October 31, 2020

Florida update based on a Florida guy on twitter

According to a Florida blog guy,

BAD NEWS:

Dave Trotter
@DaNumbersGuy
I think one of the stories today in #Florida is that Early Voting lines in Miami-Dade are almost empty, even compared to last Saturday.

SOME GOOD NEWS:

Dave Trotter
@DaNumbersGuy
Places in Orange County with wait times of 45+ right now are along Lee Road and in East Orange (by UCF). Very good news for Democrats.

@DaNumbersGuy
Today's electorate is becoming more Democratic as the day is passing.

Note: This is not from an official site but he has been good. So, Miami-Dade better vote on election day.

October 30, 2020

C'mon Florida - Return the 685542 absentee ballots NOW

Democrats lead GOP by 163683. However, outstanding Dem absentee ballots- 685,542. I know they all want Biden but they still have to return the ballot. Polls won't translate unless we vote!

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/FL.html

October 28, 2020

Florida Wednesday All votes as of noon - GOP 37.5- Dem 41.1

I know Biden is going to Tampa tomorrow. Unless the 20.2% independents break for Biden, I wonder if Democrats need to focus on AZ and NC where it is very tight but winnable. Hate to come out empty in AZ, NC, GA and FL. I trust them but I am concerned. Numbers seem to be showing a GOP win. 1.5% lead on election day won't do it. Hope all Dems sitting on their ballots drop it off on Oct 31st.

Just today (10/28/20), as of noon, GOP has:

Democrats: 36,473 31.27%
Republicans: 51,642 44.27%
NPA/Others: 28,542 24.47%

I know a poll yesterday showed Biden 50-48. I am having a tough time seeing that in the numbers unless a big chunk of GOP is going for Biden. Generally, it goes both ways. It is a wash usually. Some Dems go GOP and vice versa. Anyone have more insight?

October 26, 2020

Issues in Miami-Dade and other areas

MSNBC says many mail-in ballots in Miami-Dade did not have signatures. How can someone miss this critical info? They say in Miami-Dade they can cure it but have to contact the office.

Objective for this week (for me and all DUERS)

1. Need to focus this week on education and how to cure. Big issues in Dem areas and in Miami-Dade.

2. Some in Michigan do not know if their ballots were accepted? What to do if true on Nov 1st? They cannot revote. It is felony. No one has explained this.

3. Many mail-in ballots are still not returned. Yes, many have but 100% of requested ballots have to be returned. Trumpies are coming on Nov 3rd.

4. GOTV and I am volunteering this week.

October 24, 2020

Obama to speak in Miami soon

Not sure why MSNBC is saying Biden trails Trump by 2.

October 24, 2020

I think we will know this weekend if we have a chance to win Florida

Hello Miami-Dade DUers! Do it for the country. Miami-Dade in-person early voting seems to be well below par. (as per Florida Sec of State info). I am hoping it will change this weekend. It has to if we need a shot at Florida (and help us sleep early on Nov 3rd)

October 23, 2020

To Our DU Friends in Miami-Dade

Dear Miami-Dade

In-person early voting is really lagging. Margins need to be a lot higher than what it is now. Please do whatever you can. This data is based on Florida Secretary of State site. We cannot lag this much. This is way more than it should be.

October 20, 2020

Trump Vs. Biden Race Tightens, Suddenly Looks Like 2016 In Latest IBD/TIPP Presidential Poll

Source: Investor's Business Daily

Today's Trump vs. Biden poll finds that the race between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden has suddenly gotten much tighter. IBD/TIPP's latest 2020 presidential poll update shows that Republicans are rallying around Trump, Biden is leaking Democratic support, and the gap among independents has narrowed.

The latest IBD/TIPP Trump vs. Biden poll update shows the Democratic challenger leading the Republican incumbent by 2.3 points, 48.1%-45.8%, in a four-way presidential poll of likely voters. Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen has the support of 3%, and Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins 0.9%.

Read more: https://www.investors.com/news/trump-vs-biden-poll-race-tightens-like-2016-ibd-tipp-2020-presidential-poll/

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I am getting confused and worried. How can Biden leak Democratic support? I am disgusted

October 17, 2020

Anyone from Detroit know what is up with Michigan?

I know these are C- rated polls but Trafalgar predicted Michigan in 2016. They are not great, as per 538, but have good record in the Midwest.

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/mi-sen-1020/

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/mi-pres-1020/

Help me with my anxiety..

October 16, 2020

Reporter solves mystery of nodding woman at Trump town hall

Source: CNN

Reporter solves mystery of nodding woman at Trump town hall

Read more: https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2020/10/16/mayra-joli-trump-town-hall-nodding-woman-keilar-sot-crn-vpx.cnn

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Trump cheats at the townhall of undecideds. Just like in the VP debate, we knew the undecided who wanted to decide between "47 years of Biden vs 4 years of Trump." Nutty!