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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 09:37 AM
Number of posts: 7,762

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Control of US Senate in 2022 is a Lean Democratic. Here is why.

Safe Democratic
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
Likely Democratic
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Lean Democratic
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)

Masters(R-AZ),Oz(R-PA), and Walker(R-GA) are responsible for Democratic victories in AZ,PA,and GA. Democrats have control of the US Executive Branch.
Democrats have a greater than 50 percent chance of winning
NV(Cortez Masto-D) and OH(Ryan-D)
Democrats have a 50 percent chance of winning.
WI(Barnes-D) and NC(Beasley-D).

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Oct 9, 2022, 07:40 PM (0 replies)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)




Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Oct 9, 2022, 06:02 PM (0 replies)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin greater than

37)HI(Schatz-D) 37.5 percent.
38)CA(Padilla-D) 34 percent
39)VT(Welch-D) 30.5 percent.
40)MD(Van Hollen-D) 27 percent.
41)NY(Schumer-D) 24 percent.
42)OR(Wyden-D) 21 percent.
43)IL(Duckworth-D) 18 percent.
44)CT(Blumenthal-D) 15.5 percent.
45)WA(Murray-D) 13 percent.
46)CO(Bennet-D) 10.5 percent.
47)NH(Hassan-D) 8.5 percent.
48)PA(Fetterman-D) 6.5 percent.
49)AZ(Kelly-D) 4.5 percent.
50)GA(Warnock-D) 3 percent.
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D) 1.5 percent.






Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Oct 9, 2022, 02:31 PM (0 replies)

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats win by a solid to slight margin.

37)HI(Schatz-D) +31.5D
38)CA(Padilla-D) +28.5D
39)MD(Van Hollen-D) +25.5D
40)VT(Welch-D) +22.5D
41)NY(Schumer-D) +20D
42)OR(Wyden-D) +17.5D
43)IL(Duckworth-D) +15D
44)CT(Blumenthal-D) +13D
45)WA(Murray-D) +11D
46)CO(Bennet-D) +9D
47)NH(Hassan-D) +7.5D
48)AZ(Kelly-D) +6D
49)PA(Fetterman-D) +4.5D
50)GA(Warnock-D) +3.5D (50-46.5-3.5)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D) +2.5D
52)WI(Barnes-D) +1.5D
53)OH(Ryan-D) +1D
54)NC(Beasley-D) +.5D




Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Oct 9, 2022, 04:47 AM (1 replies)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.

HI(Schatz-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
VT(Welch-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
WA(Murray-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
WI(Barnes-D)
NC(Beasley-D)







Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Oct 8, 2022, 08:54 PM (1 replies)

If AL gets another Democratic leaning Congressional District, Which US House Member is screwed ?

AL-1 Jerry Carl-R?
AL-2 Barry Moore-R?


Both of these Congressional Districts have a 28 and 31 percent black population.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Oct 8, 2022, 07:48 PM (1 replies)

States that will get 2 Democratic US Senator next year.

OH(Ryan-D and Brown-D) Ryan-D is less liberal than Brown-D.
PA(Fetterman-D and Casey-D) Fetterman-D is more liberal than Casey-D.
WI(Barnes-D and Baldwin-D) Between Barnes-D and Baldwin, who is more liberal?
States that will get 1 Democratic 1 Republican US Senator.
FL(Demings-D and Scott-R) Demings will be the best, Scott-R will be the worst.
NV(Laxalt-R and Rosen-D) Laxalt will be a mainstream Republican like his grandfather and father.
NC(Beasley-D and Tillis-R) Beasley will be the best, Tillis will be the worst.

In WV, Which US Senator is more conservative?
Manchin or Moore Capito?
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Oct 8, 2022, 06:40 PM (1 replies)

If God Old Awful Zell Miller were alive, Who would he support in the 2022 GA US Senate Race?

We all know that if Max Cleland were alive, he would support Raphael Warnock.
Zell Miller was the most conservative Democratic US Senator from GA but would he vote for a Republican like Herschel Walker.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Oct 8, 2022, 06:20 PM (1 replies)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 from solid to slight Democratic.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)


Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Oct 8, 2022, 06:10 PM (0 replies)

The Southwestern states from most Democratic to least Democratic in the past and future.

Past
NM,NV,CO,and AZ.
NM,CO,NV,and AZ.
Future
CO,NM,NV, and AZ.

CO is moving to the left.
NV is moving to the right.


Southeastern states from most Democratic to least Democratic in the past and future.
Past
FL,VA,GA,NC.
FL,VA,NC,GA
VA,FL,NC,GA
VA,FL,NC,GA
Future
VA,GA,NC,FL.

GA is moving to the left.
FL is moving to the right.

Any chance TX becomes more Democratic than FL.




Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Oct 8, 2022, 05:01 PM (2 replies)
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