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Polybius

Polybius's Journal
Polybius's Journal
December 31, 2023

ChatGPT: What if John Kerry won the 2004 election?

ChatGPT
Speculating on what might have happened if John Kerry had won the 2004 election requires us to consider various factors, both domestically and internationally. Here are some potential outcomes and changes that could have occurred:

Iraq War and Middle East Policy: Kerry was critical of the Bush administration's handling of the Iraq War. Had he won, there might have been a different strategy or timeline for withdrawal from Iraq. It's possible that there could have been more emphasis on diplomacy and international cooperation.

Domestic Policies: Kerry had proposed healthcare reforms, environmental policies, and other domestic initiatives that differed from those of the Bush administration. If Kerry had won, we might have seen different legislative priorities and outcomes during his term(s).

Economic Policies: Kerry had proposed rolling back some of the tax cuts introduced during the Bush administration, especially for high-income earners. His economic policies might have focused on different areas such as job creation, infrastructure spending, and income inequality.

Supreme Court Nominees: One of the lasting impacts of a presidential term is the opportunity to nominate Supreme Court justices. If Kerry had won, his appointments to the Supreme Court could have shifted the ideological balance in a different direction than the appointments made by Bush.

Global Diplomacy: Kerry's approach to foreign policy and diplomacy might have differed from that of the Bush administration. He had a more multilateral approach and might have sought to rebuild relationships with allies that were strained during Bush's tenure.

Climate Change: Kerry has been a vocal advocate for addressing climate change. Had he won in 2004, the U.S. might have taken earlier and more aggressive actions to combat climate change, potentially rejoining international agreements like the Kyoto Protocol (from which the U.S. withdrew under Bush) sooner.

Financial Crisis of 2008: It's challenging to predict with certainty, but given the economic policies and regulatory approaches Kerry might have pursued, the response to the 2008 financial crisis could have looked different. The regulatory framework, stimulus packages, and interventions might have varied under a Kerry administration.

Political Landscape: A Kerry win in 2004 could have had ripple effects on subsequent elections, party alignments, and the overall political landscape of the U.S. The rise of movements like the Tea Party or the subsequent election of Barack Obama might have been influenced or altered.

Remember, this is speculative, and the actual outcomes would have depended on numerous variables, including congressional dynamics, global events, and unforeseen challenges. History unfolds based on countless decisions and events, making it complex to predict definitive outcomes.


While we often hear "what ifs" about 2000 and 2016, for some reason we don't here much about 2004. Fascinating answers. What do you think might have happened in the short and long run had Kerry won?
December 30, 2023

Rep. Jared Golden (D) and Senator Angus King (I) oppose the Maine SOS's decision?

Maine secretary of state faces criticism from fellow Dems over Trump ballot decision

Maine’s Democratic secretary of state is facing growing criticism from her party over her decision to remove former President Donald Trump from Maine’s ballot.

Rep. Jared Golden, a Maine Democrat whose competitive House district Trump won in 2016 and 2020, criticized the ruling in a statement posted to social media Thursday night.“

I voted to impeach Donald Trump for his role in the January 6th Insurrection. I do not believe he should be re-elected as President of the United States,” Golden wrote. “However, we are a nation of laws, therefore until he is actually found guilty of the crime of insurrection, he should be allowed on the ballot.”

Sen. Angus King, an independent who caucuses with Democrats in the Senate, said in a statement that while he respected Secretary of State Shenna Bellows’ “careful process,” he believed “that the decision as to whether or not Mr. Trump should again be considered for the presidency should rest with the people as expressed in free and fair elections.”


Read more...
December 27, 2023

NYC Mayor Adams Says He Can't Get Meeting With Biden Amid Migrant Crisis: 'It Baffles Me'

Source: The Messenger

Democratic New York City Mayor Eric Adams on Tuesday complained that he has been unable to obtain a meeting with President Joe Biden amid the surge in migrants his city is experiencing.

During a press conference, the mayor said he has not met with Biden since 2022.

"It baffles me. You know, New York City is the economic engine of the state and the country," Adams said. "I am really pleased that we are now getting a chorus of other cities that are joining us, who are now part of our coalition."

Adams has traveled to Washington, D.C., several times to meet with members of the Biden administration about the surge in migrants. His request for supplemental funding to aid the city in processing migrants was joined by other Democratic mayors in November, including Los Angeles' Karen Bass and Chicago's Brandon Johnson.

Read more: https://themessenger.com/politics/nyc-mayor-adams-says-he-cant-get-meeting-with-biden-amid-migrant-crisis-it-baffles-me

December 25, 2023

What should our border/migrant stance be?

Having monetary problems at the moment, so I can't create a poll. What are your views on this, and what should Biden's stance be? More border patrol? Path to citizenship? Wall? Open borders? Something else?

December 21, 2023

Dean Phillips criticizes Colorado court ruling barring Trump from ballot

Source: Politico

Democratic presidential candidate Rep. Dean Phillips on Wednesday criticized the Colorado Supreme Court’s decision to remove former President Donald Trump from the state’s ballot over his involvement in the Jan. 6, 2021 attack on the U.S. Capitol, aligning with Republicans while placing himself at odds with key figures within his party.

“Do I believe Trump is guilty of inspiring an insurrection and doing nothing to stop it? I was there. Absolutely,” the Minnesota Democrat posted on X , formerly Twitter. ”Do I believe it’s wrong to ban him from the ballot in Colorado without a conviction? Absolutely. Do I believe the SCOTUS must opine immediately? Absolutely.”

Phillips’ take on the Colorado case lines up with what many Republicans, third-party candidates and other Democratic challengers to President Joe Biden have said about the decision. The state’s high court held that Trump’s involvement in the Jan. 6 attack constituted an insurrection, precluding him from being a candidate under a Reconstruction-era provision of the 14th Amendment that was written to bar former Confederates from office. The decision has been pilloried by Republicans and conservatives as inappropriate and undemocratic.

But Phillips’ response also separates him from other figures within the Democratic Party. His long-shot campaign alone has rankled people within the party, and his critiques of Biden’s age haven’t helped show unified Democratic support for the incumbent president facing regular questioning of his leadership ability.

Read more: https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/20/dean-phillips-criticizes-co-supreme-court-ruling-barring-trump-from-ballot-00132767

December 20, 2023

Xi straight-up told Biden that China is going to take over Taiwan, report says. It could end in war.

Source: Yahoo! News

Chinese leader Xi Jinping told President Joe Biden that China intended to take control of Taiwan in a face-to-face meeting last month, NBC News reported.

The report, citing three former and current US officials, said that the remarks were made during a meeting on the fringes of the Apec summit in San Francisco in November.

While official readouts of the meeting emphasized the common ground the leaders found on issues such as the climate crisis, the report indicated that long-standing tensions over the de facto autonomy of Taiwan also surfaced.

Xi bluntly asserted the Chinese right to rule Taiwan and said it would prefer to take it peacefully not by force, according to NBC.

Read more: https://www.yahoo.com/news/xi-straight-told-biden-china-151908209.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZGVtb2NyYXRpY3VuZGVyZ3JvdW5kLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAIhybtqK9B4gdj1-JtoYMmajsxwN7813j6MFUaf-fRsEIkENyEI8VcIxLAMLSUyNeF4TPdhFyLo3XZYRB5HrUPyUwIpVc2W-cZpHs5ASQgPiExNxFxknlckuNIk1UBJXgYUlli_G1RV-uiIR2ojMjGlLv37Eo_ktYZeEN9vkUddZ

December 18, 2023

Driver Who Crashed into President Biden's Motorcade Charged With DUI

Source: The Messenger

A driver faces DUI charges after a crash involving a Secret Service SUV that was providing security to President Joe Biden's motorcade in Wilmington, Delaware, according to a report.

A Wilmington Police spokesperson identified him as James Cooper, 46, of Wilmington, The New York Times reported.

The president was responding to a reporter's question when a sedan with Delaware plates hit a Secret Service SUV at the intersection across from the campaign headquarters.

There was a loud bang from the crash and the president, 81, stopped to look with a surprised expression on his face.

Read more: https://themessenger.com/news/car-crash-joe-biden-wilmington-delaware-dui-driver

December 13, 2023

Haley gets endorsement from Gov. Chris Sununu ahead of pivotal New Hampshire primary

Source: Associated Press

MANCHESTER, N.H. (AP) — New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu endorsed Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley on Tuesday, six weeks before the state’s pivotal first-in-the-nation primary.

Sununu appeared with Haley during a campaign town hall at a ski area in Manchester, where he said she has shown she understands the values Republicans associate with the state’s “Live Free or Die” motto, including low taxes, limited government and local control.

“This is an opportunity for New Hampshire to lead this country, for New Hampshire to say we’re not looking in the rearview mirror anymore,” Sununu said.

His message for Donald Trump: “Thank you for your service, Mr. President, we’re moving on. This is New Hampshire, and we go forward.”

Read more: https://apnews.com/article/haley-sununu-new-hampshire-presidential-election-990cc5cf71b5ae6d50c87cb91e95bfeb



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