November 21, 2015

ECONOMIST: 'Jobs market is literally on fire in most states in the union'

Source: Business Insider

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics just released its monthly estimates of unemployment rates in all 50 US states and the District of Columbia, and things are looking pretty good.

The bureau noted that unemployment rates fell in 32 states and Washington, DC, went up in just three states, and stayed the same as September in 15 states. Unemployment in every state and DC was below 7%, indicating increasingly healthy labor markets across the nation.

The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi's chief financial economist, Chris Rupkey, circulated an email after the report with the title "Jobs market is literally on fire in most states in the union." The email maintains that optimistic tone and suggests that the geographically broad strength of the labor market could spur the Fed to tighten monetary policy at its December meeting:

This regional breakdown is just the latest evidence that the economy has reached full employment. Coast to coast from sea to shining sea, the labor market has fully healed. At full employment the Fed can be confident that inflation will eventually move up to their 2% target ... Once again, another day, another report from Washington showing us the economy is better than many think. The state-by-state employment trend is just the evidence the Fed needs to assure them that it is time to lift rates.

Here's the map showing the unemployment rates in each state and DC:

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/october-2015-state-unemployment-rates-map-2015-11

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The link has a great graph, funny thing it is red.

I think this good news is being buried by the ugly discussion about refugees.

November 19, 2015

Question submitted by Todays_Illusion

November 16, 2015

A very revealing article about the libertarian take over of the Democratic

Party, called "New Democratic Party. The article is from Business Insider.

"The Republican party is not the only party experiencing a grassroots political coup. A new breed of capitalism-loving and urbanized liberals is demanding an entirely new role for the federal government.

"With heavy support from Silicon Valley, these new tech Democrats want the government to embrace economic disruption, with unlimited high-skilled immigrant visas, expansive trade deals, and performance-based funding that encourages charter schools to abandon teacher unions and adopt the management model of a modern startup.

“The replacement of working-class whites with upscale professionals has turned the Democratic coalition into an alliance with a built-in class division," wrote Columbia Journalism Professor and NYT Columnist, Thomas B. Edsall, on the migration of professionals from the Republican party to the Democrats. "While constituting a minority, the relatively upscale wing clearly dominates party policy and provides the majority of the activists who run campaigns, serve as delegates to the convention and have become the core of the party’s donor base.”

More here with charts and more details.

http://www.businessinsider.com/silicon-valley-overhauling-democratic-party-2015-11

The origins of this takeover occurred along with the introduction of that word Progressive instead of liberal for Democratic, also that awful "New Democrat, Third way and left libertarian. These people are not liberal and Hillary has embraced them, they do have all the money and power now.

November 11, 2015

Polling and the 2016 Presidential Elections

This panel discussion posted on c-span.org features an AEI Panel about polling and the 2016 elections I have posted additional links to articles talking about negative aspects of polling and suggesting that polling not be used in election reporting.

http://www.c-span.org/video/?400380-1/discussion-2016-presidential-election

Deep in this discussion that focuses on polling is a mention that Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio will be the final Republican candidates, something the polls currently counter, showing as they do Trump and Carson leading.

That was certainly interesting.

The Panel is actually an American Enterprise Institute, aei.org panel.

Here is a link to another discussion on polling from the same organization

https://www.aei.org/publication/imagining-a-world-without-polls/

This article is now being featured by many conservative publishers

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/426669/imagining-world-without-polls

http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/opinion/bal-imagining-a-world-without-polls-20151106-story.html

and other published articles about the negative effects of polling on the elections

https://www.conservativereview.com/commentary/2015/11/how-pollsters-are-killing-the-conversation


It is all looking like an effort to minimize polling and that seems to be an extension of much less exit polling beginning with the 2012 Presidential election.

I am seeing it as more message control and limiting information available to voters. I wonder if anyone else has any thoughts on polling and is it good or bad for elections.

Warning: The last time I posted the aei.org links they were shortly after made unavailable by that organization, and I had to search that site to find them again.

November 6, 2015

I have been a DU user since 2013 and until sometime in September all my old comments were available

Now they only go back to October 6 of this year. How can I see my old comments, I wanted to look up one from around August/September of this year. They are gone.

At that time I was removed as a user with no warning or explanation and for a few days after I was reinstated I first had no history, then it was there then it was gone again.

How can I get my history back?

Administrators: I first posted this to the help forum, because I am certain that you are busy and this is personal to me and trivial to the site overall. However if possible I would love to have my comment history back.

November 5, 2015

I have been a DU user since 2013 and until sometime in September all my old comments were available

Now they only go back to October 6 of this year. How can I see my old comments, I wanted to look up one from around August/September of this year. They are gone.

At that time I was removed as a user with no warning or explanation and for a few days after I was reinstated I first had no history, then it was there then it was gone again.

How can I get my history back?

November 1, 2015

Is it possible to update the links on the right side of the page to other sites,

some of the links are to long dead sites, and it is so old, perhaps there are new more active sites to add.

October 16, 2015

How did this happen? http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=profile&uid=128462

A month or so ago I tried to sign in and found I could not even access the DU Site. After cleaning up the PC I tried again. and read a message that I had been banned or blocked or something. I then created a new ID and discovered that I Todays_Illusion had been removed, as well as all my posts.

I contacted someone, outside of DU, and all is restored, but how was I removed with no and continue to have that notice on my profile page with no explanation?

I had been given no notice that I had done anything wrong, no notification, but my name had been removed and I couldn't sign on. No I have no idea who helped me get back on, just another screen name another site is all I know about the the person I appealed to and it may have been coincidence.

The bad used message is on my profile page and still for no reason.

I wonder if any other DU users have been removed from this sub with no notification of any kind.

March 9, 2015

GOP Senators Warning Over US-Iran Nuclear Negotiations

Source: AP via ABC


From the link:
"Forty-seven Republican senators warned Monday that any agreement the Obama administration strikes with Iran to limit Tehran's nuclear program may be short-lived unless Congress approves the deal.

In an open letter to Iranian leaders, Sen. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., and 46 other Republicans said that without congressional approval, any deal between Iran and the U.S. would be merely an agreement between President Barack Obama and Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

"The next president could revoke such an executive agreement with the stroke of a pen," they wrote, "and future Congresses could modify the terms of the agreement at any time."

Read more: http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/gop-senators-warning-us-iran-nuclear-negotiations-29495187

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I see this as a larger more direct attack on the power of the Executive branch than the Netanyahu speech.

I was very surprised to not see this discussed here, and the so called MSM, busy making a mountain out of Hillary emails is pretty much ignoring these attacks against the very government they have sworn to uphold.



Edit: our to out.