crazytown
crazytown's JournalBiden: "I had more black support in South Carolina than anybody"
Joe Biden took questions from black reporters for 90 minutes. He did not disappoint.https://www.politico.com/story/2019/08/27/biden-black-reporters-1476637
What about Kamala and Cory?
Biden said he doesnt know ... but he framed his lengthy record as both good news and bad news. People know me, or at least they think they know me, Biden said. I think after all this time, they think they have a sense of what my character is and who I am warts and all.
He said its tough to explain why black voters prefer him in such high numbers over his opponents but noted hes never felt uncomfortable being in a black community.
By the way, that doesnt mean itll stay that way, he added. You can go back and look: When Barack clobbered me in the campaign, you know, I more black support in South Carolina than anybody, including him. I got blown out in Iowa and all of a sudden everything changed. Same thing could happen.
Public Policy Polling, August 13, 2007
Overall: HRC 36%, Obama 33%, Edwards 13%, Biden 3%
AA: Obama 55%, HRC 29&, Edwards 1%, Biden 0%
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/PPP_SC_Release_081507.pdf
Pew Research, December 3, 2007
EDITED - to include electability table
https://www.people-press.org/2007/12/03/democratic-primary-preview-iowa-new-hampshire-south-carolina/
Latest from NOAA: Dorian has began to move; strengthening; may not make landfall in US.
After remaining stationary for 12 hours, Dorian has began to move at 1 mph NW. Sustained winds have strengthened back to 120 mph. Current median projection avoids landfall in US.
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https://www.noaa.gov/dorian
The projected path of Hurricane Dorian is shifting closer to the Florida Coast.
Hurricane Dorian is going to come very, very close to Floridahttps://arstechnica.com/science/2019/09/hurricane-dorian-is-going-to-come-very-very-close-to-florida/
Listening to a BBC interview with NOAA official, each revision over the last 12 hours has been moved further left.
The Democratic Winner of the Iowa Caucuses goes on the win The Nomination.
Gore (2000), Kerry (2004), Obama (2008), Clinton (2016), and, in earlier times, Carter (1976) and Mondale (1984). 1992 (Harkin) was not contested: 2nd place was Tsongas with 4%. The only significant exception was Gephardt (1988). Following the caucuses, Dukakis and Gore co-ordinated to crush his candidacy with negative ads.
Video shows Trump golfing before Hurricane Dorian arrives in U.S.
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1167870667108143104Video appears to show Trump golfing in Virginia in the run-up to catastrophic Hurricane Dorian
Official communications from the White House and statements from the president himself ahead of the weekend trip suggested that Trump would be spending his time at Camp David in Maryland monitoring and preparing for the storm.
According to press pool reports, however, Trump traveled to his Sterling, Virginia golf course Saturday morning by helicopter from Camp David. Press Secretary Stephanie Grisham reportedly told reporters that someone from FEMA was briefing him on the hurricane every hour.
Trump departed the course at 2:40 PM, according to his schedule, and received his scheduled full briefing at Camp David when he returned.
BetOnline: Elizabeth Warren overtakes Joe Biden as Favorite
Elizabeth Warren has surpassed Joe Biden and taken over as the betting favorite to be the 2020 Presidential candidate in the Democratic nomination odds.https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/politics/elizabeth-warren-overtakes-joe-biden-democratic-nominee-favorite/
WaPo: Why Elizabeth Warren is the one to watch
Washington Post, August 30
Rob Stutzman, GOP political consultant
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/08/30/why-elizabeth-warren-is-one-watch/
Why Elizabeth Warren is the one to watch
Warren is the only candidate who sounds like she might chew Trumps leg off
Consider the Warren style: Chiefly, its fearless. She was the first candidate to call for President Trumps impeachment (likely a key to her fundraising), and to invoke her oath and fidelity to the Constitution as the imperative to seek Trumps removal from office. On the debate stage and at her rallies, shes pugnacious and has modulated her voice to be emphatic without screaming. Im a fighter is one of her slogans, and its a credible one, especially when she implores those in the audience to get up off [their] butt and volunteer! She just doesnt just want to fight; she wants to lead a fight.
All this is catnip for many rank-and-file Democrats, but dont discount the potential for her to attract moderates who are looking for someone who can go toe to toe with Trump on a debate stage. More than one Democratic voter has mused to me that Warren is the only candidate who sounds like she might chew Trumps leg off onstage. Its a vivid contrast to Joe Biden, who at times seems to be observing the debates as much as participating in them. If Democrats come to define electability as a measure of who can take on a bully, Warrens stock will rise.
Warrens substance, meanwhile, is her killer app. Her proposals range from an ultra-millionaire tax to breaking up big tech companies to forgiving student loans; the decision to flood the zone with big and bold substance has become definitional. And, in a race in which Sen. Kamala D. Harris (D-Calif.) has had more positions on health care than toppings on a supreme pizza, Warren has emerged as a candidate of deep convictions.
So can Warren win this nomination? Certainly. Does that leave the Democrats with a nominee who can beat Trump? Thats not so certain.
I would say there's at least one other candidate up for a little dental engineered amputation - Senator Harris.
September Debate candidates arrangement (abc)
Allocated according to an average of the last ten qualifying polls.
Trump reveals Space Command leadership (photo)
Polls: A reminder from 2007/08
Obama was 20 points behind right up to the Iowa Caucuses. On election night he said "You know, they said this day would never come".
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