nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's Journal2018 TN US Senate Race
Solid Republican if Republicans nominate Haslam-R and Democrats nominate Berke-D
Likely Republican if Republicans nominate Haslam-R and Democrats nominate Cooper-D or Republicans nominate Blackburn-R and Democrats nominate Berke-D
Lean Republican if Republicans nominate Haslam-R and Democrats nominate Bredesen-D or Republicans nominate Blackburn-R and Democrats nominate Cooper-D
Tossup Republican if Republicans nominate Blackburn-R and Democrats nominate Bredesen-D
If Democrats get Bredesen-D to run and Republicans nominate Blackburn-R, TN could be 51st Democratic US Senate seat assuming Democrats hold onto US Senate seats in deep red states in IN,MO,MT,ND,OH,and WV and pick up AZ and NV.
2018 US Senate Election prediction
Democrats are strongly favored to win CA,CT,DE,HI,ME,MD,MA,MI,MN,NJ,NM,NY,RI,VT,VA,and WA-39D
Republicans are strongly favored to win MS,NE,TN,TX,UT,and WY-50R
If 2018 is a strong Democratic wave.
Democrats hold onto FL,IN,MO,MT,ND,OH,PA,WV and WI 48D
Democrats pick up AZ and NV 50D
If 2018 is a weak Democratic wave.
Democrats hold onto FL,IN,MO,MT,ND,OH,PA,WV and WI 48D
Democrats pick up AZ or NV 49D
If 2018 is a neutral year
Democrats hold onto FL,MT,ND,OH,PA,WV and WI. 46D
Democrats lose IN and MO and pick up AZ and NV 48D
If 2018 is a weak Republican wave.
Democrats hold onto FL,MT,ND,OH,PA,WV and WI 46D
Democrats lose IN and MO and pick up either AZ or NV 47D
If 2018 is a strong Republican wave.
Democrats hold onto FL,MT,ND,OH,PA,WV and WI 46D
Democrats lose IN and MO.
During the February 4 2018 Superbowl-both football teams should kneel during the National Anthem.
Donald Trump believes that kneeling is only appropriate for having $ex.
Not for saluting the flag.
Too bad Conald Rump does not have the tiny squared orange mustache.
He would turn into the former President of Germany from the late 1930's.
Dean Heller (R-NV) is also a co-sponsor of the Obamacare Repeal. This means he is toast in 2018.
How badly does Heller-R lose re-election in 2018?
landslide margin like Kirk-IL in 2016?
narrow margin like Ayotte-NH in 2016?
somewhere in between?
Cruz-TX is not the latest Republican US Senator to say he opposes Graham-Cassidy bill -Lee-UT is.
According to Ted Cruz.
2018 US House and Senate Elections-Democrats gain seats in House but lose seats in Senate.
2018 US House Elections-Democrats pick up
Open Republican held seats in
1)FL-27
2)KS-2 (depends on what type of campaign Paul Davis-D runs)
3)MI-11
4)NM-2 (Harry Teague-D won that seat in 2008-Democrats could win NM-2 in 2018)
5)PA-15
6)WA-8
Vulnerable Republican incumbents in
7)AZ-2
8)CA-10
9)CA-25
10)CA-48
11)CA-49
12)CO-6
13)FL-26
14)MN-2
15)NE-2(depends on what type of campaign Brad Ashford-D runs)
16)NY-19
17)TX-23
18)VA-10
Democrats could lose open Democratic held US House seat in MN-1
Democrats will have a net gain of 16 seats in the US House.
Democrats need to win
19)CA-21
20)CA-39
21)IA-1
22)MN-3
23)NY-22
24)NY-24
2018 US Senate Elections-Democrats pick up
1)AZ-if Sinema,Stanton,or Kelly-D runs.
2)NV
Democrats could lose
1)IN
2)MO
Democrats could have a net loss of 1 seat in the US Senate in 2018.
Which US Senators we need to defeat Graham/Cassidy?
I am predicting that Collins-ME and Murkowski-AK will be the Republicans to vote against Graham/Cassidy.
That leaves us McCain-AZ and Paul-KY.
I now hear Cruz-TX and Lee-UT will vote against Graham/Cassidy-according to Cruz-www.politicalwire.com
How about a balanced and diverse 2020 Democratic Presidential Ticket ?
Booker/Klobuchar-D or Klobuchar/Booker-D
A black male from the Northeast with a white female from the Midwest.
Both Booker and Klobuchar have left to center ideology.
Booker/Klobuchar could hold onto all of the Clinton/Kaine states plus pick up PA,MI,and WI.
Booker can help increase Afro American turnout in the Tallahassee/Jacksonville area in FL and Charlotte/Raleigh area in NC.
NJ and MN will have Democratic Governors in 2020 so Booker and Klobuchar will be succeeded by Democrats when the leave the US Senate for higher office.
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