nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's Journal2018 US Senate Election Ranking.
1)AZ(OPEN Flake-R)+1D
2)NV(Heller-R)+2D
3)TN(OPEN Corker-R)+3D
4)IN(Donnelly-D)
5)MO(McCaskill-D)
6)FL(Nelson-D)
7)ND(Heitkamp-D)
8)TX(Cruz-R)
9)WV(Manchin-D)
10)OH(Brown-D)
11)MT(Tester-D)
12)WI(Baldwin-D)
13)MS(Hyde Smith-R)
14)MN(Smith-D)
15)PA(Casey-D)
16)MI(Stabenow-D)
17)NE(Fischer-R)
18)NJ(Menendez-D)
19)VA(Kaine-D)
20)ME(King-I/D)
21)MS(Wicker-R)
22)MN(Klobuchar-D)
23)NM(Heinrich-D)
24)CT(Murphy-D)
25)DE(Carper-D)
26)UT(OPEN Hatch-R)
27)WA(Cantwell-D)
28)RI(Whitehouse-D)
29)NY(Gillibrand-D)
30)MD(Cardin-D)
31)WY(Barrasso-R)
32)MA(Warren-D)
33)CA(Feinstein-D)
34)VT(Sanders-I/D)
35)HI(Hirono-D)
2018 US Senate Election Prediction- Democrats floor/ceiling.
Democrats ceiling
Holding onto every Democratic held seat up in 2018
Picking up AZ(Sinema-D),NV(Rosen-D),TN(Bredesen-D)and TX(O'Rourke-D)+4D 53D 47R
Democrats floor
Picking up AZ(Sinema-D), NV(Rosen-D) and TN(Bredesen-D) +3D 52D 48R
Losing IN(Braun-R),MO(Hawley-R),and ND(Cramer-R)-3D 49D 51R
2018 US Governors Election prediction- If 2018 is a strong Democratic wave
AL(Ivey-R)
AK(Walker-I/D)
AZ(Garcia-D)+1D
AR(Hutchinson-R)
CA(Newsom-D)
CO(Polis-D)
CT(Lamont-D)
FL(Levine-D)+2D
GA(Abrams-D)+3D
HI(Hanabusa-D)
ID(Labrador-R)
IL(Pritzker-D)+4D
IA(Boulton-D)+5D
KS(Kobach-R)
ME(Mills-D)+6D
MD(Hogan-R)
MA(Baker-R)
MI(Whitmer-D)+7D
MN(Walz-D)
NE(Ricketts-R)
NV(Sisolak-D) +8D
NH(Sununu-R)
NM(Lujan Grisham-D) +9D
NY(Cuomo-D)
OH(Cordray-D)+10D
OK(Lamb-R)
OR(Brown-D)
PA(Wolf-D)
RI(Brown-D)
SC(McMaster-R)
SD(Noem-R)
TN(Black-R)
TX(Abbott-R)
VT(Scott-R)
WI(Walker-R)
WY(Gordon-R)
If Indiana Congressman elect Greg Pence wants to help his brother become POTUS,
He should make a motion to impeach President Trump, convince 15 Republican US Senators to vote to convict.
2018 US House Election in NC-9 and WV-3 should be in the Tossup category Likely Republican.
NC-9 Republican incumbent was defeated in the primary yesterday by a Rightwinger. Democrats nominated an Iraq War Veteran/businessman. McCready-D narrowly defeats Harris-R
WV-3 Democratic candidates received more votes than the Republican candidates in yesterday's election.
2018 US Senate Election rating.
AZ(Sinema-D vs McSally-R) Lean Democratic
AZ(Sinema-D vs Ward-R) Likely Democratic
AZ(Sinema-D vs Arpaio-R) Solid Democratic
+1D/-1R 50D 50R
CA(Feinstein-D vs ????) Solid Democratic
CT(Murphy-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
DE(Carper-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
FL(Nelson-D vs Scott-R) Tossup
-1D 49D 50R
HI(Hirono-D vs White-R) Solid Democratic
IN(Donnelly-D vs Braun-R) Tossup
-1D 48D 50R
ME(King-I vs Brakey-R vs Ringelstein-D) Solid Independent/Democratic
MD(Cardin-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
MA(Warren-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
MI(Stabenow-D vs ???R) Solid Democratic
MN(Klobuchar-D vs Newberger-R) Solid Democratic
MN(Smith-D vs Housley-R) Likely Democratic
MS(Wicker-R vs Baria-R) Solid Republican
MS(Hyde Smith-R vs ????) Likely Republican
MO(McCaskill-D vs Hawley-R) Tossup
-1D 47D 50R
MT(Tester-D vs Rosendale-R) Lean Democratic
NE(Fischer-R vs Raybould-D) Likely Republican
NV(Heller-R vs Rosen-D) Lean Democratic
+1D/-1R 48D 49R
NJ(Menendez-D vs Hugin-R) Solid Democratic
NM(Heinrich-D vs Rich-R) Solid Democratic
NY(Gillibrand-D vs Farley-R) Solid Democratic
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R) Tossup
-1D 47D 49R
OH(Brown-D vs Rennacci-R) Lean Democratic
PA(Casey-D vs Barletta-R) Likely Democratic
RI(Whitehouse-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
TN(Blackburn-R vs Bredesen-D) Tossup
-1R 47D 48R
TX(Cruz-R vs O'Rourke-D) Lean Republican
UT(Romney-R vs Wilson-D) Solid Republican
VT(Sanders-I vs ???R vs ???D) Solid Independent/Democratic
VA(Kaine-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
WA(Cantwell-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
WV(Manchin-D vs Morrisey-R) Tossup
-1D 46D 48R
WI(Baldwin-D vs ???R) Likely Democratic
WY(Barrasso-R vs Trauner-D) Solid Republican
Tossup Races are FL,IN,MO,ND,TN,and WV.
2018 US House Election- What are Democrats chances in winning NC-9,OH-12,and WV-3?
In NC-9
Iraq war veteran Dan McCready-D won the Democratic Nomination, Baptist Minister Mark Harris-R won the Republican nomination over incumbent Robert Pittenger-R.
In OH-12
Danny O'Connor-D won the Democratic Nomination, Troy Balderson-R is narrowly leading Melanie Lenagan-R in the Republican side.
In WV-3
State Senator and Iraq War Veteran Richard Ojeda-D won the Democratic Nomination. State House Majority Whip Carol Miller-R won the Republican nomination.
Democrats hold 193 US House Seats. They hold onto MI-13 and NY-25. 195. They lose PA-14,MN-1,and MN-8. 192.
Democrats pick up
AZ-2 193
CA-10 194
CA-25 195
CA-39 196
CA-48 197
CA-49 198
CO-6 199
FL-26 200
FL-27 201
IL-12 202
IA-1 203
MI-11 204
MN-2 205
MN-3 206
NE-2 207
NJ-2 208
NJ-7 209
NJ-11 210
NY-19 211
NY-22 212
PA-1 213
PA-5 214
PA-6 215
PA-7 216
PA-17 218
TX-23 219
VA-10 220
WA-8 221
2018 NC-9 US House Race- McCready-D vs Harris-R
Pittenger-R is trailing in the vote count.
2018 US Senate Election- Tossup US Senate Races.
Democratic Strongly Favored
CA(Feinstein-D) 24D
CT(Murphy-D) 25D
DE(Carper-D) 26D
HI(Hirono-D) 27D
ME(King-I/D) 28D
MD(Cardin-D) 29D
MA(Warren-D) 30D
MI(Stabenow-D) 31D
MN(Klobuchar-D) 32D
MN(Smith-D) 33D
NJ(Menendez-D) 34D
NM(Heinrich-D) 35D
NY(Gillibrand-D) 36D
PA(Casey-D) 37D
RI(Whitehouse-D) 38D
VT(Sanders-I/D) 39D
VA(Kaine-D) 40D
WA(Cantwell-D) 41D
Republican Strongly Favored
MS(Wicker-R) 43R
MS(Hyde Smith-R) 44R
NE(Fischer-R) 45R
UT(Romney-R) 46R
WY(Barrasso-R) 47R
Democratic Slightly Favored
AZ(Sinema-D) 42D
MT(Tester-D) 43D
NV(Rosen-D) 44D
OH(Brown-D) 45D
TN(Bredesen-D) 46D
WV(Manchin-D)47D
WI(Baldwin-D) 48D
Republican Slightly Favored
TX(Cruz-R) 48R
Tossup
FL(Nelson-D vs Scott-R)
IN(Donnelly-D vs Braun-R)
MO(McCaskill-D vs Hawley-R)
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R)
2018 US House Election- How many US House seats Democrats will have after 2018?
193 minus MN-1,MN-8, PA-14= 190 plus MI-13,NY-25,PA-5,and PA-7= 194
195) AZ-2
196) CA-10
197) CA-25
198) CA-39
199) CA-48
200) CA-49
201) CO-6
202) FL-26
203) FL-27
204) IA-1
205) MI-11
206) MN-2
207) MN-3
208) NE-2
209) NJ-2
210) NJ-7
211) NJ-11
212) NY-19
213) PA-1
214) PA-6
215) PA-17
216) TX-23
217) VA-10
218) WA-8
Profile Information
Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AMNumber of posts: 8,617
