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riversedge

riversedge's Journal
riversedge's Journal
November 2, 2020

WashPost: The October surprise that wasn't





The October surprise that wasn’t

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/11/01/october-surprise-that-wasnt/

Opinion by James Downie Digital opinions editor

November 1, 2020 at 4:01 p.m. CST

President Trump’s surrogates fanned out across television Sunday morning, but something was missing. There were lame attempts to defend the president’s despicable claim that doctors are inflating covid-19 deaths for money. There was faux concern about the “integrity” of the vote to excuse GOP voter suppression. What there wasn’t was any mention of Hunter Biden and the “smoking gun” emails allegedly found on his laptop that Trump has been yammering about for the past few weeks. That this would-be October surprise has fizzled so badly shows just how deeply the president has undercut his own reelection campaign.
Follow the latest on Election 2020

One might say it’s not surprising that the Hunter Biden emails got no traction, because they haven’t been verified. But that’s not strictly true: The Biden camp hasn’t claimed the emails are fake, though there are no records corroborating that Democratic nominee Joe Biden did discuss his son’s business interests in Ukraine while vice president. Still, an October surprise often affects votes regardless of its accuracy. In a normal election, during a normal presidency, this story would likely have enough legs to affect the final weeks, even as its veracity is in doubt.

The explanation for Trump’s failure to generate an October surprise lies elsewhere — in the president and his party’s choices and record.


Trump has made clear in the past that he expects his staff to shield him politically — as when he blasted former attorney general Jeff Sessions for recusing himself from the Russia investigation. But by valuing partisan loyalty over competence, he has neutered staff members’ power to affect public debate. The Comey letter, for example, turned out to be nothing more than incredibly poor judgment from the FBI director. But James B. Comey was respected and trusted, so it affected voters’ thinking. In contrast, Trump appointees such as Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe and Attorney General William P. Barr have torched their credibility from the beginning. Thus when Ratcliffe alleged last week that Iran was sending threatening emails to voters to hurt the president, what would normally be earth-shattering news landed with a thud..................................





https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=691
A woman deflates a balloon likeness of President Trump in Easton, Pa., on Oct. 25. (Caitlin Ochs/Reuters)




https://twitter.com/rump_fat/status/1322705209232183297?s=20
November 1, 2020

Peak Gas Is Coming to the U.S. Sooner Than Anyone Expected

whow. I really had no idea it is peaking already.



https://twitter.com/ClimateNexus/status/1319679709979070464?s=20





Peak Gas Is Coming to the U.S. Sooner Than Anyone Expected


https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-natural-gas-demand-peak/?sref=oUjKJw8m


By Naureen Malik, Brian Eckhouse, Dave Merrill and Jeremy C.F. Lin


October 22, 2020

One of the largest utilities in the U.S. put $8 billion into a bet that natural gas would dominate American electricity much like coal had before. “We really consider this to be a growth play,” Tom Fanning, chief executive officer of Southern Co., said in an interview just five years ago, as his company set on its landmark acquisition: natural-gas distributor AGL Resources Inc.

Gas looked to be on the verge of generational dominance at the time. The American fracking boom had made the fuel superabundant and cheap, hastening coal’s rapid decline, while energy from wind and solar had higher costs and lower reliability. A giant utility like Southern would naturally see gas pipelines and storage as the key to a durable and lucrative future, meeting demand that would continue to grow.

Now those expansive time horizons are in deep doubt. In fact, there are flashing signs that the U.S. power sector is approaching peak gas, with demand topping out decades ahead of schedule. “The era of robust growth in the U.S. natural gas market is likely coming to a close,” says Devin McDermott, an analyst at Morgan Stanley. “It doesn’t mean the market falls apart. It doesn’t mean gas demand falls off of a cliff. It means that we need less new supply going forward.”
Several states including California and New York already have legal mandates to reach 100% renewable or carbon-free electricity by 2050 or sooner. This is just the start.


The others have established mandatory goals below 100% or voluntary targets. All told, more than half of U.S. states have established renewable-energy targets that will push utilities away from gas.


At the local level, more than 30 cities have put in place gas hook-up moratoriums on new construction in support of all-electric buildings.


Source: National Conference of State Legislatures


Note: Colorado's 100% clean-energy requirement is for utilities serving 500,000 or more customers.

Natural gas only fulfilled its destiny as the nation’s top power source in 2016, backed by hundreds of billions of dollars invested in the creation of a gas-based economy. Renewables could take over as the No. 1 power source on the grid as soon as 2028, according to projections by McDermott and Morgan Stanley analyst Stephen Byrd.

The American gas peak will mark a critical juncture—and it may have already been reached. .........................................



November 1, 2020

Last week I was thinking Texas might turn blue. However, now all I've seen is Trump parades & harass

I am feeling the same way.



@RobbyWest78
Last week I was thinking Texas might turn blue. However, now all I’ve seen is Trump parades & harassment at polling stations. Police are backing Trump & doing nothing. Mail in ballots are lost or sitting in boxes. They’re stealing this election again! Is it same everywhere? SMH
Face with symbols over mouth

November 1, 2020

Trump's legacy is shaped by his narrow interests




https://twitter.com/axios/status/1322527492503207939?s=20






Oct 31, 2020 - Politics & Policy
Trump's legacy is shaped by his narrow interests


https://www.axios.com/trump-legacy-first-term-c66e777c-6fec-4ccd-827f-eee8065565fc.html?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=organic&utm_content=1100

President Trump's policy legacy is as much defined by what he's ignored as by what he's involved himself in.




The big picture: Over the past four years, Trump has interested himself in only a slim slice of the government he leads. Outside of trade, immigration, a personal war against the "Deep State" and the hot foreign policy issue of the moment, Trump has left many of his Cabinet secretaries to work without interruption, let alone direction.

Over lunch in 2017, one of Trump's Cabinet secretaries told me they felt blessed to run an agency that Trump didn't care about. This was the best place to exist, they said.
While the media was distracted by the daily drama and treachery of the West Wing, this cabinet secretary gleefully said that they were racing a ton of controversial conservative policy through the system, largely untroubled by pesky journalists.
One former Cabinet secretary told me Trump's sole instruction to him, upon taking the job, was "I want you to win." Win what? He had no earthly idea. But he took it to mean he could follow his instincts and assumed he would hear from Trump at some point.

As a result of Trump's lack of interest in much of domestic policy, whole swaths of his administration — Education, Housing and Urban Development and Transportation, to name a few — have escaped even the barest presidential attention.......................................................
November 1, 2020

Daylight Saving Time ends on Sunday, November 1, 2020, at 2:00 A.M. On Saturday night, set your cloc



Daylight Saving Time ends on Sunday, November 1, 2020, at 2:00 A.M. On Saturday night, set your clocks back one hour (i.e., gaining one hour) to “fall back.”



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