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HerbChestnut
HerbChestnut's Journal
HerbChestnut's Journal
February 5, 2020
This is the first time the Iowa caucuses have a paper trail. What does that mean for previous years?
I just had this thought. If this is the first year that the Iowa caucuses have had a paper trail, and there's all this drama about reporting results and irregularities, does that throw into question the legitimacy of previous caucus results? It shouldn't take this long to report results if they have paper ballots. It's really not hard to report three numbers instead of one. What we've heard is that accuracy is paramount, which is why the IDP and now the DNC are checking and rechecking the numbers. So what if there's been irregularities in the past that just gotten swept under the rug because there was no paper trail?
February 4, 2020
Please everyone remember there are 38% of precincts left to report in Iowa.
Before jumping to conclusions about who won the most delegates/votes/whatever, just remember we don't have the full results yet. This is why the Iowa Democratic Party shouldn't have released partial results...
February 4, 2020
Cancelled DesMoines Register Poll: Bernie 22 (+2), Warren 18 (+1), Buttigieg 16 (), Biden 13 (-2)
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/iowa-caucus-2020-election-live/#254963
February 3, 2020
This shows why getting out the vote is so important. A single person can be the difference between a candidate being viable or nonviable.
Bernie Sanders wins Keokuk, Iowa satellite caucus by 3 votes.
This shows why getting out the vote is so important. A single person can be the difference between a candidate being viable or nonviable.
January 31, 2020
Bernie Campaign Ad - Betrayed (A look at potential GE messaging)
January 31, 2020
Joe Biden is betting the farm on Iowa
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/30/us/politics/joe-biden-fundraising.htmlDES MOINES — Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s campaign has quietly rolled back hundreds of thousands of dollars of television ad reservations in New Hampshire and South Carolina in recent weeks and redirected the funds to buy more ads in Iowa instead.
Mr. Biden’s campaign and a super PAC supporting him are on pace to churn through nearly $9 million on television ads in Iowa ahead of the caucuses on Monday, while spending virtually nothing so far in the other three states that vote in February. Mr. Biden has also planted himself in the state this week, seizing on the Senate impeachment trial and President Trump’s rally in Des Moines on Thursday night to try to convince voters that Republicans are scared to run against him.
The movement of money and energy into Iowa is a sign of not only the opportunity that Mr. Biden’s campaign now sees here — he sits in second or first place in most polls — but also the acute risk for him, according to interviews with Democratic strategists, Biden fund-raisers and allies.
In Iowa, Mr. Biden is not just chasing votes and delegates. He’s chasing cash.
A disappointing finish in the state, where there are four candidates bunched in the top tier in polls, could dampen his fund-raising at a crucial juncture. Candidates need resources to build up their operations in delegate-rich Super Tuesday states like California, where campaigning and ad rates can be prohibitively expensive and early voting begins next week.
Mr. Biden’s campaign and a super PAC supporting him are on pace to churn through nearly $9 million on television ads in Iowa ahead of the caucuses on Monday, while spending virtually nothing so far in the other three states that vote in February. Mr. Biden has also planted himself in the state this week, seizing on the Senate impeachment trial and President Trump’s rally in Des Moines on Thursday night to try to convince voters that Republicans are scared to run against him.
The movement of money and energy into Iowa is a sign of not only the opportunity that Mr. Biden’s campaign now sees here — he sits in second or first place in most polls — but also the acute risk for him, according to interviews with Democratic strategists, Biden fund-raisers and allies.
In Iowa, Mr. Biden is not just chasing votes and delegates. He’s chasing cash.
A disappointing finish in the state, where there are four candidates bunched in the top tier in polls, could dampen his fund-raising at a crucial juncture. Candidates need resources to build up their operations in delegate-rich Super Tuesday states like California, where campaigning and ad rates can be prohibitively expensive and early voting begins next week.
January 30, 2020
https://twitter.com/BernieSanders/status/1222923741371473921
Postal workers union with 200,000 members endorses Sanders
https://apnews.com/416a6f217c28d58fb11828bb4e3bf825DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — Bernie Sanders was endorsed Thursday by the 200,000-member American Postal Workers Union, an influential group that also backed the Vermont senator’s presidential bid against Hillary Clinton during the 2016 Democratic presidential primary.
The union’s support is key because it promises organizing muscle across the country. Sanders says that if turnout is high during Monday’s lead-off Iowa caucus, he will win — and a win there will key victories in the next two states that vote, New Hampshire and Nevada.
“As with 2016, once again the Sanders campaign is boldly uplifting the goals and aspirations of workers,” union president Mark Dimondstein said in a statement. “Simply put, we believe it is in the best interests of all postal workers, our job security and our union to support and elect Bernie Sanders for president.”
Polls in Iowa and other states show Sanders bunched near the top of the polls with former Vice President Joe Biden, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg, the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana.
The union’s support is key because it promises organizing muscle across the country. Sanders says that if turnout is high during Monday’s lead-off Iowa caucus, he will win — and a win there will key victories in the next two states that vote, New Hampshire and Nevada.
“As with 2016, once again the Sanders campaign is boldly uplifting the goals and aspirations of workers,” union president Mark Dimondstein said in a statement. “Simply put, we believe it is in the best interests of all postal workers, our job security and our union to support and elect Bernie Sanders for president.”
Polls in Iowa and other states show Sanders bunched near the top of the polls with former Vice President Joe Biden, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg, the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana.
https://twitter.com/BernieSanders/status/1222923741371473921
January 30, 2020
Desus and Mero Quizzed Bernie Sanders on the Prices of Sneakers. Also, Bloomberg meets a dog.
January 30, 2020
Summary of potential executive orders:
All of this is aimed at reversing the Trump agenda.
Document shows Bernie Sanders's team preparing dozens of potential executive orders
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/01/30/document-shows-bernie-sanders-team-preparing-dozens-potential-executive-orders/Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) is considering dozens of executive orders he could unilaterally enact on a wide range of domestic policy issues if elected president, including immigration, the environment and prescription drugs, according to two people familiar with the campaign’s planning and an internal document reviewed by The Washington Post.
Sanders has risen in national and early-state polling in the final days before Monday’s Iowa caucuses, the first contest in the Democratic presidential primary, which has fueled concerns among some party insiders that he could win the nomination.
Sanders has risen in national and early-state polling in the final days before Monday’s Iowa caucuses, the first contest in the Democratic presidential primary, which has fueled concerns among some party insiders that he could win the nomination.
Summary of potential executive orders:
Declare a national climate emergency;
Ban U.S. exports of crude oil;
Allow the importation of prescription drugs from Canada;
Cancel federal contracts for companies that pay their workers less than $15 an hour;
Direct the Department of Justice to legalize marijuana at the federal level;
Reverse existing rules that bar the U.S. from funding organizations that provide abortion services;
Immediately halt the construction of President Donald Trump's U.S.-Mexico border wall;
Lift the cap on the number of refugees the U.S. accepts each year; and
Release billions in disaster aid to Puerto Rico that the Trump administration has withheld.
All of this is aimed at reversing the Trump agenda.
January 29, 2020
Latest Texas GE Poll: Bernie comes closest to flipping TX. Performs better against Trump than Biden.
This would be monumental in the GE.
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