nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalWhich incumbent US Senator running for re-election in 2022 is likely to lose?
Johnson(R-WI),Cortez Masto(D-NV),Warnock(D-GA), Rubio(R-FL),or Kelly(D-AZ)?
Johnson(R-WI) is most likely to lose re-election. Cortez Masto(D-NV),Kelly(D-AZ), and Warnock(D-GA) survive due to the weakness of the Republican challengers. Rubio(R-FL) seat could go either way.
Regarding the OPEN US Senate seats.
PA(OPEN Toomey-R) is most likely to flip. After that is NC(OPEN Burr-R),and OH(OPEN Portman-R).
VT(OPEN Leahy-D) stays in the Democratic column. AL(OPEN Shelby-R) and MO(OPEN Blunt-R) stays in the Republican column.
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
PA and WI are the 2 Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win. NC and OH are Tossups. FL,MO, and IA will remain Republican.
On the Democratic side- The vulnerable seats are NV,AZ, and GA but these seats will remain in the Democratic column.
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will end up winning.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
Sherrod Brown US Senate Election results in 2006,2012,and 2018,
Brown won by a 12 percent margin in 2006 against a 2 term Republican incumbent(Mike DeWine who is now Governor.)
Brown won by a 6 percent margin in 2012 and 7 percent margin in 2018.
If Brown decides to run for re-election in 2024 it will be by a 1 to 2 percent margin.
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that Democrats are likely to win.
HI(Schatz-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
VT(Welch-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
WA(Murray-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
WI(Barnes-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
Vulnerable US Senate seats in 2022 from both political parties.
1)PA(OPEN Toomey-R)
2)WI(Johnson-R)
3)NC(OPEN Burr-R)
4)GA(Warnock-D)
5)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
6)AZ(Kelly-D)
7)OH(OPEN Portman-R)
8)NH(Hassan-D)
9)FL(Rubio-R)
10)CO(Bennet-D)
PA(OPEN Toomey-R) is the most vulnerable OPEN US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022.
WI(Johnson-R) is the most vulnerable incumbent US Senator seeking re-election in 2022.
The second most vulnerable OPEN US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 is NC(OPEN Burr-R).
Democrats are more likely to win PA,WI,and NC than Republicans are more likely to win AZ,NV, and GA.
Maximum number of US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a wide to slim margin.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a wide to slim margin.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
Tossup
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
Maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats are likely to win in 2022.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AMNumber of posts: 8,617
