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jimmy the one

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Member since: Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:26 AM
Number of posts: 2,560

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footstick alert: Lindsey Graham uses 'impunity' back ass-wards

I really appreciate President Trump letting the world know you cannot kill an American without impunity," Graham said https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/pelosi-demands-briefing-us-iran-strike-graham-trump/story?id=68049245

Lindsey Graham misused the meaning of 'impunity', obviously getting it back asswards.
Properly said it would've been 'you cannot kill an american with impunity'. That is, you cannot kill an american and be exempt from punishment.
What graham wrote is saying - you cannot kill an american without 'being exempt from punishment'.
Cancelling out the double negatives 'cannot' and 'without' transforming them into 'with' & 'can', it becomes 'you can kill an american with impunity', or 'you can kill an american with freedom from punishment'.
Wow, and we thought suleimani was bad.
My memory aid for 'wrong' is: Without compunction and with impunity. Is why I caught it. Bravo me.
Figured I'd see some talking heads like rachel or ari or wolf or chris catch it, but nope.

impunity: exemption or freedom from punishment, harm, or loss
laws were flouted with impunity


Exemption from punishment or freedom from the injurious consequences of an action.
‘the impunity enjoyed by military officers implicated in civilian killings’

https://www.onelook.com/?w=impunity&ls=a

Or is it lindsay with an A. Like I care. Nicki Haley and Lindsey should get married. Formerly halfway decent repubs now brainwashed into stoogedom by a hypocritical bloviating windbag.
Posted by jimmy the one | Wed Jan 8, 2020, 12:29 PM (1 replies)

Impeachment Polls are Flawed trump friendly, need a tertium quid

Binary impeachment polls are flawed and undercut support for impeachment. A binary poll proffers only 2 options: 1) Impeach & remove, or, 2) Do not Impeach. Neither of these options is WHAT WILL HAPPEN or would have happened when the binary polls were conducted, which is 3) Impeach but do not remove.
The house has now impeached trump, but a mortal lock the senate will acquit. Pollsters should be fired or demoted for not including the 3rd option (tertium quid = 3rd thing) and presenting only binary polls. Imagine a push poll asking 1) do you support banning all guns? or, 2) not banning all guns? crass misreprentation without option 3) = ban assault rifles.

To a republican respondent, binary polls ask either 1) remove trump, or, 2) let trump stay in office. This is why binary polls show repub support for 'no impeachment' at 95%, misleading since they don't want to remove their sacred cow.
The fox news poll ~dec 15, 2019 (& previous similar fox results) with the 3rd option included, had 50 - 4 - 41 result, for a 54% impeach 41% no impeach result. Repubs split off about 10% (4 pct pts) from the 95% standard support, to vote 'impeach but do not remove' - allowing conscientious repubs a way to 'punish' trump for what they thought was wrong, without removing him.
It is moot now after actual impeachment, since subsequent polls will only ask 'should trump be removed' by senate.

PREVIOUS BINARY IMPEACHMENT POLLS SHOULD BE VIEWED AS FLAWED and 'trump friendly'.'

'No opinion' results should not necessarily be ignored. No opinion is subcategorized as 1) don't know 2) don't care 3) undecided. Amish are 'don't know' since they do not follow politics (much). Consider though 'don't care' results. If they were asked 'should trump be impeached' and answer is 'don't care' that does not help trump at all. Doesn't help schiff either but hurts trump more.
No opinion results could be added on to both sides, caveated as 'do not oppose impeachment' and 'do not support impeachment'.

Oxford dictionary: tertium quid A third thing that is indefinite and undefined but is related to two definite or known things.
Posted by jimmy the one | Thu Dec 19, 2019, 12:17 PM (1 replies)

Real Clear Politics Trump Approval Poll Avg, is badly skewed pro trump

The real clear politics (RCP) trump approval average is padded pro trump, in a couple ways.

Firstly, the RCP average includes Rasmussen, which is not quality polling, it cheats. Rasmussen persistently pads trump approval daily by 4 to 10 points (proof below), over the average of reputable polls.
Rasmussen is also included in every single RCP poll average. Rasmussen never drops out of the average, its padded results are always included. Most all other reputable polls are included only about half the time.
This is because Real Clear Politics Poll Average has a 'dropback' period of approximately 15 days, whereby polls which were conducted prior to the ~15 day dropback, are not included in the RCP average. IE: on October 15, all polls conducted before October 1 would be dropped off the RCP average, and only polls with a date between Oct 1 and 15th would be included. Since most all reputable polls are usually conducted only once a month or longer, their inputs can be excluded about half the time, from the RCP average.

Rasmussen however, is a 3 day tracking poll, where it averages its most recent 2 days results with the current days result, and then presents a 'brand new' poll every day, which RCP duplicitously counts as a daily new poll date which enables rasmussen be included in every RCP polling average, since rasmussen never drops out of the dropback. (rasmussen does not post Sat or Sunday, but this is only a 2 day delay which keeps it well within the 15 day dropback).

The net effect is the trump-padded rasmussen poll result is worth about twice what more reputable polls are worth, in the RCP average.
Since the RCP trump approval poll includes about 10 polls, rasmussens skewing does not greatly alter the average, but even so the RCP average should be adjusted by subtracting 0.5 to 1.5 points, due the rasmussen padding affect.
Harris, somehow linked to rasmussen with too often similar results, i have noticed cleverly posts a trump approval poll about every 18 days or so, which enables them to be included in the rcp average inordinately higher than more reputable polls such as gallup, quinnipiac, pew, Reuters, abc, cbs, nbc, msnbc, ppp, fox, cnn. Harris not as bad as Rasmussen tho.
I suspect there are more disreputable right wing polls other than just rasmussen, included in RCP avgs..

Rasmussen strategically pads its polls, a transparent attempt to avoid being cast as too partisan. It will pad trump while counter padding other republicans (generally in races either forlorn hopes or way out ahead).
Rasmussen was the worst of polls in 2000 bush v gore, having gwbush winning by 9 pts whereas gore won popular vote by 0.5 pts. It also had significantly higher results for most republican congressional races. Rasmussen realized then that it lost credibility &, spurred by gwbushs 'win', tightened up & produced some fairly accurate results in following presidential races. But do not be fooled, rasmussen is a right wing pro trump poll padder extraordinaire.

Nate silver's 538 pollster rating gives rasmussen a C+, which is also misleading as a C+ rating is in the lower 50% of all pollsters, and since rass shares the C+ with dozens of other polls it is not a good score. Rass is biased Republican by 1.5:

Five Thirty Eight - method - total - avg error- % corrrect - grade - bias
Rasmussen IVR/online ....... 711........ 5.3 ..... 78%.......C+ .. R+1.5
ABC News/WashPost Live...... 60 ....... 2.9 ..... 78% .........A+ .. D+0.6
Quinnipiac ....... Live......... 195 ........4.6 .......85% ......... A- .. D+0.1
NBC News/WSJ ... Live .........27 ........4.2 .......72% .........A- .. D+0.8


Note that 538 above relies heavily on whether a poll is conducted by a 'Live' person rather than online or C.R.A.P. polling as rasmussen is, which stands for Computer Responsive Automated Polling (ring ring, hello, 18? press 1 for trump 2 for hillary thank you bye), aka IVR or interactive voice response, and or online polling which is less scientific than live polling. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
Categories can be stacked high to low or vv by clicking on the category at top;
Regret to report that online nbc survey monkey is not quality polling either, D- with 4.9 bias dem. It is not included in RCP polling avg, for obvious reasons, while rasmussen is thus RCP is complicit in duplicity.

Below you can see how high rasmussen padded trump during this 3 week interval, compared with other reputable polls:

RCP trump approval ..........samplesize. .......appr - disappr --- spread
Quinnipiac 9/19 - 9/23 1337 RV .................... 40 ....55... -15
Politico/Morning Consult 9/20 - 9/22 1994 RV ...41 ... 55....-14
Reuters/Ipsos 9/16 - 9/17 939..... RV .............. 43 ....55 ....-12
FOX News 9/15 - 9/17 1008......... RV .............45 ....54 .....-9
Rasmussen Reports 9/15 - 9/17 1500 LV ......51 ...48 ....+3
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 9/13 - 9/16 900 RV ........45 .. 53 .....-8
Economist/YouGov 9/14 - 9/17 1184 RV ............44 ...53......-9
Politico/Morning Consult 9/13 - 9/16 1994 RV .....43 ...53 ...-10
The Hill/HarrisX 9/11 - 9/12 1000 RV................47 ...53 .....-6
Reuters/Ipsos 9/9 - 9/10 ....992 RV ..................44 .... 53 ....-9
Gallup 9/3 - 9/15 1525 A .................................43 .....54 ...-11

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html#polls

In the RCP link above to trump approval ratings, note that rasmussen is included about every week or two over 1917, 18, & 19 (excepting oct, which hasn't ended yet when I bet they 'reconcile it in more'), whilst other polls included about every month.
Click 'all trump approval polls' or 'more polls' at bottom of list if all polls do not appear. Use your keyboard 'tools' at upper right to click on 'find', enter rasmussen to highlight all its polls. I listed all of trumps 3 years, & rasmussen was represented 129 times, quinn cbs & nbc about 50 or less.
Posted by jimmy the one | Tue Oct 29, 2019, 12:26 PM (5 replies)

Contrast Trump's gaffes with Biden's misspeaks

Trump is a gaffe machine who ignores them as if they never were, Joe Biden misspeaks sometimes & apologizes or retracts, as is not abnormal; {a few trump gaffes edited out of links, deemed inappropriate}
Some outtakes from Mr Best Words Man:

{1} Donald Trump confuses Toledo with Dayton, fails to mention Gilroy in mass shooting remarks

{2} 'Democrats can’t find a Smocking Gun tying the Trump campaign to Russia'

{3} ‘.. Clemson Tigers last night at White House .. I served them massive amounts of Fast Food (I paid), over 1000 hamberders
-- to which shaun king remarked: “..Trump said he paid for 300 hamburgers. Now he says it was 1,000. He’s saying each player ate 16 burgers a piece. He lies so much that he’s literally lying about and misspelling the word hamburger.”

{4} ..his wife and father-in-law (who has the money?) off Scott Free. He lied for this..

{5} .. Mueller and .. Angry Democrat Thugs spent over 30 hours with the White House Councel,


{6} .. illegal acts that took place in the Clinton campaign & Obama Administration, there was never a special “councel” appointed! (Twice from the best words man)

{7} Money from the campaign, or campaign contributions, played no roll in this transaction.

{8} official portrait: 'No dream is too big, no challenge is to great' - well he got the first 'too' right.
https://globalgrind.cassiuslife.com/4282259/birdbrain-heada-donald-trumps-most-ridiculous-spelling-mistakes/4/

{9} “Alec Baldwin, whose dieing mediocre career was sav...

{10} twice proves not a typo, but a belief: Sometimes you need protest in order to heel, & we will heel, & be stronger than ever before! Fantastic! Trump uses Shoe Goo!

{11} (trump) got the idea about raking forest floors from talking to the president of Finland. They don't do that in Finland

{12} re calif forest fire town: And what we saw at Pleasure – what a name Pleasure – right now.” At that point somebody interjected him and reminded him it was Paradise, not Pleasure.

new link: 2. “He’s not a war hero. He was a war hero because he was captured. I like people who weren’t captured.” July 17, 2015, Family Leadership Summit in Iowa. Trump was referring to Senator John McCain, a former Navy pilot who was tortured during his five-and-a-half years as a POW during the Vietnam war.

3. “You could see there was blood coming out of her eyes, blood coming out of her wherever.” August 7, 2015, CNN interview about Megyn Kelly, one of Fox News’ moderators in the first Republican debate.

4. “Well I really watch the shows. You really see a lot of great, you know, when you watch your show and all of the other shows, and you have the generals and you have certain people that you like.” Aug16, 2015, “Meet the Press,” trying to name his foreign policy advisors.

5. “Look at that face! Would anyone vote for that? Can you imagine that, the face of our next president?!” Sep9, 2015, Rolling Stone, talking about GOP candidate Carly Fiorina.

6. “It has not been easy for me ... My father gave me a small loan of a million dollars.” Oct 2015, “TODAY” show.

9. “Now the poor guy, you ought to see this guy. ‘Ah, I don’t know what I said! I don’t remember!’” Nov 24, 2015 mocks NY Times reporte Kovaleski, has congenital condition..

10. “I think, for me, nuclear is just the power, the devastation is very important to me.” Dec 15, 2015, answering a debate question about his priority in the “nuclear triad,” the three ways (air, land and sea) that nuclear missiles can be launched.

11. “The other thing with the terrorists is you have to take out their families, when you get these terrorists, you have to take out their families. They care about their lives, don’t kid yourself. When they say they don’t care about their lives, you have to take out their families,” Dec 2, 2015 “Fox & Friends.”

14. “Two Corinthians, right? Two Corinthians 3:17, that’s the whole ballgame. Where the spirit of the Lord—right?—is, there is liberty!” Feb 18, 2016 Liberty University, citing Bible, Christians call “Second Corinthians.”

15. “So if you see somebody getting ready to throw a tomato, knock the crap out of ’em, would you? Seriously. Okay? Just knock the hell — I promise you, I will pay for the legal fees. I promise. I promise.” Feb 1, 2016 Cedar Rapids, Iowa.

16. “If and when the Vatican is attacked by ISIS, which as everyone knows is ISIS’s ultimate trophy, I can promise you that the Pope would have only wished and prayed that Donald Trump would have been President because this would not have happened.” Feb 18, 2016 Trump campaign.

17. “Well, just so you understand, I don't know anything about David Duke, okay? I don't know anything about what you’re even talking about with white supremacy or white supremacists. So, I don't know.” Feb 28, 2016 CNN, {on} former KKK leader David Duke.

18. “Lyin' Ted Cruz just used a picture of Melania from a G.Q. shoot in his ad. Be careful, Lyin' Ted, or I will spill the beans on your wife!” March 22, 2016

19. “The answer is that there has to be some form of punishment.” Mar30, 2016 discussing what should happen to women who procure illegal abortions.

21. “I was down there, and I watched our police and our firemen, down on 7-Eleven, down at the World Trade Center, right after it came down. And I saw the greatest people I’ve ever seen in action.” Apr2016, Buffalo, New York, misidentifying the 9/11 attacks.

22. “His father was with Lee Harvey Oswald prior to Oswald’s being — you know, shot. I mean, the whole thing is ridiculous. What is this, right prior to his being shot, and nobody even brings it up. They don’t even talk about that. That was reported, and nobody talks about it. I mean, what was he doing — what was he doing with Lee Harvey Oswald shortly before the death? Before the shooting? It’s horrible.” May 2016 Fox News, repeating unsubstantiated allegations Ted Cruz’s father involved in assassination of John Kennedy.

23. “Happy #CincoDeMayo! The best taco bowls are made in Trump Tower Grill. I love Hispanics!”

26. “Look at my African American over here!” June 3, 2016 Redding, California.

27. “Just arrived in Scotland. Place is going wild over the vote. They took their country back, just like we will take America back. No games!” June 24, 2016, tweet by realDonaldTrump from Scotland.

29. “Russia, if you’re listening, I hope you’re able to find the 30,000 emails that are missing. I think you will probably be rewarded mightily by our press. Let's see if that happens." July 27, 2016, news conference Florida, encouraging Russia to hack into Hillary Clinton’s emails.

31. “It’s against two NFL games. I got a letter from the NFL saying ‘This is ridiculous.’” July 30, 2016, interview with ABC about presidential debate schedule. NFL categorically denied sending such a letter.

32. “He’s not going into Ukraine, OK? Just so you understand. He’s not going to go into Ukraine, alright? You can mark it down and you can put it down, you can take it anywhere you want.” July 30, 2016 ABC, referring to Russian Putin, whose 2014 annexation of Crimea proved that he was already in Ukraine.

Donald Trump’s Week of Misrepresentations, Exaggerations and Half-Truths
34. “I always wanted to get the Purple Heart. This was much easier.” August 2, 2016 Ashburn, Virginia where a supporter presented him with a copy of a medal the veteran had been awarded in Iraq. The Purple Heart is awarded to members of U.S. military who are injured or killed while serving. - Trump always wanted to get the purple heart, thus why he avoided vietnam military service using influence to get deferment;

35. “If [Hillary] gets to pick her judges, nothing you can do folks. Although the Second Amendment people, maybe there is, I don’t know.” August 9, 2016 Wilmington, North Carolina. Many read his remark as a suggestion that opponents of Clinton should take up arms against her if she’s elected president.

36. “ISIS is honoring President Obama. He is the founder of ISIS. He founded ISIS. And I would say the co-founder would be crooked Hillary Clinton.” August 10, 2016 ABC News.


37. “You’re living in poverty, your schools are no good, you have no jobs, 58% of your youth is unemployed. What the hell do you have to lose?" Aug 2016 Mich explaining why African Americans should vote for him.

And/Or links:
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/09/trump-biggest-fatal-gaffes-mistakes-offensive-214289
https://people.com/politics/president-trump-spelling-mistakes-typos-words/
https://globalgrind.cassiuslife.com/4282259/birdbrain-heada-donald-trumps-most-ridiculous-spelling-mistakes/4/
Posted by jimmy the one | Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:16 AM (14 replies)

Joe Biden is the best candidate 2020



Note: singer's affiliation uncertain
Not all lyrics apply.
Posted by jimmy the one | Sun Aug 11, 2019, 12:27 AM (6 replies)

2017, trump reversed rule banning guns to mentally ill

x-posted from gen disc https://www.democraticunderground.com/1017549611

today 2019: Trump says mass shootings in El Paso and Dayton are a ‘mental illness problem’

then 2017: Trump signs bill reversing Obama rule to ban gun purchases by mentally ill




today 2019: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/04/trump-says-hate-has-no-place-in-our-country-after-shootings-in-dayton-and-el-paso.html

then 2017: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2017/02/28/trump-sign-bill-blocking-obama-gun-rule/98484106/
Posted by jimmy the one | Fri Aug 9, 2019, 04:10 PM (4 replies)

Is your financial bank pro gun control? don't bank on it

Guns Down America and our partners reviewed public financial and legal filings to determine how much business the nation’s 15 largest banks have conducted with gun manufacturers, the NRA, and the top recipients of NRA contributions in Congress. Based on this information, we have graded the banks on a 100-point scale.
https://isyourbankloaded.org/#bank-list

Methodology In the fall of 2018, Guns Down America researched the links between the gun industry and the top 15 consumer-facing banks (by consolidated assets) in the United States.
We reviewed media archives, Securities and Exchange Commission records, campaign finance reports, and internet sources from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2018 in order to identify relationships and examples of mutual support between the banks, the gun industry, the NRA, and NRA-backed members of Congress. All searches were completed by January 15, 2019.


Grade ........ Bank (duh)
B -- CITI - 84 total points;
C -- HSBC, Suntrust, Ally, Statestreet, Bank of America, Goldman, Bank of NY, Capital One;
F -- Chase, TD Bank, US Bank Corp, Wells Fargo, PNC (oh my godda I use PNC!), BB&T 25 total pts

We sought to identify and evaluate the following:
1 Financial relationships between banks and gun, ammunition, and accessory manufacturers during the last three years;
2 Financial relationships between the banks and the National Rifle Association or Gun Owners of America;
3 Banks that provide special NRA member benefits or participating in product sponsorships
4 Statements made by banks reflecting their public positions on gun violence, gun control policy, or mass violence; and
5 Campaign donations to the NRA’s Million Dollar Members.
All grades are based on a 100-point scale and are calculated by weighing how each bank compares with its competitors.

The point value for this letter grade was derived from three specific categories: 1) financing of the gun industry, 2) ties and policy toward doing business with the gun industry and the NRA, and 3) support for NRA-backed lawmakers.
-- An individual bank can obtain up to 40 points in the “Financing” category.
40 points — If no financing is found
30 points — If a bank invested under $100 million
20 points — If a bank invested between $100 million and $150 million
10 points — If a bank invested between $150 million and $200 million
0 points — If a bank invested over $200 million
-- An individual bank can obtain up to 40 points in the “Policy & Ties” category.
10 points — If a bank provides no benefits to NRA members
10 points — If a bank has no relationship with the NRA or Gun Owners of America
20 points — If a bank has a clear policy on doing business with gun manufacturers
-- An individual bank can obtain up to 10 points in the “Contributions” category.
10 points — If no contributions are found
5 points — If a bank gave less than $40,000
4 points — If a bank gave between $40,000 and $60,000
3 points — If a bank gave between $60,000 and $80,000
0 points — If a bank gave over $80,000

https://isyourbankloaded.org/#bank-list
Posted by jimmy the one | Tue Apr 23, 2019, 10:03 AM (0 replies)

On Joe Biden's Plagiarism, tempests in teapots

Xposted by original author me from gen disc:

Joe was twice accused of, and acknowledged (in a loose sense), plagiarizing; one time what he said, the other what he wrote.
It's hardly as bad as it seems; the first was a one off where he cited in a speech a british member of parliament Neil Kinnock's speech, forgetting that day to note Neil, whereas Joe had indeed credited Neil in six previous incidences of the very speech.
The second was as a freshman in college, claiming he was unfamiliar with the rules for citing sources, quelle surprise, happens regularly to freshman college students. Sophomores too.

The plagiarism accusations in the Kinnock-Biden case revolved around a speech which Neil Kinnock made to the Labour Party congress. When {Kinnock} asked in his emotional address why he was the 'first Kinnock in a thousand generations to be able to get to university', ... When Joe Biden asked in a stump speech why he was the first Biden in a thousand generations to go to university, he meant the same thing.
Both were members of a left-wing party, waging war against the far-right leaders of their countries, Thatcher and Reagan. And that's why Neil Kinnock, when asked whether he was bothered by the appropriation of his words, responded that he wasn't; to the contrary, he {Kinnock} confessed to feeling 'flattered'.
https://psuaw.blogspot.com/

Neil: Why am I the first Kinnock in a thousand generations to be able to get to university? [Then pointing to his wife in the audience] Why is Glenys the first woman in her family in a thousand generations to be able to get to university? Was it because all our predecessors were thick?

Joe: While Biden's speech included the lines: I started thinking as I was coming over here, why is it that Joe Biden is the first in his family ever to go to a university? [Then pointing to his wife in the audience] Why is it that my wife who is sitting out there in the audience is the first in her family to ever go to college? Is it because our fathers and mothers were not bright? Is it because I'm the first Biden in a thousand generations to get a college and a graduate degree that I was smarter than the rest? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joe_Biden

This was later transmogrified by Joe's opponents, as well as his democrat rivals for nomination for president.
The second 'plagiarism' I list, actually occurred first:

Wiki: {Biden} earned his bachelor's in 1965 from the Univ of Delaware, with a double major in history and political science ... He then entered Syracuse University College of Law,... During his first year there, he was accused of having plagiarized five of 15 pages of a law review article. Biden said it was inadvertent due to his not knowing the proper rules of citation, and he was permitted to retake the course after receiving an "F" grade, which was subsequently dropped from his record.. He received his Juris Doctor in 1968, graduating 76th of 85 in his class. Biden was admitted to the Delaware bar in 1969

May 1989: Senator Joseph R. Biden Jr. was cleared of allegations that he committed plagiarism in law school by a panel under the authority of the Delaware Supreme Court ... The alleged law school plagiarism involved an essay Mr. Biden wrote in 1965 for an introductory class on legal methodology. 'A Personal Vindication' https://www.nytimes.com/1989/05/29/us/professional-board-clears-biden-in-two-allegations-of-plagiarism.html

A third example of plagiarism came to mind, same blog link above: What does Melania Trump's plagiarism tell us? .. Melania Trump got up last night to further her husband's success, and took her cue from Michelle Obama eight years ago. Her speech contained phrases which can only have been copied from the First Lady's earlier address, and so have been labelled as plagiarism.
This is a damning accusation and has prompted recollections of the last big plagiarism scandal to rock a US election, when Joseph Biden re-used Neil Kinnock's 'Thousand Generations' speech, was promptly labelled a plagiarist, and was forced to withdraw from the campaign
Posted by jimmy the one | Thu Apr 4, 2019, 12:24 PM (12 replies)

On Joe Biden's 'Plagiarism' - tempests in teapots

Joe was twice accused of, and acknowledged (in a loose sense), plagiarizing; one time what he said, the other what he wrote.
It's hardly as bad as it seems; the first was a one off where he cited in a speech a british member of parliament Neil Kinnock's speech, forgetting that day to note Neil, whereas Joe had indeed credited Neil in six previous incidences of the very speech.
The second was as a freshman in college, claiming he was unfamiliar with the rules of citing sources, quelle surprise, happens regularly to freshman college students. Sophomores too.

The plagiarism accusations in the Kinnock-Biden case revolved around a speech which Neil Kinnock made to the Labour Party congress. When {Kinnock} asked in his emotional address why he was the 'first Kinnock in a thousand generations to be able to get to university', ... When Joe Biden asked in a stump speech why he was the first Biden in a thousand generations to go to university, he meant the same thing.
Both were members of a left-wing party, waging war against the far-right leaders of their countries, Thatcher and Reagan. And that's why Neil Kinnock, when asked whether he was bothered by the appropriation of his words, responded that he wasn't; to the contrary, he confessed to feeling 'flattered'.
https://psuaw.blogspot.com/

Neil: Why am I the first Kinnock in a thousand generations to be able to get to university? [Then pointing to his wife in the audience] Why is Glenys the first woman in her family in a thousand generations to be able to get to university? Was it because all our predecessors were thick?

Joe: While Biden's speech included the lines: I started thinking as I was coming over here, why is it that Joe Biden is the first in his family ever to go to a university? [Then pointing to his wife in the audience] Why is it that my wife who is sitting out there in the audience is the first in her family to ever go to college? Is it because our fathers and mothers were not bright? Is it because I'm the first Biden in a thousand generations to get a college and a graduate degree that I was smarter than the rest?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joe_Biden

So it was later transmogrified by Joe's opponents, as well as his democrat rivals for nomination for president.
The second 'plagiarism' I list, actually occurred first:

Wiki: {Biden} earned his bachelor's in 1965 from the Univ of Delaware, with a double major in history and political science ... He then entered Syracuse University College of Law,... During his first year there, he was accused of having plagiarized five of 15 pages of a law review article. Biden said it was inadvertent due to his not knowing the proper rules of citation, and he was permitted to retake the course after receiving an "F" grade, which was subsequently dropped from his record.. He received his Juris Doctor in 1968, graduating 76th of 85 in his class. Biden was admitted to the Delaware bar in 1969

May 1989: Senator Joseph R. Biden Jr. was cleared of allegations that he committed plagiarism in law school by a panel under the authority of the Delaware Supreme Court ... The alleged law school plagiarism involved an essay Mr. Biden wrote in 1965 for an introductory class on legal methodology. 'A Personal Vindication' https://www.nytimes.com/1989/05/29/us/professional-board-clears-biden-in-two-allegations-of-plagiarism.html

A third example of plagiarism came to mind, same blog link above: What does Melania Trump's plagiarism tell us? .. Melania Trump got up last night to further her husband's success, and took her cue from Michelle Obama eight years ago. Her speech contained phrases which can only have been copied from the First Lady's earlier address, and so have been labelled as plagiarism.
This is a damning accusation and has prompted recollections of the last big plagiarism scandal to rock a US election, when Joseph Biden re-used Neil Kinnock's 'Thousand Generations' speech, was promptly labelled a plagiarist, and was forced to withdraw from the campaign
Posted by jimmy the one | Thu Apr 4, 2019, 12:17 PM (1 replies)

Trump will not win the 2020 popular vote

But of course he could still steal it by winning the electoral college farce again. Which if it were in effect as it was intended circa 1791 hillary clinton would be vice president to trump, as she received 2nd most electoral college votes.

Trump again would not win the popular vote in 2020, as he didn't in 2016. Below are current state approval numbers for trump as of november 2018. That is if he even runs, especially after Mr Mueller makes his reports come soon.

Note how much trump's approval differences have dropped since january 2017 inauguration, in all states - the first % number (ie -12% for AK alaska) which is comparing jan 2017 with nov 2018 (+24 diff 2017, +12 diff nov 2018, current diff = -12 which is how much approval difference has dropped in almost 2 years).
Some Battleground states have been highlighted below. Note that the 3 democrat states of wisconsin, pennsy, & michigan, an integral part of the democrat wall, have returned to the fold. Pennsy nov 2018 has 46 approval 51 disapproval; Wisconsin 43 appr 53 disappr; Michigan 43 appr 52 disappr. Nice.
I know it's only one poll and has not been corroborated (golden rule of poll credibility) that I've seen, and still two years to go where lots can change (but a sea change?) but it's still nice.

state .... january 2017 --- november 2018
...diff-appr-disappr-moe --- appr-disappr-moe
AK -12% 55% 31% 5% --- 53% 41% 5%
AL -8% 62% 26% 4% -- 62% 34% 1%
AR -16% 59% 29% 5%-- 55% 41% 2%
AZ -22% 55% 35% 3%-- 47% 49% 1%
CA -20% 42% 48% 2% -- 35% 61% 1%
CO -11% 45% 44% 4%-- 43% 53% 1%
CT -25% 47% 42% 4% --38% 58% 2%
DC -29% 30% 61% 4% --18% 78% 1%
DE -21% 49% 41% 4% -- 42% 55% 2%
FL -20% 56% 34% 3%-- 49% 47% 1%
GA -15% 53% 35% 3%-- 49% 46% 1%
HI -7% 38% 51% 5% --38% 58% 2%
IA -17% 49% 40% 4%-- 44% 52% 2%
ID -13% 59% 30% 3%-- 56% 40% 3%
IL -29% 49% 40% 3%-- 38% 58% 1%
IN -15% 55% 33% 3%-- 52% 45% 1%
KS -20% 56% 32% 3%-- 50% 46% 2%
KY -18% 61% 27% 3%-- 56% 40% 1%
LA -10% 59% 28% 3%-- 58% 37% 2%
MA -20% 43% 47% 3%-- 36% 60% 1%
MD -11% 38% 51% 4%-- 36% 60% 1%
ME -17% 48% 40% 5%-- 44% 53% 2%
MI -17% 48% 40% 3%-- 43% 52% 1%
MN -13% 46% 43% 3%-- 43% 53% 1%
MO -9% 53% 34% 3% --53% 43% 1%
MS -16% 61% 27% 4%-- 57% 39% 2%
MT -13% 56% 32% 3%-- 54% 43% 3%
NC -16% 53% 35% 3%-- 49% 47% 1%
ND -19% 56% 33% 3%-- 50% 46% 3%
NE -17% 56% 33% 5%-- 51% 45% 2%
NH -14% 45% 44% 4%-- 42% 55% 2%
NJ -15% 46% 44% 3%-- 42% 55% 2%
NM -33% 52% 35% 4%-- 40% 56% 3%
NV -15% 49% 39% 3%-- 45% 50% 2%
NY -30% 49% 41% 2%-- 37% 59% 1%
OH -14% 51% 37% 3%-- 48% 48% 1%
OK -17% 61% 27% 4%-- 56% 39% 2%
OR -22% 45% 43% 5%-- 38% 58% 1%
PA -15% 49% 39% 3%-- 46% 51% 1%
RI -12% 42% 46% 4%-- 40% 56% 2%
SC -13% 56% 31% 3%-- 54% 42% 1%
SD -4% 54% 33% 4%-- 57% 40% 2%
TN -9% 61% 28% 3%-- 60% 36% 1%
TX -13% 54% 34% 2%-- 51% 44% 1%
UT -23% 58% 31% 6%-- 50% 46% 3%
VA -12% 49% 41% 3%-- 46% 50% 1%
VT -23% 43% 45% 5%-- 36% 61% 2%
WA -23% 45% 44% 4%-- 37% 59% 1%
WI -16% 47% 41% 3%-- 43% 53% 2%
WV -7% 62% 25% 4%-- 63% 33% 3%
WY -4% 63% 23% 4%-- 66% 30% 3%
https://morningconsult.com/tracking-trump/

The data is at the bottom of the link, some kind of a yucky slide show premieres it.
Currently 25 states have a lower approval rating and a higher disapproval rating. A few are tied.
With this kind of drastic disapproval ratings & Mueller coming it's a good sign we won't see the second coming of the mentally depraved hypocrite currently occupying the white house.
Posted by jimmy the one | Sun Dec 30, 2018, 12:40 PM (40 replies)
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