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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
September 29, 2022

Manchin is predicting a 49D 49R 1Sinema 1Manchin US Senate seat breakdown.

Manchin is predicting the Democrats will pick up PA or OH.
PA and OH have strong Democratic and weak Republican nominee but PA is a purple state while OH is a red state. The 50th Democratic US Senate seat could be NC. OPEN seat in a weak red state. Ted Budd(R-NC) does not have the Incumbency advantage that Ron Johnson(R-WI) has.

September 29, 2022

The maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats might have after 2022.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)IL(Duckworth-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)VT(Welch-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)



September 29, 2022

Is Dr. Oz's margin of defeat going to be larger or smaller than US Sen. Sodomy's margin of defeat?

US Senator Sodomy lost re-election in 2006 by an 18 percent margin.

September 29, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will be most likely going to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)IL(Duckworth-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)VT(Welch-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)


September 29, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win by a solid to slight margin.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)IL(Duckworth-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)VT(Welch-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

September 28, 2022

The Democratic Party US Senate seats after 2022 base is 51 and ceiling is 54.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)IL(Duckworth-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)VT(Welch-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
Tossup
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

September 28, 2022

Which US Senate Seat are the Democrats are most likely to win? GA,NV,Both, or Neither?

Democrats are favored to win WA(Murray-D),CO(Bennet-D),NH(Hassan-D),AZ(Kelly-D),and PA(Fetterman-D) by at least a high single digit margin. GA(Warnock-D) and NV(Cortez Masto-D) are seats that Democrats will narrowly win. Winning WA,CO,NH,AZ,PA,GA,and NV will put Democrats at 51 seats. WI(Barnes-D),NC(Beasley-D),and OH(Ryan-D) will go either way.
HI(Schatz-D)37
MD(Van Hollen-D)38
NY(Schumer-D)39
CA(Padilla-D)40
IL(Duckworth-D)41
OR(Wyden-D)42
CT(Blumenthal-D)43
VT(Welch-D)44
WA(Murray-D)45
CO(Bennet-D)46
NH(Hassan-D)47
AZ(Kelly-D)48
PA(Fetterman-D)49
GA(Warnock-D)50
NV(Cortez Masto-D)51
WI(Barnes-D)52
NC(Beasley-D)53
OH(Ryan-D)54



September 27, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-eletion in 2022 that the Democrats will win by a solid to slight margin.

Solid D
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)VT(Welch-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
Likely D
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Lean D
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
Slight D
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)




September 27, 2022

Incoming Democratic US Senators in 2024?

AZ(Ruben Gallego-D)
CA(Ro Khanna-D)
DE(Lisa Blunt Rochester-D)
HI(Tulsi Gabbard-D)
ME(Jared Golden-D)
MD(Jamie Raskin-D)
VT(Becca Ballint-D)

September 25, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)VT(Welch-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)




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