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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
October 12, 2017

Which US Senate Race the Democrats have better chance of winning?

2017 AL US Senate Race- Jones-D vs Moore-R
2018 TN US Senate Race- Mackler-D vs Blackburn-R
Democrats are strongly favored to win
CA-Feinstein-D 24D
CT-Murphy-D 25D
DE-Carper-D 26D
HI-Hirono-D 27D
ME-King-I/D 28D
MD-Carper-D 29D
MA-Warren-D 30D
MN-Klobuchar-D 31D
NJ-Whoever Murphy-D appoints to replace Menendez-D 32D
NM-Heinrich-D 33D
NY-Gillibrand-D 34D
RI-Whitehouse-D 35D
VT-Sanders-I/D 36D
VA-Kaine-D 37D
WA-Cantwell-D 38D
Democrats are favored to win
MI-Stabenow-D 39D
MT-Tester-D 40D
PA-Casey-D 41D
Democrats are slightly favored to win
AZ-Sinema-D 42D
FL-Nelson-D vs Scott-R 43D
IN-Donnelly-D 44D
MO-McCaskill-D 45D
NV-Rosen-D 46D
ND-Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R 47D
OH-Brown-D 48D
WV-Manchin-D 49D
WI-Baldwin-D 50D
Democrats need to rely on Moore-AL or Blackburn-TN making a gaffe.

October 11, 2017

2020 will be the year Democrats regain control of the US Senate.

Highly Vulnerable Democratic held US Senate seats in 2018 and 2020.
2018
FL (Nelson-D) if Scott-R runs.
IN (Donnelly-D)
MO (McCaskill-D)
ND (Heitkamp-D) if Cramer-R runs
OH (Brown-D)
WI (Baldwin-D)
2020
NH (Shaheen-D)if Sununu-R runs.
In 2018, Democrats lose IN and MO, but pick up AZ (Sinema-D) and NV (Rosen-D) 48D
In 2020, Democrats hold onto every seat up in 2020 and pick up
CO-(Perlmutter-D) 49D
IA-(Loebsack-D) 50D
NC-(Stein-D)51D
MT (Bullock-D)52D
ME (Pingree-D)53D
AZ Special (Stanton-D) 54D

October 10, 2017

Possible Feinstein 2018 challengers.

Democratic
Eric Garcetti-D LA Mayor
David Hildebrand- D Sanders campaign activist.
Stuttering John Melendez-D from Howard Stern show.
Ro Khanna-D US Rep. got elected in 2016 by unseating a Democratic incumbent-Mike Honda-D.
Eric Swalwell-D US Rep. got elected in 2012 by unseating a Democratic incumbent-Pete Stark-D.
Juan Vargas-D US Rep. got elected in 2012 by unseating a Democratic incumbent-Bob Filner-D.
Republican
Caitlyn Jenner-R

October 10, 2017

Feinstein (D-CA) is running for another US Senate term at the age of 85.

Here is a list of US Senators that will be older than DiFi when they seek re-election.
2020
OK-Inhofe-R 86 years old
2022
AL-Shelby-R 88 years old
AZ-McCain-R 86 years old if he is able to serve out his term. unlikely to seek re-election.
IA-Grassley-R 89 years old

October 9, 2017

The next Governor of CA will have to appoint 2 new US Senators in 2020/2021

Kamala Harris-D gets elected POTUS in 2020
Dianne Feinstein-D is running for re-election in 2018 at the age 85. Feinstein-D gets re-elected. Feinstein-D is unable to serve out her 5th full term.

October 8, 2017

2018/2020 US Senate Rating

2018
Solid Democratic
CA-Feinstein-D 24D
CT-Murphy-D 25D
DE-Carper-D 26D
HI-Hirono-D 27D
MD-Cardin-D 28D
MA-Warren-D 29D
MN-Klobuchar-D 30D
NM-Heinrich-D 31D
NY-Gillibrand-D 32D
RI-Whitehouse-D 33D
VT-Sanders-I/D 34D
WA-Cantwell-D 35D
Solid Republican
MS-Wicker-R 45R
NE-Fischer-R 46R
UT-Hatch-R 47R
WY-Barrasso-R 48R
Likely Democratic
ME-King-I/D 36D
MI-Stabenow-D 37D
NJ-Pallone-D 38D
VA-Kaine-D 39D
Likely Republican
TN-Blackburn-R 49R
TX-Cruz-R 50R
Lean Democratic
AZ-Sinema-D 40D
MT-Tester-D 41D
ND-Heitkamp-D 42D
PA-Casey-D 43D
WV-Manchin-D 44D
Lean Republican
IN-Messer-R 51R
Tossup Democratic
FL-Nelson-D 45D
NV-Rosen-D 46D
OH-Brown-D 47D
WI-Baldwin-D 48D
Tossup Republican
MO-Hawley-R 52R
Republicans retain majority control of the US Senate in 2018
2020
Solid Democratic
DE-Coons-D 38D
IL-Durbin-D 39D
MA-Markey-D 40D
MI-Peters-D 41D
NJ-Booker-D 42D
NM-Udall-D 43D
OR-Merkley-D 44D
RI-Reed-D 45D
Solid Republican
AR-Cotton-R 31R
ID-Crapo-R 32R
KS-Jenkins-R 33R
LA-Cassidy-R 34R
MS-Bryant-R 35R
NE-Sasse-R 36R
OK-Fallin-R 37R
SC-Graham-R 38R
SD-Rounds-R 39R
TN-Fincher-R 40R
TX-Cornyn-R 41R
WV-Capito-R 42R
WY-Enzi-R 43R
Likely Democratic
MN-Franken-D 46D
Likely Republican
AL-Moore-R 44R
KY-McConnell-R 45R
Lean Democratic
CO-Hickenlooper-D 47D
VA-Warner-D 48D
Lean Republican
GA-Perdue-R 46R
IA-Ernst-R 47R
Tossup Democratic
ME-Pingree-D 49D
NH-Shaheen-D 50D
NC-Ross-D 51D
Tossup Republican
AK-Sullivan-D 48R
MT-Daines-D 49R






October 7, 2017

Any chance Trump and Putin added dead people in MI,PA,and WI in the voter rolls and got them to

vote for Trump?
The way Sideshow Bob became Mayor of Springfield.

October 7, 2017

Democrats guide to regaining control of the US Senate is re-electing

highly vulnerable Democratic incumbents in
FL(Nelson-D)-if Scott-R decides to run.
IN(Donnelly-D)
MO (McCaskill-D)
MT (Tester-D)
ND (Heitkamp-D)
OH (Brown-D)
WI (Baldwin-D)
defeating highly vulnerable Republican incumbents in
AZ (Flake-R)Sinema-D
NV (Heller-R)Rosen-D
plus winning Republican held seats in strong red states in
AL-Moore-R vs Jones-D
TN-Blackburn-R vs Mackler-D
TX-Cruz-R vs O'Rourke-D

We should first try to help Jones-D win in AL in 12/12/2017, then re-elect every Democratic incumbent US Senator up for re-election in 2018 and help Sinema-D win in AZ and Rosen-D win in NV. or re-elect every Democratic incumbent US Senator up for re-election in 2018 and help Sinema-D win in AZ and Rosen-D win in NV and Mackler-D win in TN or O'Rourke-D win in TX.

October 7, 2017

Anyone watched the Doug Jones interview with Chuck Todd on MSNBC.

Jones opposes Universal Health Care/Medicare for All but supports a public option.
Jones opposes Tax Cuts for the wealthy.
Jones is pro choice on abortion rights
Jones is believes in the second amendment but wants to fix the National Crime Information System for background checks to keep guns out of the hands of the wrong person.
Jones would have opposed Sessions nomination for Attorney General.

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