China Ukraine Strategy

[Bucky]

10. Your scenario, while a frightening dark fantasy, seems pretty uninformed

Doing so would trigger an economic train wreck for China itself. The reality is that Taiwan knows exactly what China is capable of and continually builds to prepare for that.

I would recommend a thorough survey of expert opinions. RAND, Brookings Institute, articles find in JSTOR, Jane's, Foreign Policy all can easily be accessed without leaving your desk.

There's a variety of opinions of whether China would be successful, or how much of a "porcupine" Taiwan can be. An invasion like what you're talking about would certainly leave Taiwan in a state that's hardly worth fighting for. Absolutely no one (except the Heritage Foundation) says it would be "easy" or without severe consequences. Xi certainly isn't pushing that line.