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louis c

(8,652 posts)
Sun Nov 18, 2012, 10:09 PM Nov 2012

The Republicans can only win the White House again by lying [View all]

It's not that I'm saying that they are liars, by nature. The Republicans must lie in order to have any chance of winning back the Presidency.

Let's look at the facts and the logic.

The loyalists within the Republican Party are committed to issues that no longer can build a majority coalition in the general election. The 30% or so who consider themselves Republicans will be the voters who press the nomination in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida. By then, the nomination is basically over. Does anyone believe that the Evangelical vote that dominates the Republican primaries and caucuses is going to moderate its positions? Positions like the extreme "pro-life" stance which condemns the party to a gender gap on abortion rights and contraception. Does anyone think that the Christian Coalition is going to change their minds on Gay rights? Does anyone think that the right wing that assails immigration reform will abate in a Republican primary? If a Republican Presidential candidate even refers to "undocumented immigrants" rather than "illegal aliens" he (or she) will be run out of the party. Compromise will continue to be a dirty word. They will have to continue to assail planned parenthood, labor unions and any kind of immigration reform that has amnesty at it's core.

The only way to win a general election for Republicans is to lie to their base and then change their tune, within weeks, and contradict themselves on issues that they have had to make public statements on. If the candidate doesn't, due to the demographic changes, he (or she) is doomed to a defeat. Math doesn't lie.

On the other hand, Democrats can actually espouse what they believe in during the primary process. Equal pay for women, immigration reform, workers' rights, choice for women, gay rights. All of our positions are not only viable in our primaries, but also garner majority opinions with the general public when the November election rolls around.

I feel the Republicans are in a position of being damned if they do or damned if they don't. They are the new Whig party of the 21st century.

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