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speak easy

speak easy's Journal
speak easy's Journal
February 26, 2024

It can't be fixed.



JUST DEFEAT IT.
February 26, 2024

The dog ate my bond, your honor.


New York Supreme Court Justice Arthur Engoron
February 26, 2024

Charles Koch kisses The Ring

Koch network ends financial support for Nikki Haley’s presidential bid

Americans for Prosperity, the organization backed by conservative billionaire Charles Koch, will stop its spending in support of Nikki Haley’s presidential campaign, officials with the group said Sunday.

The organization — the Koch network’s flagship political group that set out last year to put its weight behind a Donald Trump opponent in 2024 — announced the change one day after the South Carolina GOP primary saw Trump defeat Haley in her home state.

AFP CEO Emily Seidel said in a public memo that the group had to “take stock” of its 2024 elections strategy. Despite its staunch support of Haley since November, Seidel wrote, the group knew “the presidential primary faced the longest odds.”

“Nikki Haley has shown us again and again that we made the right decision in supporting her candidacy and she continues to have our strong endorsement,” Seidel wrote. “But given the challenges in the primary states ahead, we don’t believe any outside group can make a material difference to widen her path to victory.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2024/02/25/americans-for-prosperity-haley-campaign/
February 25, 2024

2024: Trump cannot be compared to an Incumbent President

I have read on a number of occasions that Trump with 60% of the primary votes, is underperforming, because he is the 'Incumbent'. I disagree.

Apart from the political advantages of the office, a President has a historical advantage over a challenger that Trump does not because -

1. Even a very strong, insurgent challenger will be almost certainly lose ;
2. The prestige and performance of the President will suffer in office ; and
3. If the challenger conducts a particularly effective campaign, the President will lose the General Election.

This was true of Taft (1912), Ford (1976), Carter (1980), and, while not an incumbent, Humphrey (1968). In short, a substantial challenge to a sitting President is suicidal politics. Voters in the Primaries have good reason not to get onboard.

1. May be true for Trump, 2. and 3 are not. Republican primary voters do not see the challenger's campaigns as fatal to Trump's chances in the General Election. They can more freely lodge a protest vote.

February 25, 2024

Overlooked in the SC Republican Exit poll

21% said they would not vote for Trump in the General Election.

A few exit poll findings stand out. One is that 31 percent of voters said Trump wouldn’t be fit to serve as president if he’s convicted of a crime. South Carolina becomes the third early state to show that at least 3 in 10 voters said a convicted Trump wouldn’t be fit. (We don’t have data for Nevada.)

Just because these voters say he wouldn’t be fit doesn’t mean they wouldn’t vote for him, but it would surely be a hurdle for at least some voters to get over. And 5 percent of voters voted for Trump but said he would be unfit if convicted.

The NORC analysis showed that 35 percent of voters said they would be dissatisfied with Trump as the nominee, and 21 percent said they wouldn’t vote for him in the general election.

At least 20 percent of voters in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina have now said they will not vote for Trump in November.

Washington Post

For some reason, this consistent finding hasn't got much coverage,
February 25, 2024

Trump tells supporters he will not accept an election defeat.

“Our country is being destroyed, and the only thing standing between you and its obliteration is me,” he said. “In many ways, we’re living in hell right now.”

Trump further escalated his inflammatory attacks on his political opponents, calling them at turns “sickos,” “evil,” “Stalinist,” “executioners,” “thugs and tyrants, fascists, scoundrels and rogues.” As he has during his two previous campaigns, he told his supporters not to accept an electoral defeat, claiming without evidence that any loss would be illegitimate.

“Nov. 5 will be our new Liberation Day,” Trump said of this year’s election. “But for the liars and cheaters and fraudsters and censors and impostors who have commandeered our government, it will be their Judgment Day. … Success will be our revenge.”

Washington Post
February 25, 2024

SC Exit Polls - Biden lost/stole the 2020 election: 62% - 35%

Most Important Issue: Immigration 37%, Economy 33%
A Nation Ban on Abortion: Yes - 51%, No - 44%

TSF
Fights for people like me 90%
Shares my values 65%
White Evangelicals: TSF 74%

Washington Post

TSF - The Sick Fuck; Yes he is, very sick.

February 25, 2024

SC Primary: TSF has a +22 point lead at 88% counted.

60.7% - 38.7% New York Times

TSF - The Sick Fuck; Yes he is, very sick.

February 25, 2024

TSF @ CPAC: Biden will start WWIII and America will be obliterated. [Desperate much?]

If Mr. Biden is re-elected for a second four-year term, Mr. Trump warned in his speech, Medicare will “collapse.” Social Security will “collapse.” Health care in general will “collapse.” So, too, will public education. Millions of manufacturing jobs will be “choked off into extinction.” The U.S. economy will be “starved of energy” and there will be “constant blackouts.” The Islamist militant group Hamas will “terrorize our streets.” There will be a third world war and America will lose it. America itself will face “obliteration.”

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/24/us/politics/trump-cpac.html

Translation: If President Biden is re-elected, I will go to prison.

In other news: Crime will be a thing of the past. Chicago could be solved in one day; New York could be solved in a half a day there.

TSF = The Sick Fuck. Yes he is, very sick.
February 24, 2024

Trump says Black voters like him more because of his Indictments and Mug Shot.

COLUMBIA, S.C. — Former President Trump sought to appeal to Black voters on Friday night in South Carolina by repeatedly citing the 91 felony charges he faces and comparing them to unfair treatment from the criminal justice system toward minorities in America.

“A lot of people said that’s why the Black people liked me, because they had been hurt so badly and discriminated against. And they actually viewed me as I’m being discriminated against … Maybe there’s something to it,” he said, right after talking about the charges.

He also cited his mug shot in Georgia — taken last summer after he was charged for trying to overturn the state’s election results — as a reason that Black voters would gravitate toward him in November. Trump said he now saw Black Americans wearing mug shots on their T-shirts.

“When I did the mug shot in Atlanta, that mug shot is number one,” Trump said. He added that the Black population “embraced it more than anyone else.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/24/trump-black-voters-indicted-mug-shot/

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