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Gender: Male
Hometown: Oakland, CA
Member since: Thu Oct 6, 2011, 03:00 PM
Number of posts: 10,883

Journal Archives

"Republicans fear political fallout from Kavanaugh turmoil"

More: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/republicans-fear-political-fallout-from-kavanaugh-turmoil
NEW YORK ó Whether or not Republicans ultimately confirm President Donald Trumpís Supreme Court nominee, some on the front lines of the GOPís midterm battlefield fear the party may have already lost.

In the days after a divided nation watched Brett Kavanaugh and his accuser Christine Blasey Ford deliver conflicting stories about what happened when they were teenagers, Republican campaign operatives acknowledged this is not the fight they wanted six weeks before Election Day.

Should they give Kavanaugh a lifetime appointment to the nationís highest court after Fordís powerful testimony about sexual assault, Republicans risk enraging the women they need to preserve their House majority. Vote him down, they risk enraging the partyís defiant political base.

In swing state New Hampshire, former Republican Party chair Jennifer Horn said Republicans are ďgrossly underestimating the damage that would be doneĒ at the ballot box in the short and long term should they confirm Kavanaugh.

Partisanship of MLB fans

More: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2018/03/29/the-reddest-baseball-fanbase-by-our-estimate-its-the-reds/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.e87f0547b24a

We pride ourselves, as Americans, on the idea that we root for the underdog. We donít want the Patriots to win; we want the Eagles. We donít want Cobra Kai to win; we want Daniel to do that swan-kick thing. And we say we donít want the Yankees to win their 200th World Series ó but, tragically, we do. Deep in our American hearts, it seems, we want the rich unsympathetic bullies to continue their baseball dominance. Deep inside our American spirit, thereís a murky shadow.

Anyway, we took that Facebook data and did politics to it.

Here was our thinking: What if we took the county-level baseball fan data and compared that to county-level 2016 election results? In theory it would allow us to see the places that were both most supportive of particular teams and most supportive of individual candidates. It isnít perfect: We basically applied the percentage of fans of each team in a county to the number of votes cast for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton and third-party candidates in each place. But overall, the results are clearly representative.

We begin at the 10,000-foot level. Here is each team, represented by a pie chart showing the total number of voters favoring each team (the size of the pie) and the split of votes among those fans (the pie slices).


Lazy bum


Tomi Lahren: You Can't Impeach Trump Because He Won The Election

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