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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
October 29, 2022

US Senate seats up in 2022 that Democrats will lose by a less than 2.5 percent margin.

OH(Ryan-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
WI(Barnes-D)
If Democrats were to win OH,NC, and WI, it will be by a less than a 2.5 percent margin.
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win by a less than a 2.5 percent margin.
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
If Democrats have a great night on Tuesday, 11/8/2022, Democrats will win NV,GA,and PA by a 2.5 to 5 percent margin.
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win by a 5 to 7.5 percent margin.
AZ(Kelly-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win by a 7.5 to 10 percent
CO(Bennet-D)
WA(Murray-D)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win by a double digit margin.
CT(Blumenthal-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
VT(Welch-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
HI(Schatz-D)




October 29, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)12/2022 runoff.

October 29, 2022

2026 will be the year Democrats regain control of the US Senate.

2022- Democrats win the Tossup US Senate Elections in NH,AZ,PA,GA,and NV. 51D 49R.
2024 Democrats lose WV and MT. 49D 51R.
2026 Democrats win NC(Tillis-R vs Cooper-D) Cooper is a 2 term popular former Governor.
Hickenlooper(CO),Ossoff(GA),Peters(MI),Smith(MN) and Lujan(NM) get re-elected.

October 28, 2022

Besides the Runoff Election in GA, What other Tossup Senate Election in 2022 will Democrats win?

PA(Fetterman-D)?
NV(Cortez Masto-D)?
OH(Ryan-D)?
WI(Barnes-D)?
NC(Beasley-D)?
Democrats are definitely going to win-
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
Democrats need to win GA(Warnock-D) and either PA(Fetterman-D) or NV(Cortez Masto-D).
I hoping for a victory in OH(Ryan-D),WI(Barnes-D),or NC(Beasley-D).

October 28, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that will keep Democrats in the majority is GA,PA,or NV.

Democrats are favored to win.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)

Democrats will win GA(Warnock-D) on the 12/6/2022 runoff.
Democrats need to PA(Fetterman-D),NV(Cortez Masto-D) or both.

If Democrats win both PA and NV, they are officially in the majority. GA will not matter.
If Democrats win either PA or NV but not both, they need to win GA on the 12/6/2022 runoff.

October 28, 2022

Rank the US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

October 27, 2022

The Democratic Party's 49th/50th US Senate seats after the 11/8/2022 will be either NV or PA.

Democrats are definitely going to win-
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
Democrats are going to win GA(Warnock-D) but most likely in the 12/2022 runoff.
Winning either or both PA(Fetterman-D) and NV(Cortez Masto-D) gives Democrats momentum in retaining control of the US Senate. If Warnock(D-GA) could receive over 50 percent of the popular vote in 11/2022 due to the recent allegations against Walker.
Democrats are likely to win PA due to the gaffe Oz made in the debate couple of days ago. The undecided voters in PA are suburban women voters.

Oz/Walker abortion agreement- A woman’s home state US Senators should decide whether or not a woman gets and abortion.

October 27, 2022

Which US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 is going to be the Democratic Party's savior seat?

Democrats are favored to win
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
Democrats have to win either
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

October 26, 2022

To the undecided voters in the 2022 PA US Senate Elections that have concerns about Fetterman.

Fetterman will replaced by a Democrat if he has to resign during the middle of his US Senate term.

Governor Josh Shapiro will pick Fetterman’s successor who then has to run in a November special election.

Exactly 20 years ago, US Senator Paul Wellstone died in a plane crash while campaigning for another US Senate term. The MN DFL party replaced Wellstone’s name on the November General Election ballot with 1984 Democratic Presidential Nominee Walter Mondale.
If PA laws are similar to MN, PA Democratic Party can convince Fetterman to dropout and replace his name on the November General Election ballot with Ed Rendell or Tom Wolf will then have to run again in a November 2023/2024 special election.

October 26, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that will keep Democrats in the majority.

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win by a double digit margin.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win by a high single digit margin.
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win by a narrow margin.
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
Democrats need to win 2 out of those 3(GA,PA,and NV) US Senate seats.

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