nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalDemocrats guide to retaining a majority in the US Senate and US House of Representatives in 2022.
US Senate.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)IL(Duckworth-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)VT(Welch-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D) 12/2022 runoff.
US House of Representatives
Incumbent Democrat vs incumbent Democrat
CA-9(McNerney-D)-1D
CA-42(Roybal Allard-D) -2D
FL-2(Lawson-D) -3D
GA-7(Boudreaux-D) -4D
IL-6(Newman-D) -5D
MI-11(Levin-D) -6D
MI-12(Lawrence-D) -7D
NY-12(Maloney-D) -8D
New districts that Democrats are favored to win.
CA-13) -7D
CO-8) -6D
IL-3) -5D
IL-13) -4D
MI-13) -3D
NC-14) -2D
OR-6) -1D
TX-35) 0D
Republican held districts likely to go Democratic
CA-22) +1D
CA-27) +2D
CA-45) +3D
MI-3) +4D
NM-2) +5D
NY-22) +6D
OH-1) +7D
220D
FL-13)221
FL-22)222
229D
Democrats can afford to lose 11 seats to Republicans.
1)AZ-2(O’Halleran-D)
2)FL-7(Murphy-D)
3)FL-13(Crist-D)
4)TN-5(Cooper-D)
5)WI-3(Kind-D)
6)AZ-6(Kirkpatrick-D)
7)IA-3(Axne-D)
9)ME-2(Golden-D)
10)NJ-7(Malinowski-D)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win by a solid to slight margin.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)IL(Duckworth-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)VT(Welch-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)
Will Ossoff majority of victory over MTG be higher or lower than Warnock's margin of victory in 22.
Marjorie Taylor Greene for the US Senate in 2026?
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)IL(Duckworth-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)VT(Welch-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
Could Democrats hold onto all their US Senate seats in 2024 and 2026?
2024-
WV(Manchin-D) vs Mooney-R,Morrisey-R,or McCuskey-R.
MT(Tester-D) vs Zinke-R,Rosendale-R,Jacobsen-R,Downing-R,Knudsen-R or Arntzen-R.
OH(Brown-D) vs Husted-R,Yost-R,LaRose-R,Sprague-R,or Faber-R.
AZ(OPEN Sinema-D) Gallego(Ruben or Kate) vs Gosar-R,Biggs-R,Schweikert-R,or Lesko-R.
NV(Rosen-D) vs Amodei-R
2026-
GA(Ossoff-D) vs Kemp-R,Duncan-R,or Carr-R. We need to hope MTG runs and gets the Republican nomination.
MI(Peters-D) vs McClain-R,Moolenaar-R,or Huizenga-R
MN(Smith-D) vs Fischbach-R,Emmer-R, Stauber-R, or Finstad-R.
If Ron Johnson somehow gets re-elected this year, How will he do in 2028 if he decides to run again?
2028 is a Presidential Election year.
The 2028 Democratic US Presidential Nominee has to carry WI.
The 2028 Democratic US Senate Nominee has to be Mark Pocan-D or Josh Kaul-D.
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.by a solid to slight margin.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)IL(Duckworth-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)VT(Welch-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
US Senate Seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)IL(Duckworth-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)VT(Welch-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)OH(Van Hollen-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)VT(Welch-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will probably win.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)IL(Duckworth-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)VT(Welch-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)54-44
46)CO(Bennet-D)54-45
47)NH(Hassan-D)53-45
48)AZ(Kelly-D)52-45
49)PA(Fetterman-D)52-46
50)GA(Warnock-D)51-46
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)51-47
52)NC(Beasley-D) 50-47
53)OH(Ryan-D) 50-48
54)WI(Barnes-D) 50-49
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