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Newest Reality

(12,712 posts)
4. The defections I expect...
Thu Oct 10, 2019, 08:32 AM
Oct 2019

I really do expect defections from those who were swayed by the P.T. Barnum effect. Even though they were suckers, they will get enough cognitive dissonance and bad results, (or none) to change their minds. I think we can count on a lot of independents and swing-voters to change their colors base on what they have seen. People who think and stay political about it will be rational enough to do that even if it is only out of self-interest.

Loyalists go by emotion and some sort of appeal to authority that turns out to be fallacious. The more loyal they are, the less likely anything that happens can sway them. They would be of the type to stay "true" to the end, make any sacrifice and even jump into the fire he sets. That's what loyalty and devotion are about.

With that in mind, the defection will come gradually, (keep in mind the peer pressure of those who's groups are devoted and live in echo chambers/Fox, conspiracies, etc.). It seems that the loyalists are the ones who stand out and make the most noise, but it seems that they are really a minority and that is comforting to know.

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