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Zolorp

Zolorp's Journal
Zolorp's Journal
February 13, 2020

So why have there been NO "Brokered Conventions" in either party since 1952?

1952 was the last year of brokered conventions and BOTH parties held a brokered convention.

Adlai Stevenson came out of the Democratic National Convention and Dwight David Eisenhower came out of the Republican convention.

That was the last year either party held a convention where the nominee was not determined on the first ballot.

But why?

It's simple really. Brokered conventions are contentious affairs and nobody wants that in party leadership.

It's a tradition that every four years media personalities swoon over the possibility of a brokered convention on one side or the other because this sort of drama makes for good television and sells advertising. Every four years by the time Super Tuesday wraps up, it's down to no more than two real contenders in each party. All of the other multitudinous candidates see their money dry u and they just cannot compete.

And somebody always comes out on top to take the convention on the first ballot no muss no fuss.

You can usually tell who is seeing some nasty internal polling that shows their only hope is for several candidates to stay in so they have the plurality of delegates going into the first brokered convention since 1952 and can take it on the strength of the argument that" the convention must rally around the person with the most pledged delegates?" The person who starts using that argument almost always loses.

Almost. Always.

On rare occasions you can see some early panic in a campaign that thought it would do better early on. It's rare, but can happen.

The last time it was seriously pushed was in 2008. Hillary Clinton thought for a time she could argue she had the most popular votes so she should be nominated in the convention.

Hillary lost.

So yeah, it's interesting to look at the arguments about how a brokered convention should be handled, but it's all academic. Conventions are no longer brokered. 2020 will be no different. It will boil down to two contenders (or possibly even only one realistic contender) after Super Tuesday.

February 8, 2020

Insane Purity Demand of the Day: YOU CANNOT TAKE MONEY FROM PEOPLE WHO HAVE IT!!!

This is the most insane thing I've ever heard of!

What, are we supposed to put the ENTIRE cost of campaigning against a flipping billionaire to people whose $5 donation hurts them more than some rich person's $5,000 donation?

REALLY?

SHEESH!

February 8, 2020

Expunge an impeachment you say? Let's go to the constitution...

Article I, Section 2, Clause 5 provides:

The House of Representatives shall choose their Speaker and other Officers; and shall have the sole Power of Impeachment.

Article I, Section 3, Clauses 6 and 7[ provide:

The Senate shall have the sole Power to try all Impeachments. When sitting for that Purpose, they shall be on Oath or Affirmation. When the President of the United States is tried, the Chief Justice shall preside: And no Person shall be convicted without the Concurrence of two-thirds of the Members present.

Judgment in Cases of Impeachment shall not extend further than to removal from Office, and disqualification to hold and enjoy any Office of honor, Trust or Profit under the United States; but the Party convicted shall nevertheless be liable and subject to Indictment, Trial, Judgment and Punishment, according to Law.

Article II, Section 2 provides:

[The President] ... shall have power to grant reprieves and pardons for offenses against the United States, except in cases of impeachment.

Article II, Section 4 provides:

The President, Vice President and all civil Officers of the United States, shall be removed from Office on Impeachment for, and Conviction of, Treason, Bribery, or other high Crimes and Misdemeanors.


Nope, nothing in there about how to reverse, expunge, or otherwise "take back" and impeachment. Once impeached, a trial happens in the Senate. After the trial, the process is over. If the founders had intended on a way to "take back" an impeachment, there would be a provision to do so.
February 7, 2020

The Vindman twin brothers and Sondland fired for revenge.

There is a red line occurrence on the horizon.

Should Bolton be arrested we will be to the next step on the road to consolidation of power and intimidation of dissenters and opponents. Arresting Bolton will be a clear signal that Trump has determined he can do what he wants when he wants and nobody can stop him.

Only time will tell if he takes that step.

February 7, 2020

Bill Barr is Trump's Himmler

He's remaking the FBI and the rest of the DOJ into Trump's private Schutzstaffel.

It is not beyond the realm of possibility that there will be mass arrests of Democratic candidates in late October. And his cultists will eat it up chanting "LOCK THEM UP!"

That's my prediction for an "October Surprise".

February 6, 2020

Uncle Joe on picking a Veep

I tell ya, this is the ONLY candidate who knows EXACTLY what it takes to do the job and hit the ground running on day one, because he has already done the job!

https://twitter.com/doctor_eon/status/1225244743044456449

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