nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalUS Senators up for re-election in 2024 that might retire.
CA(Feinstein-D)
DE(Carper-D) US Senator Blunt Rochester-D
HI(Hirono-D) US Senator Tulsi Gabbard-D
ME(King-I) US Senator Chellie Pingree-D
MD(Cardin-D)US Senator John Sarbanes-D
VT(Sanders-I)US Senator Molly Gray-D
US Senators up for re-election in 2024 that are vulnerable to defeat.
AZ(Sinema-D)
FL(Scott-R)
MI(Stabenow-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
OH(Brown-D)
TX(Cruz-R)
WV(Manchin-D)
These US Senators won by a single digit margin.
Peter Welch(D-VT) performance in all of his US House Races.
2006(53-45)
2008(83-?) No Republican opponent.
2010(65-32)
2012(72-23)
2014(64-31)
2016(90-10)No Republican opponent.
2018(69-26)
2020(67-27)
Welch will win the 2022 US Senate Race by a 65-35 percent margin.
Pat Leahy will be the 4th longest serving US Senator in the nation.
1)Byrd(WV)
2)Inouye(HI)
3)Thurmond(SC)
4)Leahy(VT)
5)Grassley(IA) is unlikely to complete his 8th term.
6)McConnell(KY) is he running again in 2026?
7)Stennis(MS)
8)Stevens(AK)
How many terms will
Murray(WA),Wyden(OR),Durbin(IL),Reed(RI), Collins(ME),Schumer(NY)and Crapo(ID) going to serve for?
Are US Senators Murray(WA),Wyden(OR) and Schumer(NY)
going to retire in 2028 or serve another term?
Murray will complete 6 terms in 2028 and will be 78 years old.
Wyden will complete 5.5 terms in 2028 and will be 79 years old.
Schumer will complete 5 terms in 2028 and will be 78 years old.
I am predicting that Bernie Sander(VT) will retire in 2024.
He will be 83 years old.
His predecessors (Jeffords,Stafford,etc) served no more than 3 terms in the US Senate.
I am predicting that Welch will serve no more than 2 terms.
US Senate Races in 2022 that Democrats are likely to win by a landslide to narrow margin.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)12/2022 or 1/2023 runoff.
CA Democratic US Reps. Khanna and Swallwell got elected
by unseating longtime Democratic Incumbents Mike Honda and Pete Stark in the November General Election.
How would Khanna or Swallwell do in the 2024 US Senate Race against DiFi?
Competitive US Senate Races in 2022 that Democrats will win.
Likely D
CO(Bennet-D)46
NH(Hassan-D)47
Lean D
NV(Cortez Masto-D)48
AZ(Kelly-D)49
Tilt D
PA(Fetterman-D)50
GA(Warnock-D)51
WI(Barnes-D)52
Safe Democratic seats are
HI(Schatz-D)37
NY(Schumer-D)38
CA(Padilla-D)39
MD(Van Hollen-D)40
CT(Blumenthal-D)41
VT(Welch-D)42
OR(Wyden-D)43
WA(Murray-D)44
IL(Duckworth-D)45
2022 VT US Senate Election Matchup
Scott Milne is the likely Republican nominee.
Democratic Nominee will be either
Peter Welch(frontrunner)if he decides to run.
Molly Gray,TJ Donovan,Becca Balint,or Jill Krowinski.
Balint or Krowinski will probably run for the US House to succeed Welch. Donovan will probably run for Governor or Leahy US Senate seat.
Gray runs for Governor or Sanders US Senate seat.
Welch-D vs Milne-R
US Senators that are going to leave next year.
Shelby(AL) Brooks or Britt
Blunt(MO) Gretiens or Schmitt
Burr(NC) Budd
Portman(OH)Mandel or Ryan
Toomey(PA)Fetterman
Leahy(VT)Welch
Johnson(WI)Barnes
Seniority list
Welch(VT)
Brooks(AL)
Budd(NC)
Fetterman(PA)
Mandel(OH)
Schmitt(MO)
Barnes(WI)
If Thune(SD) retires
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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AMNumber of posts: 8,617