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cbdo2007

(9,213 posts)

7. This poll actually looks great for Biden based on the demographic

Reply to Fiendish Thingy (Original post)

Wed Oct 28, 2020, 12:07 PM

Oct 2020

43% identify as "Conservative" and only 27% as Liberal. The remainder - 30% identify as "Moderate" yet almost all of these people must be the ones going for Biden as 46% overall went for Trump.

This tells me that it is still really on Trumps base that he is appealing to, but there are a ton of people who are probably *mostly* conservative but identify as moderate that are going for Biden in very large numbers.

Don't let it bring you down, it doesn't matter in the long run and it is weird 538 is including it here, but the actual poll results are very strongly favoring Biden even in a group he normally wouldn't be ahead with.

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Highlight:

ALERT: 538 includes anti-trans national push poll, dropping Biden's avg. to +8.5% [View all] Fiendish Thingy Oct 2020 OP

Yikes Proud Liberal Dem Oct 2020 #1

Indeed, WTAF? Nt Fiendish Thingy Oct 2020 #3

I had been thinking 538 was the careful one; RCP is the RWNJ one. lagomorph777 Oct 2020 #2

The only possible rationalization I can conjur: Fiendish Thingy Oct 2020 #6

G.Elliott Morris has written and tweeted about 538's A ratings on some polls that shouldn't octoberlib Oct 2020 #10

Maybe the Economist needs to be my go-to. Thanks! lagomorph777 Oct 2020 #20

The lower his margins are the more motivated voters should be calguy Oct 2020 #4

the Susquehannah poll from amgreatness (right-wing propaganda site) is bringing RealClearPolitics dn Roland99 Oct 2020 #5

RCP includes polls from Trump's Super Pac. octoberlib Oct 2020 #11

This poll actually looks great for Biden based on the demographic cbdo2007 Oct 2020 #7

Who the fuck cares at this point what 528 or any pollster does? beachbumbob Oct 2020 #8

Hear Hear, Sir The Magistrate Oct 2020 #9

Quick! Someone find me a poll that makes this look like a horse race!!! Takket Oct 2020 #12

Yeah I Noticed that Too-I opened the link and they've got About 4 Anti-Trans Questions at the Top Stallion Oct 2020 #13

GOP poll claims Trump is winning -- after bizarrely expecting 91 percent of 2020 voters to be over 55 MizLibby Oct 2020 #14

You do realize that 538 includes all polls... jcgoldie Oct 2020 #15

Not true at all- 538 has banned numerous polling houses for poor practices Fiendish Thingy Oct 2020 #16

correlation does not imply causation.. jcgoldie Oct 2020 #17

This is not simply correlation, it's basic math Fiendish Thingy Oct 2020 #21

You are missing the point jcgoldie Oct 2020 #22

outlier polls in the final week are deliberately crafted to create a false perception of tightening Fiendish Thingy Oct 2020 #23

The Right needs these type polls to be legitimatized so they can justify election theft. Tommymac Oct 2020 #24

Economist just moved to 97% chance for Joe, 356 EVs, same as Wang. NRaleighLiberal Oct 2020 #18

Silver includes some outliers Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 #19

At this point it is more about legitimacy then numbers. The Right needs the MSM to be complicit. Tommymac Oct 2020 #25

That's foolish. You pick the one right tool. Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2020 #26