her the election. He contributed to it, probably. But Jill Stein did her as much damage, and now we know that Russia DID hack election systems.
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