nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalAlsobrooks guide to win the Democratic Nomination for the 2024 MD US Senate Race if Cardin retires.
15 percent of the popular vote in Anne Arundel(26,354)
25 percent of the popular vote in Howard(30,615)
40 percent of the popular vote in Baltimore(124,750)
50 percent of the popular vote in Charles(37,497)
65 percent of the popular vote in Montgomery(269,753)
75 percent of the popular vote in Baltimore City(228,815)
90 percent of the popular vote in Prince Georges(418,998)
Total(1,136,782)
Who is going to be the next Democratic US Senator up for re-election in 2024 to announce retirement?
Carper(DE) Blunt Rochester-D
Cardin(MD) Sarbanes-D or Alsobrooks-D
Sanders(VT) is older than Cardin(MD)
If Cardin(D-MD) decides not to run for the US Senate in 2024 and Alsobrooks decides to run.
Here is how Alsobrooks wins the Democratic nomination if she is facing Sarbanes.
Allegany(11,750)
Anne Arundel(175,500)187,250
Baltimore County(311,750)499,000
Baltimore City(305,000)804,000
Calvert(24,000)828,000
Caroline(6,250)834,250
Carroll(33,750)868,000
Cecil(20,750)888,750
Charles(74,750)963,500
Dorchester(9,500)973,000
Frederick(77,500)1,050,500
Garrett(3,500)1,054,000
Harford(65,750)1,119,750
Howard(122,250)1,242,000
Kent(5,750)1,247,750
Montgomery(415,000)1,662,750
Prince Georges(465,500)2,128,250
Queen Annes(11,000)2,139,250
Somerset(5,500)2,144,750
St Marys(25,500)2,170,250
Talbot(10,750)2,181,000
Washington(31,500)2,212,500
Wicomico(26,750)2,239,250
Worcester(13,750)2,253,000
Alsobrooks gets 35 percent of the popular vote in
Garrett (1,225)
Somerset(1,925)3,150
Kent(2,000)5,150
Caroline(2,175)7,325
Dorchester(3,325)10,650
Talbot(3,750)14,400
Queen Annes(3,850)18,250
Allegany(4,100)22,350
Worcester(4,800)27,150
Cecil(7,250)34,400
Calvert(8,400)42,800
St Marys(8,900)51,700
Wicomico(9,350)61,050
Washington(11,025)72,075
Carroll(11,800)83,875
Harford(23,000)106,875
Frederick(27,125)134,000
Anne Arundel(61,425)195,425
Baltimore(109,100)304,525
55 percent of the popular vote in
Howard(67,225)371,750
Montgomery(228,250)600,000
Baltimore City(167,750)767,750
Charles(41,100)808,850
75 percent of the popular vote in
Prince Georges(349,125)1,157,975
2,253,000- 1,157,975= 1,095,025
1,157,975- 1,095,025= 62,950
Democratic US Senators running for re-election in 2024 that will win by a landslide to narrow margin
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
MA(Warren-D)
MD(Cardin-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
DE(Carper-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
ME(King-I)
PA(Casey-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
MT(Tester-D)
OH(Brown-D)
Democrats will win open seats in
CA(Schiff-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
Republicans will win
WY(Barrasso-R)
UT(Romney-R)
ND(Cramer-R)
TN(Blackburn-R)
NE(Fischer-R)
NE(Ricketts-R)
MS(Wicker-R)
MO(Hawley-R)
TX(Cruz-R)
FL(Scott-R)
Republicans will win open seat in IN(Banks-R)
Republicans will win WV(Mooney-R)
The Democratic candidates for the 2024 MD US Senate Election if Cardin does not to run again will be
Angela Alsobrooks and John Sarbanes.
Angela Alsobrooks will get 40 percent of the popular vote in
Montgomery(166,000)
Baltimore(124,000)290,000
Anne Arundel(70,000)360,000
Baltimore City(122,000)482,000
Howard(48,000)530,000
Frederick(31,000)561,000
Harford(26,000)587,000
Carroll(13,000)600,000
Charles(30,000)630,000
Washington(12,000)642,000
St Marys(10,000)652,000
Wicomico(10,000)662,000
Cecil(8,000)670,000
Calvert(9,000)679,000
Allegany(4,000)683,000
Worcester(5,000)688,000
Queen Annes(4,000)692,000
Talbot(4,000)696,000
Caroline(2,000)698,000
Dorchester(4,000)702,000
Garrett(1,000)703,000
Somerset(2,000)705,000
Kent(2,000)707,000
Alsobrooks will get 90 percent of the popular vote in
Prince Georges(419,000)1,126,000
Sarbanes will get
Prince Georges(46,000)
Kent(3,000)49,000
Somerset(3,000)52,000
Garrett(2,000)54,000
Dorchester(5,000)59,000
Caroline(4,000)63,000
Talbot(6,000)69,000
Queen Annes(6,000)75,000
Worcester(8,000)83,000
Allegany(7,000)90,000
Calvert(14,000)104,000
Cecil(12,000)116,000
Wicomico(16,000)132,000
St Marys (15,000)147,000
Washington(19,000)166,000
Charles(45,000)211,000
Carroll(20,000)231,000
Harford(39,000)270,000
Frederick(46,000)316,000
Howard(73,000)389,000
Baltimore City(183,000)572,000
Anne Arundel(105,000)677,000
Baltimore(187,000)864,000
Montgomery(249,000)1,113,000
Alsobrooks will get 1,126,000
Sarbanes will get 1,113,000
The Democratic Primary Election for the 2024 MD US Senate Election between Sarbanes and Alsobrooks is a statistical tie.
Alsobrooks gets 90 percent of the popular vote in her home county Prince Georges and 40 percent of the popular vote in the other counties.
The Democratic candidates for the 2024 MD US Senate Election if Cardin retires will be:
Alsobrooks,Sarbanes,and Trone.
Raskin is not going to run because of the cancer and is likely to become chairman of the US House Oversight and Reform committee if and when the Democrats regain control of the US House of Representatives.
Between Alsobrooks,Sarbanes,and Trone, Trone has a lot of money and represents a US House District with Republican Counties. Sarbanes has high name recognition and represents a US House District based in the Greater Baltimore Metro Area. Alsobrooks is a Countywide Elected Official of the 2nd most populated county in MD(Prince Georges County).
Alsobrooks will get endorsements from Wes Moore,Aruna Miller,Anthony Brown,Brooke Lierman,and Glenn Ivey. Sarbanes will get endorsements from Dutch Ruppersberger and Kweisi Mfume. Cardin,Van Hollen,Hoyer, and Raskin will remain neutral.
Alsobrooks will carry Charles County,Montgomery County,Prince Georges County and Baltimore City.
Sarbanes will carry Anne Arundel County,Baltimore County,Howard County,and Harford County.
Trone will carry Frederick County,Carroll County,and Washington County.
Alsobrooks will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 MD US Senate Election if Cardin retires.
Alsobrooks will be the first black female US Senator from MD.
In 2022, MD elected the first black male Governor(Wes Moore),first Asian(Indian) female Lt Governor(Aruna Miller), first black male Attorney General(Anthony Brown) and first white female Comptroller(Brooke Lierman). Alsobrooks endorsed all 4 of those candidates in the Democratic primary.
Alsobrooks is running against 3 60 something year old white male who are currently serving in the US House of Representatives. Raskin,Sarbanes,and Trone.
Alsobrooks will carry Baltimore City,Charles,and Prince Georges.
Trone will carry Western MD, Frederick, and Carroll.
Sarbanes will carry Anne Arundel, Baltimore and Howard.
Raskin will carry Montgomery.
Was Sinema the lady wearing a yellow dress at the SOTU?
If Ben Cardin decides not to seek re-election to the US Senate in 2024.
Who will Ben Cardin, Chris Van Hollen, and Steny Hoyer endorse in the 2024 MD Democratic Primary Election for the US Senate?
Will they go the traditional route and endorse John Sarbanes or Jamie Raskin?
Will they make a bold decision and endorse Angela Alsobrooks?
Angela Alsobrooks is a single black mother who got her Bachelors degree at Duke University and Law Degree at University of Maryland while John Sarbanes and Jamie Raskin are white males who attended Harvard University. Raskin got his Bachelors and Law Degree at Harvard and Sarbanes got his Bachelors Degree at Princeton University and Law Degree at Harvard.
How many of the Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2024 are going to leave office?
Loses in the November General Election
AZ(Sinema-I)
WV(Manchin-D)
Retires
CA(Feinstein-D)
DE(Carper-D)
ME(King-I)
MD(Cardin-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
Profile Information
Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AMNumber of posts: 8,617