General Discussion

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

7. No because the weight also declines rapidly by date after a few days they

Fri Jul 17, 2020, 11:14 PM

Jul 2020

Have a lot less impact.

The real value of any of these pollsters whether PPP or Rasmussen is not the number but the trend

In other words if both Rasmussen and PPP (and the others) all show Trump consistently trending down over a 10 week period, say 7 % , then they are confirming each other even if one is at 40 and the other is 44.

If Rasmussen shows a decline over time using the same turnout projections then his results are as helpful as the others, in some ways more.

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I think Rasmussen distorts 538's [View all] Laura PourMeADrink Jul 2020 OP

They are weighted less into the average Loki Liesmith Jul 2020 #1

But isn't that due to o past inaccuracies? Laura PourMeADrink Jul 2020 #4

Also they don't adopt all Nate's best practices Loki Liesmith Jul 2020 #9

Always has..... paleotn Jul 2020 #2

But aren't people with land lines over 65 hating on him too? Laura PourMeADrink Jul 2020 #6

538 ranks the pollsters they use. Rasmussen gets a C+. Make7 Jul 2020 #3

Yes..but talking frequency of their polls. Even with dings Laura PourMeADrink Jul 2020 #5

No because the weight also declines rapidly by date after a few days they grantcart Jul 2020 #7

They don't just weigh.. BGBD Jul 2020 #8

Right but nevertheless frequent Rasmussen poll #s Laura PourMeADrink Jul 2020 #10

They do BGBD Jul 2020 #11