The last Fox News poll in 2012 had Romney and Obama tied

Obama won by 4%. It is worth noting they underestimated Obama by 4%. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
Nate Silver weirdly gives Fox News an A rating based on nothing, since Fox did not (as far as I know) conduct any state polls in 2012.

If anyone knows the rationale (based on election results - last poll conducted) cited by Mr. Silver, please tell us here.

CNN poll predicted Romney and Obama would be tied in 2012

Warning about the CNN poll. Their last three election poll in 2012 had Romney at 49% and Obama at 49% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

Obama ended up winning by 4%.

Alaska poll: Trump 37%,, Clinton 34%

Susquehanna poll of Pennsylvania outed as Republican joint

A new poll today surprisingly finds Donald Trump trailing Hillary by only 4% in Pennsylvania. The reason behind the narrow margin is the following:


The poll is also inaccurate. As this political science notes, Susquehanna was the only pollster in 2012 to show Romney ahead in Pennsylvania: https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/78585064569378816

The owner of this poll is a former lobbyist for the Pennsylvania Chamber of business and industry, a right-wing organization. His name is James Lee. http://susquehannapolling.com/about-us-2/james-lee/

New York Times editorial board: "Mrs. Clinton presented herself again as the only adult on stage"

...

"Now, in the biggest deal of his lifetime, a woman is getting the better of him. That’s not surprising, but it is apt."

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/10/opinion/mr-trump-goes-low.html

Best 3 journalist in the United States (my opinion)

Paul Krugman
David Corn
David Fahrentold

Yougov post-debate poll: 47% say Clinton won. 42% say Trump won

But Republican Frank Luntz said....focus group!!!

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/10/09/post-debate-poll/

Was Trump asked about the Central Park Five?

Was Trump asked about that tonight?

Gore sighs = He lost it! Trump stalks Hillary: He did so much better!

The media has a much lower bar for Republicans.

I'm ashamed that even some DU'ers treat Republican Frank Luntz as some sort of judge

I'm amazed how a Republican has been named by the media the judge of who wins debates between a Republican and a Democrat. Even in this site, he is referred as "Frank Luntz" without the most important word, the qualifier "Republican".

Also, if focus groups were representative of the voting population, pollsters wouldn't bother calling 1000 people per poll.

Whoever calls Frank Luntz "Frank Luntz" is misleading the public. He is Republican Frank Luntz.

And he and his 30-people sample do not decide who wins debates.