As it is, history dictates that Democrats should face serious head winds in keeping the House. But they also face a paradox born of this moment: They are in the midst of passing a shockingly ambitious economic agenda whose individual items are very popular yet they are also polling badly on the economy overall, probably because the recovery is anything but assured.
Politico reports that internal polling by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has them very worried. Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-N.Y.), the chair of the House Democrats campaign arm, privately warned Democrats that theyd lose the House if the election were held today.
The internal DCCC poll found that only 42 percent of likely voters in more than four dozen House battleground districts and regions trust Democrats on the economy, according to Politico. Theres also this:
A growing number of battleground-district incumbents are privately alarmed by new data that showed the party struggling on bellwether issues such as the economy, despite their trillion-dollar pandemic rescue effort this year and Bidens generally steady approval rating.
As a result, Politico reports, the DCCC chair is privately advising Democrats to get more aggressive in promoting President Bidens economic agenda, whose individual items are still very popular in DCCC polling and in public polls.
The complication here appears to be that its unclear how much it means politically that Bidens individual policies poll so well on paper. Either Democrats are not doing enough to communicate these particulars to voters, or their overall experiences of the recovery matter more than what they think of those policies, or some combination of the two.
The good news is that there may be an answer to both of those problems: It resides in passing Bidens agenda. But this will require both communicating about it effectively once its passed and that it actually has a palpable impact on peoples lives.
A new memo from the Center for American Progress makes this case. It argues that Democrats should not be spooked by Republican fearmongering about government spending leading to inflation, which is meant to create the impression that Big Government liberalism has led Democrats to lose control of the economy.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/08/03/democrats-are-worried-about-midterms-can-their-agenda-save-them/
Again, isn't the danger really doing too little to help struggling Americans by caving to Republican demands and allowing the rThugs to win in the midterms?
Sorry, but I actually think its better for America if Democrats control the House and Senate than the Republicans, so, yes, in that regard it IS a zero sum game. Otherwise, why are we even being politically active as Democrats if electing Republicans isn't such a bad thing?