February 1, 2016

Politico: Clinton will carry Iowa

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/insiders-trump-and-clinton-will-carry-iowa-218492

Democratic insiders believe overwhelmingly that Clinton will win.
Democratic insiders weren’t nearly as divided as their GOP counterparts: They said by a wide margin that Clinton will defeat Bernie Sanders on Monday night, crediting what they say is her vastly superior organization.

“Hands down, Clinton has the best operation,” one Iowa Democrat said. “It doesn't matter who I speak to — whether it's in a big county or small, on the western side of the state or eastern — they all say the same thing: They see no evidence of Sanders organizing. They have a lot of people, but none of them are trained or prepared for what will happen on Monday. The lesson they took from Obama’s 2008 win was that big crowds equate [to] support in a caucus room. They seem to [forget] that Obama also had the best caucus campaign Iowa had seen up to that point. Unfortunately for them, Clinton has a stronger operation than even Obama did then, and her supporters are more committed than theirs.”
...
But while Democrats overwhelmingly say Clinton will win, Republicans disagreed. A majority of GOP insiders insist Sanders’ energized supporters will carry him to victory.

“My friends on the [Democratic] side tell me that Hillary will win due to organization,” one Iowa Republican said, “but it will be close and damaging.”

Bernie's in tough. Go Bernie's team Go!

February 1, 2016

New Hampshire CNN/WMUR Sanders +23 Boston Herald/FPU Sanders +20

https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/primary2016_demprimary013116.pdf

CNN/WMUR Sanders 57, Clinton 34, O'Malley 1 Sanders +23


http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/media/2016/01/31/FPU-BH-Jan26-30-Dem.pdf

Boston Herald/FPU Sanders 57, Clinton 37, O'Malley 2 Sanders +20


Something is happening folks

Debate is there next week I think so Hillary can check it out for herself on live TV

February 1, 2016

Clinton: “We are on the right path, my friends. We just have to stay on it.”

In Iowa, Hillary Clinton Defends A System Everyone Else Is Trashing
Her pitch: Bernie Sanders is a pie-in-the-sky, tax-raising radical and she is a battle-tested leader and defender of Obamacare.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/hillary-clinton-iowa-campaign_us_56ae969de4b077d4fe8e970f


Direction of Country
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html

Right Direction: 29.7% Wrong Track: 63%

Look at the graph for how long people have felt that way.

This is what you call an out of touch politician.

People keep telling me she is smart but I cannot say I agree.

Trump (much as I can't stand him) and Sanders represent the different direction people (or Trump's loonies) want. Hillary doesn't.

Hillary is closer to "Leave everything alone. It's fine. We don't want a big squabble in Washington. I'll tweak a few policies to the right and we'll carry on."