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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
December 5, 2022

2024 CA US Senate Election- Democrats should coalesce behind 1 top tier Democratic candidate.

If DiFi decides to run, She is going to finish in 1st or 2nd place in the blanket primary.
The non DiFi top tier Democrat(Breed-D,Khanna-D, or Schiff-D) will finish in 1st or 2nd place in the blanket primary.
November General Race will be
Feinstein-D vs Breed-D)
Feinstein-D vs Khanna-D)
Feinstein-D vs Schiff-D)

The non Feinstein Democrat(Breed,Khanna,or Schiff) wins in the November General Election.

The best candidate to face Feinstein in the November General Election is Schiff.
Over 20 years service in the US House.
Appeals to moderate Democrats.

December 4, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that the Democrats have decent chance to win.

HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
MD(Cardin-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
CA(OPEN Feinstein-D)
MA(Warren-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
DE(Carper-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
ME(King-I)
VA(Kaine-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
PA(Casey-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
AZ(Sinema-D or Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
TX(Castro-D or Allred-D)
WV(Manchin-D)

December 4, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that the Democrats have a chance to win.

HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
MD(Cardin-D)
CA(OPEN Feinstein-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
MA(Warren-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
DE(Carper-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
ME(King-I)
NJ(Menendez-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
PA(Casey-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
OH(Brown-D)
AZ(Sinema-D or Gallego-D)
MT(Tester-D)
TX(Castro-D)
WV(Manchin-D)










December 4, 2022

The werewolf is a vampire by Herschel Walker.

Despite all my rage and I still am a rattling cage

December 4, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that the Democrats have a chance to win.

HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-D)
MD(Cardin-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
CA(OPEN Feinstein-D)
MA(Warren-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
DE(Carper-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
PA(Casey-D)
ME(King-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
AZ(Sinema-D or Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
TX(Castro-D or Kelly-D)
WV(Manchin-D)














December 4, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that the Democrats have a chance of winning.

1)HI Hirino
2)VT Sanders
3)MD Cardin
4)RI Whitehouse
5)CA OPEN Feinstein
6)MA Warren
7)NY Gillibrand
8)DE Carper
9)MN Klobuchar
10)CT Murphy
11)WA Cantwell
12)ME King
13)NJ Menendez
14)VA Kaine
15)PA Casey
16)NM Heinrich
17)WI Baldwin
18)NV Rosen
19)MI Stabenow
20)AZ Sinema or Gallego
21)OH Brown
22)MT Tester
23)TX Castro or Kelly
24)WV Manchin

+1D.



December 4, 2022

Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that the Democrats have a chance to win.

TX(Cruz-R) Democratic nominee is Scott Kelly, Julian or Joaquin Castro, or Colin Allred.
MS(Wicker-R) Democratic nominee is Jim Hood.
IN(OPEN Braun-R) Republicans nominate an anti abortion pro rape candidate. Democrats need to nominate a Joe Donnelly type candidate.
FL and MO are lost causes for Democrats due to the 2022 results.
There is no top tier Democratic candidate in TN.

December 4, 2022

If Mfume runs for the US Senate in 2024 assuming Cardin decides not to seek re-election?

How will Mfume do in the primary if he faces both John Sarbanes and Jaime Raskin?

Mfume’s base is going to be in Baltimore City and Prince George’s County. Sarbanes base is going to be in the Baltimore Suburbs and Eastern MD, Raskin’s base is going to be in the Washington DC suburbs and Western MD. Southern MD could go either way.
Mfume will be slightly over 75 years old if he becomes a US Senator similar to Peter Welch in VT.

December 3, 2022

Is the 2024 CA US Senate Race going to be a Democrat vs Democrat November General Election race?

California has a blanket primary race. All candidates regardless of political party affiliation ran on the same ballot. The top two winners regardless of political party affiliation face each other in the November General Election.

Scenario 1) Feinstein runs for re-election, finishes in 1st place in the blanket primary but the 2nd place finisher in the blanket primary is a Republican.
Scenario 2) Feinstein runs for re-election, finishes in 1st place in the blanket primary but the 2nd place finisher in the blanket primary is a Democrat.
Scenario 3) Feinstein retires(Democrat vs Republican general election).
Scenario 4) Feinstein retires(Democrat vs Democrat General election).

December 3, 2022

Will Kirsten Gillibrand perform better in the 2024 NY US Senate Race that Chuck Schumer did in 2022?

Schumer received 56 percent of the popular vote in 2022 down from a 71 percent of the popular vote in 2016.
Gillibrand received 67 percent of the popular vote in 2018. Will Gillibrand receive over 60 percent of the popular vote in 2024?

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