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Response to rufus dog (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2018, 08:54 PM

32. The FL polls were wrong. Our other loses Beto, Donelly, Heitkemp, and McCaskill were pretty much

predicted by the polls.

Anyone hyping themselves up to a Dem Senate prior to Tuesday was hoping for disappointment. Heck, the polling average that had Donnelly up by 1.3 (well within a margin of error) consisted solely polls that never had him break 45% in a notoriously hard to poll state. Beto never lead a poll, and only closed significally in the end. Heitkemp was a goner before her Kavanaugh vote and McCaskill, when she led polls, was well within the margin of error and down in the averages. Unfortunately for her, Hawley didn't have a Todd Akin moment.

You're not being shouted down if people are telling you that your expectations were extraordinarily high to begin with. The House was always the primary target. The Senate was always a long shot simply due to the map. Folks who were paying attention knew this in 2012 and it became abundantly clear in 2016 w/ we failed to pick up some purple seats to offset Red State losses.

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Arrow 32 replies Author Time Post
rufus dog Nov 2018 OP
The Velveteen Ocelot Nov 2018 #1
rufus dog Nov 2018 #9
The Velveteen Ocelot Nov 2018 #24
DemocracyMouse Nov 2018 #26
brush Nov 2018 #31
PJMcK Nov 2018 #2
vlyons Nov 2018 #3
NatBurner Nov 2018 #14
lunatica Nov 2018 #21
Texasgal Nov 2018 #4
brooklynite Nov 2018 #5
Demovictory9 Nov 2018 #6
edhopper Nov 2018 #7
denbot Nov 2018 #8
rufus dog Nov 2018 #11
nolabear Nov 2018 #16
Kaleva Nov 2018 #10
Hoyt Nov 2018 #12
rufus dog Nov 2018 #13
Hermit-The-Prog Nov 2018 #17
dem4decades Nov 2018 #15
superpatriotman Nov 2018 #18
ProgRocknProgPol Nov 2018 #19
lunatica Nov 2018 #20
Hermit-The-Prog Nov 2018 #22
Charlotte Little Nov 2018 #23
Blaukraut Nov 2018 #25
whathehell Nov 2018 #27
milestogo Nov 2018 #28
Autumn Nov 2018 #29
AlexSFCA Nov 2018 #30
LineNew Reply The FL polls were wrong. Our other loses Beto, Donelly, Heitkemp, and McCaskill were pretty much
SaschaHM Nov 2018 #32
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