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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AM
Number of posts: 7,176

Journal Archives

2018 NY-25 US House Special Election(RIP Louise Slaughter)

Former NY Lt Governor and Rochester,NY Mayor Robert Duffy-D
Current Rochester,NY Mayor Lovely Warren-D
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Mar 16, 2018, 07:03 PM (3 replies)

New PA-14 and PA-17- Could Jason Altmire run in one of those districts?

The district that Connor Lamb does not run in.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Mar 15, 2018, 07:36 PM (0 replies)

2018 MS US Senate Special Election- McDaniel-R vs Childers-D????

Had McDaniel-R defeated Cochran-R in the Republican primary in 2014, would Childers-D have defeated McDaniel-R in the November General Election or was the 2014 Republican wave too big for Childers-D to overcome?
Childers or Moore would be winnable Democratic candidates for the 2018 MS US Senate Special Election.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Mar 14, 2018, 08:20 PM (0 replies)

PA-18 results- 95 percent of the votes have been counted- Lamb is leading by a .5 percent margin.

22 percent swing toward the Democrats.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:00 PM (1 replies)

PA-18 Special Election results- 83 percent of the votes have been counted-

Lamb-D is leading by a 2.5 percent margin.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Tue Mar 13, 2018, 09:45 PM (3 replies)

2018 PA-18 US House Election winner.

If Conor Lamb-D wins tonight- he would likely run for re-election in PA-14 or PA-17 against Rothfuss-R.
The new PA-14/PA-17 was formerly represented by the late Jack Murtha. Would Conor Lamb be another Jack Murtha?
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Tue Mar 13, 2018, 08:24 PM (2 replies)

Could Democrats win a US Senate seat in SC in the near future?

Graham-R loses in the Republican primary to an arch conservative.
Democrats nominate Stephen Benjamin- current mayor of Columbia,SC.
Benjamin is a popular and charismatic African American mayor of a large city in SC.
SC is less Republican than AL,MS,and LA.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Mar 11, 2018, 04:20 PM (1 replies)

2020 will be the year Democrats regain control of the US Senate.

2018
10 Democratic incumbent US Senators up for re-election in 2018 are from States Trump carried in 2016
FL-Nelson-D
IN-Donnelly-D
MI-Stabenow-D
MO-McCaskill-D
MT-Tester-D
ND-Heitkamp-D
OH-Brown-D
PA-Casey-D
WV-Manchin-D
WI-Baldwin-D
Out of those 10, 5 of those States Trump carried by a double digit margin
IN,MO,MT,ND,and WV.
Democrats could hold onto MT but lose IN,MO,ND,and WV and pick up AZ and NV- Republican held seats in states Trump narrowly won or lost in 2018. -2D is a worse case scenario for Democrats in 2018. 47D 53R
2020
1 Democratic incumbent US Senator up for re-election in 2020 are from State Trump will carry in 2020
AL-Jones-D
Democrats have a 50-50 chance of holding onto AL
Democrats will pick up Republican held seats in AZ(special election to replace McCain-R),CO,GA and NC- States Trump will lose or narrowly win in 2020.
Democrats could pick up ME if Collins-R retires or loses in the primary and MT if Bullock-D runs.
Democrats will have a net gain of 3 to 6 seats in 2020.



Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Mar 11, 2018, 03:42 PM (2 replies)

2018 US House Election- How many seats will Democrats pick up?

1)AZ-2 1
2)CA-10 2
3)CA-21
4)CA-25 3
5)CA-39 4
6)CA-45
7)CA-48 5
8)CA-49 6
9)CO-6 7
10)FL-26 8
11)FL-27 9
12)GA-6
13)IL-6 10
14)IL-12 11
15)IL-13
16)IA-1 12
17)IA-3
18)KS-2
19)KS-3
20)KY-6
21)ME-2
22)MI-6
23)MI-8
24)MI-11 13
25)MN-2 14
26)MN-3 15
27)MT-AL
28)NE-2 16
29)NJ-2 17
30)NJ-7
31)NJ-11 18
32)NY-11
33)NY-19 19
34)NY-22. 20
35)NY-24
36)NC-9
37)NC-13
38)OH-12
39)PA-1 21
40)PA-5 22
41)PA-6 23
42)PA-7 24
43)PA-10
44)PA-17 25
45)PA-18 26
46)TX-7 27
47)TX-23 28
48)TX-32
49)UT-4
50)VA-2
51)VA-5
52)VA-7
53)VA-10 29
54)WA-5
55)WA-8 30
Democrats will pick up between 30 to 55 seats.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Mar 11, 2018, 02:47 PM (0 replies)

2018 US Senate Elections vs 2020 US Senate Elections- vulnerable Democratic/Republican seats

2018
Vulnerable Democratic seats
FL-if Scott-R runs.
IN
MO
MT
ND
OH
WV
Vulnerable Republican Seats
AZ
MS Special
NV
TN
TX.
2020
Vulnerable Democratic seats
AL
NH if Sununu-R runs
Vulnerable Republican Seats
AK if Berkowitz or Begich -D runs.
AZ Special.
CO
GA
IA
ME if Collins-R retires or loses in the Republican primary.
MT if Bullock-D runs.
NC
TX
There are more vulnerable Republican held seats in 2020 than Democratic held seats in 2018.

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Mar 9, 2018, 09:31 PM (0 replies)
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